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ASR

NEUTRAL
$338.17 Live
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V. · NYSE
Target $344.66 (+1.9%)
$249.21 52W Range $360.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$10.2B
P/E
13.07
ROE
23.0%
Profit margin
31.7%
Debt/Equity
0.48
Dividend yield
7.62%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
ASR exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating solid operational and balance sheet strength. Profitability metrics are robust, with high margins and ROE above sector average, while leverage remains low. However, recent earnings declines and poor earnings surprise trends—four consecutive misses with double-digit negative surprises—raise concerns about near-term execution. The stock trades significantly above the Graham Number of $64.05, reflecting premium valuation despite weak earnings growth, though it aligns more closely with the growth-based intrinsic value of $181.09.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates high financial health and stability
Exceptional profitability: ROE of 22.95%, ROA of 14.26%, and operating margin of 42.15% well above sector averages
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.48 suggests conservative capital structure and strong financial flexibility
High dividend yield of 7.62% offers attractive income, especially in a low-growth environment
Revenue growth of 17.10% YoY is in line with sector average, showing resilience in core operations

Key Risks

Earnings growth declining sharply: YoY EPS down -33.1% and Q/Q down -37.50%, indicating deteriorating profitability
Consistent earnings misses: 3 of last 4 quarters missed estimates, with average surprise of -21.15% over last four
Price/Book of 47.97 is extremely high, suggesting potential overvaluation or intangible asset risk
Technical trend score of 10/100 signals strong bearish momentum despite positive long-term price performance
Missing key financial data (EV, shares outstanding, cash/debt figures) limits full credit risk and valuation precision
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$181.09
-46.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
62
Strong
Value
50
Future
45
Past
70
Health
85
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with significant near-term risks
Key drivers: High profitability and financial health, Strong revenue growth but collapsing earnings, Premium valuation relative to defensive metrics, Bearish technicals and weak insider sentiment
Confidence
75%
Value
50/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 15.32 is reasonable for a growth company
  • Intrinsic value estimate of $181.09 supports current price better than Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • Current price of $338.17 is over 5x the Graham Number ($64.05), indicating significant overvaluation on defensive criteria
  • P/B of 47.97 is extremely high, suggesting asset overstatement or speculative premium
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 17.10% YoY indicates continued top-line momentum
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth collapsing: YoY down -37.50%, Q/Q down -37.50%
  • PEG Ratio unavailable due to negative or volatile earnings
  • Recent earnings surprises consistently negative, signaling deteriorating outlook
Past
70/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-year price return of +162.2% shows strong long-term capital appreciation
  • History of beating estimates in earlier quarters (e.g., +67.6% in 2022)
  • Consistent revenue progression over time
Watchpoints
  • Recent reversal in earnings performance after strong prior growth
  • Last four quarters show declining trend in EPS surprises
Health
85/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates strong financial health
  • Current ratio of 2.69 and quick ratio of 2.66 show excellent short-term liquidity
  • Debt/Equity of 0.48 is low, indicating conservative leverage
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score not available, limiting full distress risk assessment
  • Missing total debt and cash figures prevents full solvency verification
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • High dividend yield of 7.62% is attractive for income investors
  • Payout ratio listed as 0.00% may indicate sustainability or data error—requires verification
Watchpoints
  • Dividend strength score of 40/100 suggests potential risk or inconsistency
  • Lack of 5-year average yield and ex-dividend date limits forward-looking assessment

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$338.17
Analyst Target
$344.66
Upside/Downside
+1.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ASR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
ASR
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste, S. A. B. de C. V.
Primary
5Y
+162.2%
3Y
+35.0%
1Y
+32.3%
6M
+11.4%
1M
+2.4%
1W
+4.7%
AOS
A. O. Smith Corporation
Peer
5Y
+39.3%
3Y
+26.1%
1Y
+3.8%
6M
+1.6%
1M
+6.6%
1W
-0.0%
ARM
Aramark
Peer
5Y
+61.1%
3Y
+25.2%
1Y
+2.9%
6M
-10.4%
1M
+3.5%
1W
-1.4%
DCI
Donaldson Company, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+54.2%
3Y
+47.0%
1Y
+37.2%
6M
+7.5%
1M
+2.1%
1W
-0.3%
CR
Crane Company
Peer
5Y
+154.7%
3Y
+148.0%
1Y
+21.1%
6M
-5.9%
1M
+3.1%
1W
-6.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
13.07
Forward P/E
15.32
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
47.97
P/S Ratio
0.29
EV/Revenue
3.22
EV/EBITDA
5.55
Market Cap
$10.2B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 31.71%
Operating Margin 42.15%
Gross Margin 61.74%
ROE 22.95%
ROA 14.26%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +17.1%
Earnings Growth -37.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -37.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.48
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.69
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.66
Excellent
Cash/Share
$54.2

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-23
$N/A
2025-10-22
$3.84
-25.9% surprise
2025-07-22
$3.8
-34.8% surprise
2025-04-22
$5.73
-2.8% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing ASR against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
13.07
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-86.7% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
22.95%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-218.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
31.71%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
+376.6% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.48
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-81.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
17.1%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-76.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.69
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-12.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
8 analysts
Banco Bradesco BBI S.A
2026-01-06
up
Neutral Outperform
Scotiabank
2025-12-04
up
Sector Perform Sector Outperform
JP Morgan
2025-11-14
down
Overweight Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ASR from our newsroom.

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