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AQN Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. - Fundamental Analysis

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AQN Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Utilities Utilities - Diversified
Current Price Live
$6.38
Analyst Target
$6.75
+5.8% Upside
52W High
$6.62
52W Low
$4.26

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Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The deterministic health scores indicate significant concerns, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signaling borderline financial stability and no available Altman Z-Score limiting distress risk assessment. Despite a recent 1Y price surge of +47.5%, the stock trades at a steep valuation (P/E 91.14 vs sector avg 19.73) while reporting a negative profit margin (-1.11%) and an unsustainable dividend payout ratio (371.43%). However, strong operating metrics like 25.07% operating margin, improving EPS trends (+12.5% YoY), and a 4.06% dividend yield provide some support. The lack of insider activity and mixed analyst sentiment (hold) further justify a cautious stance.

Key Strengths

4.06% dividend yield provides income appeal in a low-growth sector
Strong operating margin of 25.07% indicates efficient cost management
Recent earnings surprises show volatility but include strong upside beats (e.g., +45.9% in May 2025)
Debt/Equity of 1.27 is below sector average of 1.84, suggesting moderate leverage risk
Price/Book of 1.10 is reasonable for a utility with stable asset base

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health and elevated risk of underperformance
Extremely high P/E ratio of 91.14 vs forward P/E of 17.49 suggests speculative pricing and potential multiple contraction
Negative net profit margin (-1.11%) raises concerns about core profitability despite positive operating margins
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 371.43% threatens future dividend security
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong bearish momentum despite recent price recovery
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$3.02
-52.7% below current price

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