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ARMK Aramark - Fundamental Analysis

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ARMK Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Specialty Business Services
Current Price Live
$39.08
Analyst Target
$44.6
+14.1% Upside
52W High
$44.49
52W Low
$29.92

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Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
ARMK's deterministic health signals are concerning, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating marginal financial stability and no available Altman Z-Score to confirm solvency safety. The stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number of $18.06 and intrinsic value of $8.47, supported by strong revenue growth and analyst optimism, but profitability and earnings trends are inconsistent. While the company shows top-line momentum and operates efficiently relative to peers in a highly leveraged sector, weak margins, declining earnings, and technical bearishness temper enthusiasm. Analysts recommend a 'buy', yet insider sentiment and trading activity are neutral, suggesting no strong conviction from insiders.

Key Strengths

Revenue growth of 14.3% YoY outpaces sector average despite macro pressures
Forward P/E of 15.09 suggests improved earnings expectations relative to current P/E of 32.30
ROE of 10.53% exceeds sector average of 6.23%, indicating efficient equity utilization
Debt/Equity of 1.81 is below the sector average of 6.14, reflecting better capital structure than peers
Analyst target price of $44.60 implies 14% upside, supported by 15 analysts

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health with potential operational inefficiencies
Earnings declining YoY (-30.0%) and QoQ (-28.8%), signaling profit compression despite revenue growth
Current Ratio of 0.99 and Quick Ratio of 0.81 suggest near-term liquidity risk
Gross and net margins (15.67% and 1.76%) are well below sector averages, indicating pricing or cost challenges
Technical Trend score of 0/100 reflects strong bearish momentum over the short term
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$28.5
-27.1% below current price

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