AQN
NEUTRAL
$6.38
Live
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. · NYSE
Target $6.75
(+5.8%)
$4.26
52W Range
$6.62
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$4.9B
P/E
91.14
ROE
0.1%
Profit margin
-1.1%
Debt/Equity
1.27
Dividend yield
4.06%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
65%
The deterministic health scores indicate significant concerns, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signaling borderline financial stability and no available Altman Z-Score limiting distress risk assessment. Despite a recent 1Y price surge of +47.5%, the stock trades at a steep valuation (P/E 91.14 vs sector avg 19.73) while reporting a negative profit margin (-1.11%) and an unsustainable dividend payout ratio (371.43%). However, strong operating metrics like 25.07% operating margin, improving EPS trends (+12.5% YoY), and a 4.06% dividend yield provide some support. The lack of insider activity and mixed analyst sentiment (hold) further justify a cautious stance.
Key Strengths
4.06% dividend yield provides income appeal in a low-growth sector
Strong operating margin of 25.07% indicates efficient cost management
Recent earnings surprises show volatility but include strong upside beats (e.g., +45.9% in May 2025)
Debt/Equity of 1.27 is below sector average of 1.84, suggesting moderate leverage risk
Price/Book of 1.10 is reasonable for a utility with stable asset base
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and elevated risk of underperformance
Extremely high P/E ratio of 91.14 vs forward P/E of 17.49 suggests speculative pricing and potential multiple contraction
Negative net profit margin (-1.11%) raises concerns about core profitability despite positive operating margins
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 371.43% threatens future dividend security
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong bearish momentum despite recent price recovery
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$3.02
-52.7% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
47
Moderate
35
58
48
42
50
AI Verdict
Neutral with significant risks
Key drivers: High valuation offsets improving earnings trends, Dividend yield attractive but not sustainable, Profitability metrics inconsistent, Leverage moderate but liquidity tight (Quick Ratio 0.65), Recent price momentum not supported by fundamentals
Confidence
68%
Value
35/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Book of 1.10 is in line with defensive utility valuation
- Forward P/E of 17.49 is more reasonable than current P/E
Watchpoints
- Current P/E of 91.14 is extremely high
- Graham Number ($3.02) implies stock is overvalued at $6.38
- No PEG ratio due to unreliable growth estimates
Future
58/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- YoY EPS growth of 12.5% shows recent improvement
- Q/Q EPS growth of +200.0% indicates strong short-term momentum
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth of only 1.70% YoY limits scalability
- No EBITDA or FCF data to confirm sustainable cash generation
Past
48/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Mixed but occasionally strong earnings surprises (e.g., +45.9%)
- Long-term 3Y return of +1.0% shows resilience
Watchpoints
- 5Y price change of -53.0% reflects deep underperformance
- Earnings volatility evident in frequent misses (13 of 25 quarters below estimates)
Health
42/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio of 1.23 indicates short-term solvency
- ROA of 2.02% shows minimal asset efficiency
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals financial fragility
- Quick ratio of 0.65 indicates poor liquidity without inventory
- No Altman Z-Score available for distress modeling
Dividend
50/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- 4.06% yield is attractive in current rate environment
- Dividend rate ($0.26) has been maintained recently
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 371.43% is unsustainable
- Dividend Strength score of 40/100 indicates high risk of cut
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$6.38
Analyst Target
$6.75
Upside/Downside
+5.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AQN and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
Primary
|
-53.0% | +1.0% | +47.5% | +6.3% | +2.4% | -1.4% |
|
CWEN
Clearway Energy, Inc.
Peer
|
+76.2% | +57.1% | +45.5% | +27.2% | +1.1% | +1.1% |
|
CWEN-A
Clearway Energy, Inc.
Peer
|
+93.2% | +65.2% | +56.4% | +35.9% | +1.2% | +1.2% |
|
NWE
NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.
Peer
|
+32.5% | +43.0% | +33.5% | +26.8% | +8.1% | +4.0% |
|
BKH
Black Hills Corporation
Peer
|
+43.4% | +15.9% | +30.7% | +29.1% | +3.2% | -2.3% |
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
Primary
5Y
-53.0%
3Y
+1.0%
1Y
+47.5%
6M
+6.3%
1M
+2.4%
1W
-1.4%
CWE
Clearway Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+76.2%
3Y
+57.1%
1Y
+45.5%
6M
+27.2%
1M
+1.1%
1W
+1.1%
CWE
Clearway Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+93.2%
3Y
+65.2%
1Y
+56.4%
6M
+35.9%
1M
+1.2%
1W
+1.2%
NWE
NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+32.5%
3Y
+43.0%
1Y
+33.5%
6M
+26.8%
1M
+8.1%
1W
+4.0%
BKH
Black Hills Corporation
Peer
5Y
+43.4%
3Y
+15.9%
1Y
+30.7%
6M
+29.1%
1M
+3.2%
1W
-2.3%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
91.14
Forward P/E
17.49
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.1
P/S Ratio
2.05
EV/Revenue
4.99
EV/EBITDA
14.44
Market Cap
$4.9B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-1.11%
Operating Margin
25.07%
Gross Margin
38.16%
ROE
0.15%
ROA
2.02%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+1.7%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.27
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.23
Good
Quick Ratio
0.65
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.08
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-06
$N/A
2025-11-07
$0.09
+41.9% surprise
2025-08-08
$0.03
-18.2% surprise
2025-05-09
$0.14
+45.9% surprise
Utilities Sector Comparison
Comparing AQN against 65 companies in the Utilities sector
(3 bullish, 39 neutral, 23 bearish)
P/E Ratio
91.14
This Stock
vs
26.3
Sector Avg
+246.5%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
0.15%
This Stock
vs
-0.5%
Sector Avg
-129.3%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-1.11%
This Stock
vs
6.99%
Sector Avg
-116.0%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.27
This Stock
vs
1.59
Sector Avg
-20.0%
(Lower)
Revenue Growth
1.7%
This Stock
vs
18.93%
Sector Avg
-91.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.23
This Stock
vs
1.12
Sector Avg
+9.1%
(Better)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
|
NEUTRAL | $4.9B | 91.14 | 0.1% | -1.1% | $6.38 | |
|
CWEN
Clearway Energy, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.79B | 27.68 | -4.0% | 11.8% | $39.58 | Compare |
|
CWEN-A
Clearway Energy, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.78B | 27.66 | -4.0% | 11.8% | $39.55 | Compare |
|
NWE
NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $4.51B | 24.95 | 6.3% | 11.2% | $73.36 | Compare |
|
BKH
Black Hills Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $5.41B | 18.1 | 7.9% | 12.5% | $71.68 | Compare |
AQN
Algonquin Power...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$4.9B
P/E
91.1
ROE
0.1%
Price
$6.38
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | MacDonald (Sarah Ruth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 17,828 | $95,415 |
| 2025-09-30 | MacDonald (Sarah Ruth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 4,501 | $24,089 |
| 2025-09-30 | MacDonald (Sarah Ruth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 1,114 | $5,962 |
| 2025-09-30 | MacDonald (Sarah Ruth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 2,206 | $11,806 |
| 2025-09-30 | MacDonald (Sarah Ruth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 22,480 | $120,312 |
| 2025-09-30 | MacDonald (Sarah Ruth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 644 | $3,446 |
| 2025-08-18 | MacDonald (Sarah Ruth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 2,184 | $12,754 |
MacDonald (Sarah Ruth)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-09-30
17,828 shares
·
$95,415
MacDonald (Sarah Ruth)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-09-30
4,501 shares
·
$24,089
MacDonald (Sarah Ruth)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-09-30
1,114 shares
·
$5,962
MacDonald (Sarah Ruth)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-09-30
2,206 shares
·
$11,806
MacDonald (Sarah Ruth)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-09-30
22,480 shares
·
$120,312
MacDonald (Sarah Ruth)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-09-30
644 shares
·
$3,446
MacDonald (Sarah Ruth)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-08-18
2,184 shares
·
$12,754
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
8 analysts
Janney Montgomery Scott
2025-11-10
Neutral
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AQN from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.