AM
BEARISH
$18.75
Live
Antero Midstream Corporation · NYSE
Target $18.93
(+1.0%)
$15.07
52W Range
$19.82
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$8.97B
P/E
19.13
ROE
22.5%
Profit margin
37.8%
Debt/Equity
1.46
Dividend yield
4.79%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
78%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a missing Altman Z-Score prevents a full solvency assessment. Despite strong profitability metrics like an 81.29% gross margin and 22.52% ROE, the company faces significant risks including a high 91.84% dividend payout ratio, elevated debt/equity of 1.46, and deteriorating earnings momentum. Insider selling, weak recent earnings beats (1 of last 4), and a technical trend score of 10/100 further signal caution. Although the stock trades near analyst target ($18.75 vs $18.93), it is overvalued relative to the Graham Number of $9.77, suggesting limited margin of safety for defensive investors.
Key Strengths
Exceptionally high gross margin (81.29%) indicates strong pricing power and cost control
High return on equity (22.52%) outperforms sector average (9.21%)
Solid year-over-year revenue growth (8.70%) in a flat sector (avg -0.10%)
Attractive dividend yield of 4.79% above sector peers
Significant long-term price appreciation (228.5% over 5 years)
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and limited operational strength
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.46 is more than double the sector average (0.57), increasing financial risk
Dividend payout ratio of 91.84% is unsustainable long-term and threatens dividend cuts
Insiders have sold $0.77M in shares recently with zero buys, signaling lack of confidence
Earnings growth has decelerated sharply, with most recent Q/Q EPS down -7.7%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$14.5
-22.7% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
42
Moderate
38
45
50
35
40
AI Verdict
Caution advised due to financial leverage, dividend risk, and weakening earnings momentum despite strong margins.
Key drivers: High payout ratio, Elevated leverage, Poor technical trend, Strong ROE, Deteriorating earnings surprises
Confidence
80%
Value
38/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 15.05 below current P/E of 19.13 suggests expected earnings improvement
Watchpoints
- Current P/E of 19.13 above sector average of 19.89 despite lower growth
- Price/Book of 4.33 significantly above sector dynamics
- Stock trades at 92% premium to Graham Number ($18.75 vs $9.77)
Future
45/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue growth of 8.70% YoY outpaces sector average
Watchpoints
- Q/Q EPS growth of -7.7% shows recent deterioration
- PEG Ratio unavailable due to uncertainty in growth sustainability
- Earnings growth expectations appear overstated given recent misses
Past
50/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5-year price return of +228.5% demonstrates strong historical performance
Watchpoints
- Only 1 earnings beat in last 4 quarters
- Average earnings surprise of -1.61% over last 4 quarters
- Consistent pattern of negative earnings surprises since 2022
Health
35/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio (1.26) and quick ratio (1.24) indicate short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Altman Z-Score missing, creating uncertainty around bankruptcy risk
- Debt/Equity of 1.46 is high for midstream sector
Dividend
40/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 4.79% is attractive in current rate environment
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 91.84% is dangerously high and not sustainable
- Dividend Strength score of 40/100 indicates elevated risk
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$18.75
Analyst Target
$18.93
Upside/Downside
+1.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AM and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AM
Antero Midstream Corporation
Primary
|
+228.5% | +103.9% | +19.4% | +11.2% | +4.9% | +2.5% |
|
CHRD
Chord Energy Corporation
Peer
|
+254.8% | +22.5% | +77.9% | +49.9% | +19.2% | +2.2% |
|
FRO
Frontline plc
Peer
|
+572.9% | +190.6% | +127.7% | +56.0% | +5.5% | -4.2% |
|
AR
Antero Resources Corporation
Peer
|
+399.9% | +14.2% | -15.4% | +5.4% | +0.3% | +6.0% |
|
DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation
Peer
|
+105.3% | +56.2% | +105.9% | +12.6% | -1.1% | +5.4% |
AM
Antero Midstream Corporation
Primary
5Y
+228.5%
3Y
+103.9%
1Y
+19.4%
6M
+11.2%
1M
+4.9%
1W
+2.5%
CHR
Chord Energy Corporation
Peer
5Y
+254.8%
3Y
+22.5%
1Y
+77.9%
6M
+49.9%
1M
+19.2%
1W
+2.2%
FRO
Frontline plc
Peer
5Y
+572.9%
3Y
+190.6%
1Y
+127.7%
6M
+56.0%
1M
+5.5%
1W
-4.2%
AR
Antero Resources Corporation
Peer
5Y
+399.9%
3Y
+14.2%
1Y
-15.4%
6M
+5.4%
1M
+0.3%
1W
+6.0%
DIN
HF Sinclair Corporation
Peer
5Y
+105.3%
3Y
+56.2%
1Y
+105.9%
6M
+12.6%
1M
-1.1%
1W
+5.4%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
19.13
Forward P/E
15.05
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.33
P/S Ratio
7.18
EV/Revenue
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$8.97B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
37.81%
Operating Margin
57.81%
Gross Margin
81.29%
ROE
22.52%
ROA
7.87%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+8.7%
Earnings Growth
+16.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+16.3%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.46
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.26
Good
Quick Ratio
1.24
Good
Cash/Share
$N/A
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-11
$N/A
2025-10-29
$0.24
-4.5% surprise
2025-07-30
$0.26
+5.3% surprise
2025-04-30
$0.28
-5.7% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing AM against 107 companies in the Energy sector
(9 bullish, 37 neutral, 61 bearish)
P/E Ratio
19.13
This Stock
vs
31.33
Sector Avg
-38.9%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
22.52%
This Stock
vs
3.08%
Sector Avg
+631.4%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
37.81%
This Stock
vs
5.34%
Sector Avg
+607.9%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.46
This Stock
vs
1.35
Sector Avg
+7.5%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
8.7%
This Stock
vs
20.6%
Sector Avg
-57.8%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.26
This Stock
vs
2.09
Sector Avg
-39.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AM
Antero Midstream Corporation
|
BEARISH | $8.97B | 19.13 | 22.5% | 37.8% | $18.75 | |
|
CHRD
Chord Energy Corporation
|
BEARISH | $8.26B | 196.46 | 0.5% | 1.0% | $145.38 | Compare |
|
FRO
Frontline plc
|
NEUTRAL | $7.92B | 20.94 | 15.6% | 19.3% | $35.59 | Compare |
|
AR
Antero Resources Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $10.58B | 18.14 | 8.6% | 11.8% | $34.29 | Compare |
|
DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $10.86B | 19.56 | 6.3% | 2.2% | $60.26 | Compare |
AM
Antero Midstream...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$9.0B
P/E
19.1
ROE
22.5%
Price
$18.75
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-09 | KEYTE DAVID H | Director | Stock Award | 3,755 | - |
| 2026-01-09 | DEA PETER A | Director | Stock Award | 2,058 | - |
| 2026-01-09 | MOLLENKOPF JOHN C | Director | Stock Award | 2,058 | - |
| 2026-01-09 | KLIMLEY BROOKS J | Director | Stock Award | 2,058 | - |
| 2026-01-09 | MCARDLE JANINE MARIE J | Director | Stock Award | 2,058 | - |
| 2026-01-09 | KEENAN W HOWARD JR | Director | Stock Award | 2,058 | - |
| 2026-01-09 | CHISHOLM NANCY E. | Director | Stock Award | 2,058 | - |
| 2026-01-09 | MUNOZ JEFFREY S | Director | Stock Award | 2,058 | - |
| 2025-12-16 | KLIMLEY BROOKS J | Director | Sale | 5,000 | $87,950 |
| 2025-12-12 | KENNEDY MICHAEL N | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 15,000 | - |
| 2025-10-10 | KEYTE DAVID H | Director | Stock Award | 2,767 | - |
| 2025-10-10 | DEA PETER A | Director | Stock Award | 1,935 | - |
| 2025-10-10 | MOLLENKOPF JOHN C | Director | Stock Award | 1,935 | - |
| 2025-10-10 | KLIMLEY BROOKS J | Director | Stock Award | 1,935 | - |
| 2025-10-10 | MCARDLE JANINE MARIE J | Director | Stock Award | 1,935 | - |
KEYTE DAVID H
Director
2026-01-09
3,755 shares
DEA PETER A
Director
2026-01-09
2,058 shares
MOLLENKOPF JOHN C
Director
2026-01-09
2,058 shares
KLIMLEY BROOKS J
Director
2026-01-09
2,058 shares
MCARDLE JANINE MARIE J
Director
2026-01-09
2,058 shares
KEENAN W HOWARD JR
Director
2026-01-09
2,058 shares
CHISHOLM NANCY E.
Director
2026-01-09
2,058 shares
MUNOZ JEFFREY S
Director
2026-01-09
2,058 shares
KLIMLEY BROOKS J
Director
2025-12-16
5,000 shares
·
$87,950
KENNEDY MICHAEL N
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-12
15,000 shares
KEYTE DAVID H
Director
2025-10-10
2,767 shares
DEA PETER A
Director
2025-10-10
1,935 shares
MOLLENKOPF JOHN C
Director
2025-10-10
1,935 shares
KLIMLEY BROOKS J
Director
2025-10-10
1,935 shares
MCARDLE JANINE MARIE J
Director
2025-10-10
1,935 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
7 analysts
Wells Fargo
2025-12-23
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Morgan Stanley
2025-11-12
Underweight
Underweight
Goldman Sachs
2025-08-18
Neutral
Neutral
Morgan Stanley
2025-08-06
Underweight
Underweight
Wells Fargo
2025-08-01
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AM from our newsroom.
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