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AR

NEUTRAL
$34.29 Live
Antero Resources Corporation · NYSE
Target $43.3 (+26.3%)
$29.1 52W Range $44.02
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Peers Insiders

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$10.58B
P/E
18.14
ROE
8.6%
Profit margin
11.8%
Debt/Equity
0.47
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a mixed financial profile: the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates borderline stable health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a clear distress risk assessment. The stock trades above the Graham Number ($31.83) at $34.29, suggesting a slight premium, though below the analyst target of $43.30. Solid revenue growth (13.4% YoY) and strong gross margins (67.0%) are offset by weak earnings consistency, deteriorating recent EPS trends, and poor liquidity metrics. Analysts recommend a 'buy', but insider sentiment is neutral with no recent transactions.

Key Strengths

Revenue growth of 13.4% YoY outpaces sector average (0.11%)
Exceptionally high gross margin of 67.0%, indicating strong cost control or pricing power
Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47, below sector average of 0.60
Current price ($34.29) below analyst target price ($43.30), implying upside potential
Strong 5-year price appreciation of +399.9%, reflecting long-term investor confidence

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health with risk of deterioration
Current Ratio (0.31) and Quick Ratio (0.28) are critically low, signaling severe short-term liquidity risk
Earnings volatility: last four quarters missed estimates by an average of -21.6%, including a -54.3% Q/Q EPS drop
No Altman Z-Score available, creating uncertainty around bankruptcy risk
Technical Trend score of 0/100 indicates a strongly bearish near-term price momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$31.83
-7.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
45
Moderate
Value
55
Future
50
Past
48
Health
42
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if execution improves
Key drivers: Above-average revenue growth and gross margin, Low leverage but poor liquidity, Mixed earnings track record with recent misses, Valuation near Graham threshold but below analyst targets, Bearish technicals offset fundamental strengths
Confidence
70%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Book (1.44) and Price/Sales (2.11) are reasonable for Energy sector
  • Forward P/E of 10.67 is below current P/E (18.14), suggesting earnings improvement expected
Watchpoints
  • Current price ($34.29) exceeds Graham Number ($31.83), indicating slight overvaluation on defensive criteria
  • No PEG ratio due to unreliable earnings growth data
Future
50/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth (13.4% YoY) is strong for the sector
  • Forward P/E implies improving earnings outlook
Watchpoints
  • No YoY earnings growth data available
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth down -54.3%
  • Last 4 quarters missed earnings estimates by double digits on average
Past
48/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Long-term 5Y price return of +399.9% shows strong investor returns
  • Historical ROE (8.58%) near sector average (9.07%)
Watchpoints
  • Erratic earnings surprises: 0/4 beats in last 4 quarters
  • Negative earnings in multiple quarters (e.g., Q4 2024, Q3 2024)
  • High volatility in EPS, from +167% beats to -652% misses
Health
42/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity (0.47) is conservative
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4 is in 'stable' range, not weak
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is below strong threshold (7+)
  • Current and Quick Ratios (0.31, 0.28) are dangerously low
  • No Altman Z-Score available, increasing uncertainty
Dividend
30/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Payout ratio of 0% allows capital retention
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or rate disclosed
  • Dividend Strength score of 0/100 indicates no meaningful shareholder returns
  • No history of consistent payouts

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$34.29
Analyst Target
$43.3
Upside/Downside
+26.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
AR
Antero Resources Corporation
Primary
5Y
+399.9%
3Y
+14.2%
1Y
-15.4%
6M
+5.4%
1M
+0.3%
1W
+6.0%
DIN
HF Sinclair Corporation
Peer
5Y
+105.3%
3Y
+56.2%
1Y
+105.9%
6M
+12.6%
1M
-1.1%
1W
+5.4%
AM
Antero Midstream Corporation
Peer
5Y
+228.5%
3Y
+103.9%
1Y
+19.4%
6M
+11.2%
1M
+4.9%
1W
+2.5%
CHR
Chord Energy Corporation
Peer
5Y
+254.8%
3Y
+22.5%
1Y
+77.9%
6M
+49.9%
1M
+19.2%
1W
+2.2%
FRO
Frontline plc
Peer
5Y
+572.9%
3Y
+190.6%
1Y
+127.7%
6M
+56.0%
1M
+5.5%
1W
-4.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
18.14
Forward P/E
10.67
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.44
P/S Ratio
2.11
EV/Revenue
N/A
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$10.58B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 11.79%
Operating Margin 11.2%
Gross Margin 67.0%
ROE 8.58%
ROA 3.25%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +13.4%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.47
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.31
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.28
Poor
Cash/Share
$N/A

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-11
$N/A
2025-10-29
$0.16
-37.3% surprise
2025-07-30
$0.35
-16.4% surprise
2025-04-30
$0.78
-11.0% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing AR against 107 companies in the Energy sector (9 bullish, 37 neutral, 61 bearish)
P/E Ratio
18.14
This Stock
vs
31.33
Sector Avg
-42.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.58%
This Stock
vs
3.08%
Sector Avg
+178.6% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
11.79%
This Stock
vs
5.34%
Sector Avg
+120.7% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.47
This Stock
vs
1.35
Sector Avg
-64.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
13.4%
This Stock
vs
20.6%
Sector Avg
-35.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.31
This Stock
vs
2.09
Sector Avg
-85.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

AR Antero Resources...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$10.6B
P/E
18.1
ROE
8.6%
Price
$34.29
DINO HF Sinclair Corporation
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$10.9B
P/E
19.6
ROE
6.3%
Price
$60.26
 Compare with AR
AM Antero...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$9.0B
P/E
19.1
ROE
22.5%
Price
$18.75
 Compare with AR
CHRD Chord Energy...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$8.3B
P/E
196.5
ROE
0.5%
Price
$145.38
 Compare with AR
FRO Frontline plc
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$7.9B
P/E
20.9
ROE
15.6%
Price
$35.59
 Compare with AR

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

HARDESTY BENJAMIN A
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-09
2,310 shares
TYREE THOMAS BURDICK JR.
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-09
1,712 shares
MUTSCHLER JACQUELINE C
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-09
1,712 shares
MUNOZ JEFFREY S
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-09
1,712 shares
SUTIL VICKY
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-09
1,712 shares
SCHROER BRENDA R
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-09
1,712 shares
KEENAN W HOWARD JR
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-09
1,712 shares
KRUEGER BRENDAN E.
Chief Financial Officer
Buy
2025-11-07
5,000 shares · $166,750
KRUEGER BRENDAN E.
Chief Financial Officer
Buy
2025-11-07
5,000 shares · $166,750
HARDESTY BENJAMIN A
Director
Gift
2025-11-03
1,425 shares
HARDESTY BENJAMIN A
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-10
2,010 shares
TYREE THOMAS BURDICK JR.
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-10
1,700 shares
MUTSCHLER JACQUELINE C
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-10
1,700 shares
MUNOZ JEFFREY S
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-10
1,700 shares
SUTIL VICKY
Director
Stock Award
2025-10-10
1,700 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
20 analysts
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-23
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Barclays
2026-01-21
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2025-12-12
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2025-12-12
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2025-12-11
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
B of A Securities
2025-12-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-09
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
BMO Capital
2025-12-09
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
JP Morgan
2025-12-08
down
Overweight Neutral
Wells Fargo
2025-11-03
up
Equal-Weight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AR from our newsroom.

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