AMRC Ameresco, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AMRC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Industrials
Engineering & Construction
Current Price
Live
$32.51
Analyst Target
$43.5
+33.8%
Upside
52W High
$44.93
52W Low
$8.49
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
68%
Analysis Accuracy
The company exhibits weak financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating significant fundamental deterioration. Despite recent earnings surprises and positive short-term growth momentum, high leverage (Debt/Equity of 2.25), low profitability margins, and a lack of Altman Z-Score due to potential distress risk raise serious concerns. The stock trades well above its Graham Number of $23.05 and intrinsic value of $19.06, implying overvaluation relative to defensive and growth-based metrics. Bearish insider activity and inconsistent earnings performance further undermine confidence in a sustainable turnaround.
Key Strengths
Recent quarterly earnings have shown strong positive surprises, with an average surprise of 115.7% over the last four quarters
Year-over-year revenue and earnings growth are positive at 5.0% and 6.1%, respectively
Current ratio of 1.51 and quick ratio of 1.20 suggest adequate short-term liquidity
Analyst consensus recommendation is 'buy' with a target price of $43.50, implying 33.8% upside
Stock has rebounded strongly in the past six months (+79.4%), outperforming peers
Key Risks
Critically low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals weak financial health and deteriorating fundamentals
Debt/Equity ratio of 2.25 is high, increasing financial risk, especially in a rising rate environment
Profitability metrics are weak: ROA of 1.50%, ROE of 6.62%, and net margin of 3.34% lag behind sector averages
Insiders have been aggressively selling, with $1.84M in net sales over the last six months, including multiple CFO transactions
Long-term price performance is poor: down 49.3% over 3 years despite recent rebound
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$21.05
-35.3% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare AMRC against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
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Past News Coverage
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