AMT American Tower Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AMT Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Real Estate
REIT - Specialty
Current Price
Live
$178.75
Analyst Target
$217.6
+21.7%
Upside
52W High
$234.33
52W Low
$166.88
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$83.7B
P/E
28.24
ROE
28.8%
Profit margin
28.1%
Debt/Equity
4.18
Dividend yield
3.84%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and concerning leverage metrics. Despite strong profitability margins and a high ROE, the company faces significant risks from an elevated debt/equity ratio of 4.18, a bearish technical trend, and a dividend payout ratio exceeding 100%, raising sustainability concerns. Earnings volatility is pronounced, with inconsistent quarterly beats and large negative surprises in recent periods, undermining investor confidence. While the stock trades below the analyst target price, it remains significantly above both the Graham Number ($34.67) and intrinsic value estimate ($44.31), suggesting substantial overvaluation relative to fundamentals.
Key Strengths
High gross margin (74.29%) indicating strong pricing power and cost control
Strong return on equity (28.84%) reflecting efficient use of shareholder capital
Solid year-over-year EPS growth (207.1%) in the most recent period
Dividend yield of 3.84% above sector average, providing income appeal
Revenue growth of 7.70% YoY in a capital-intensive REIT subsector
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health and operational instability
Debt/Equity ratio of 4.18 is above sector average (3.59), increasing financial risk
Dividend payout ratio of 107.18% indicates unsustainable distribution levels
High valuation multiples: P/E of 28.24 and Price/Book of 21.18 vs sector averages
Negative insider activity: net selling by insiders over the past 6 months
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$44.31
-75.2% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
40
Weak
30
55
40
35
38
AI Verdict
Overvalued with structural risks outweighing growth potential
Key drivers: High leverage, Unsustainable dividend, Earnings volatility, Premium valuation, Weak Piotroski score
Confidence
75%
Value
30/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Analyst target price implies 21.7% upside
Watchpoints
- Current price ($178.75) is 415% above Graham Number ($34.67)
- P/E of 28.24 above sector volatility norms
- Price/Book of 21.18 indicates extreme premium
Future
55/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- YoY EPS growth of 207.1% in latest quarter
- Revenue growth of 7.70% provides foundational momentum
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E lacks support from PEG (N/A)
- Inconsistent earnings trajectory with recent large misses
Past
40/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historical ROE consistently above 25%
Watchpoints
- Earnings surprises negative in 3 of last 4 quarters
- Technical trend is bearish (0/100)
- 6-month return down 20.8%
Health
35/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Operating margin of 45.48% shows core profitability strength
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Current ratio (0.59) and quick ratio (0.49) below 1.0 signal liquidity pressure
- Debt/Equity of 4.18 increases insolvency risk in rising rate environment
Dividend
38/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 3.84% is attractive in current rate environment
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 107.18% exceeds earnings, drawing from cash flow or debt
- Dividend Strength score of 20/100 indicates high risk of cut
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$178.75
Analyst Target
$217.6
Upside/Downside
+21.7%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AMT and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AMT
American Tower Corporation
Primary
|
-9.0% | -8.1% | -0.7% | -20.8% | +3.2% | -2.6% |
|
EQIX
Equinix, Inc.
Peer
|
+23.2% | +18.9% | -10.8% | +4.3% | +7.2% | +0.2% |
|
SPG
Simon Property Group, Inc.
Peer
|
+160.3% | +73.9% | +12.5% | +16.3% | +0.4% | +0.1% |
|
DLR
Digital Realty Trust, Inc.
Peer
|
+41.0% | +69.7% | -6.4% | -6.7% | +10.2% | +3.2% |
|
O
Realty Income Corporation
Peer
|
+40.3% | +8.3% | +19.1% | +11.8% | +6.8% | +5.6% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
28.24
Forward P/E
25.73
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
21.18
P/S Ratio
8.01
EV/Revenue
12.78
EV/EBITDA
19.85
Market Cap
$83.7B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
28.11%
Operating Margin
45.48%
Gross Margin
74.28%
ROE
28.84%
ROA
4.73%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+7.7%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
4.18
High debt
Current Ratio
0.59
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.49
Poor
Cash/Share
$4.17
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-24
$N/A
2025-10-28
$1.82
+10.1% surprise
2025-07-29
$0.78
-53.0% surprise
2025-04-29
$1.04
-33.7% surprise
Real Estate Sector Comparison
Comparing AMT against 56 companies in the Real Estate sector
(1 bullish, 9 neutral, 46 bearish)
P/E Ratio
28.24
This Stock
vs
48.41
Sector Avg
-41.7%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
28.84%
This Stock
vs
-78.05%
Sector Avg
-136.9%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
28.11%
This Stock
vs
26.54%
Sector Avg
+5.9%
(Better)
Debt to Equity
4.18
This Stock
vs
3.27
Sector Avg
+27.8%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
7.7%
This Stock
vs
1826.76%
Sector Avg
-99.6%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.59
This Stock
vs
8.06
Sector Avg
-92.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AMT
American Tower Corporation
|
BEARISH | $83.7B | 28.24 | 28.8% | 28.1% | $178.75 | |
|
EQIX
Equinix, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $78.72B | 73.56 | 7.7% | 11.8% | $801.78 | |
|
SPG
Simon Property Group, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $69.75B | 26.92 | 82.5% | 36.5% | $184.92 | |
|
DLR
Digital Realty Trust, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $57.21B | 42.49 | 5.8% | 24.0% | $163.6 | |
|
O
Realty Income Corporation
|
BEARISH | $56.39B | 57.4 | 2.5% | 17.1% | $61.42 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | REILLY EUGENE F | Director | Purchase | 5,554 | $994,110 |
| 2025-07-31 | FONT JUAN HERNANDEZ | Officer | Sale | 720 | $149,998 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
20 analysts
UBS
2026-01-20
Buy
Buy
Scotiabank
2026-01-14
Sector Outperform
Sector Outperform
JP Morgan
2026-01-12
Overweight
Overweight
Mizuho
2026-01-12
Neutral
Neutral
BMO Capital
2026-01-09
Outperform
Market Perform
RBC Capital
2025-12-19
Sector Perform
Sector Perform
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-05
Overweight
Overweight
Barclays
2025-12-01
Overweight
Equal-Weight
Barclays
2025-11-17
Overweight
Overweight
JP Morgan
2025-10-29
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AMT from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.