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ASR Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V. - Fundamental Analysis

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ASR Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Industrials Airports & Air Services
Current Price Live
$338.17
Analyst Target
$344.66
+1.9% Upside
52W High
$360.0
52W Low
$249.21

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Confidence Score
75%
Analysis Accuracy
ASR exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating solid operational and balance sheet strength. Profitability metrics are robust, with high margins and ROE above sector average, while leverage remains low. However, recent earnings declines and poor earnings surprise trends—four consecutive misses with double-digit negative surprises—raise concerns about near-term execution. The stock trades significantly above the Graham Number of $64.05, reflecting premium valuation despite weak earnings growth, though it aligns more closely with the growth-based intrinsic value of $181.09.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates high financial health and stability
Exceptional profitability: ROE of 22.95%, ROA of 14.26%, and operating margin of 42.15% well above sector averages
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.48 suggests conservative capital structure and strong financial flexibility
High dividend yield of 7.62% offers attractive income, especially in a low-growth environment
Revenue growth of 17.10% YoY is in line with sector average, showing resilience in core operations

Key Risks

Earnings growth declining sharply: YoY EPS down -33.1% and Q/Q down -37.50%, indicating deteriorating profitability
Consistent earnings misses: 3 of last 4 quarters missed estimates, with average surprise of -21.15% over last four
Price/Book of 47.97 is extremely high, suggesting potential overvaluation or intangible asset risk
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum despite positive long-term price performance
Missing key financial data (EV, shares outstanding, cash/debt figures) limits full credit risk and valuation precision
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$181.09
-46.5% below current price

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