AM Antero Midstream Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH

AM Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Energy • Oil & Gas Midstream

Current Price Live

$18.75

Analyst Target

$18.93

+1.0% Upside

52W High

$19.82

52W Low

$15.07

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation More metrics Peers Insiders

At a glance

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AI Analysis

Confidence Score

78%

Analysis Accuracy

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a missing Altman Z-Score prevents a full solvency assessment. Despite strong profitability metrics like an 81.29% gross margin and 22.52% ROE, the company faces significant risks including a high 91.84% dividend payout ratio, elevated debt/equity of 1.46, and deteriorating earnings momentum. Insider selling, weak recent earnings beats (1 of last 4), and a technical trend score of 10/100 further signal caution. Although the stock trades near analyst target ($18.75 vs $18.93), it is overvalued relative to the Graham Number of $9.77, suggesting limited margin of safety for defensive investors.

Key Strengths

Exceptionally high gross margin (81.29%) indicates strong pricing power and cost control

High return on equity (22.52%) outperforms sector average (9.21%)

Solid year-over-year revenue growth (8.70%) in a flat sector (avg -0.10%)

Attractive dividend yield of 4.79% above sector peers

Significant long-term price appreciation (228.5% over 5 years)

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and limited operational strength

Debt/Equity ratio of 1.46 is more than double the sector average (0.57), increasing financial risk

Dividend payout ratio of 91.84% is unsustainable long-term and threatens dividend cuts

Insiders have sold $0.77M in shares recently with zero buys, signaling lack of confidence

Earnings growth has decelerated sharply, with most recent Q/Q EPS down -7.7%

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$14.5

-22.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings

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Past News Coverage

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