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AVY Avery Dennison Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

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AVY Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Consumer Cyclical Packaging & Containers
Current Price Live
$187.43
Analyst Target
$206.8
+10.3% Upside
52W High
$196.41
52W Low
$156.23

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$14.49B
P/E
21.11
ROE
30.2%
Profit margin
7.9%
Debt/Equity
1.71
Dividend yield
2.02%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a definitive bankruptcy risk assessment. Despite solid profitability metrics like a 30.21% ROE and manageable 41.32% payout ratio, weak earnings growth and a bearish technical trend weigh on momentum. Valuation appears stretched relative to Graham’s defensive benchmark of $75.48, though forward P/E of 17.99 suggests some optimism. Analysts recommend a buy with a $206.80 target, implying 10.3% upside, but recent price performance has been flat over the past year.

Key Strengths

High ROE of 30.21% indicates strong return on shareholder equity
Dividend payout ratio of 41.32% is sustainable with room for future increases
Forward P/E of 17.99 is below sector average of 50.08, suggesting relative value
Operating margin of 12.69% exceeds sector average profit margin of -0.16%
Analyst consensus supports a buy rating with a 10.3% upside to target price

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 reflects marginal financial health with recent earnings declines
Earnings growth YoY at -5.30% and Q/Q EPS down 2.1% signal weakening profitability
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong bearish momentum near-term
Price-to-book of 6.57 is high, suggesting potential overvaluation relative to book value
Insider sentiment score of 40/100 implies limited confidence from company insiders
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$75.48
-59.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
55
Moderate
Value
52
Future
45
Past
60
Health
50
Dividend
68
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if earnings stabilize
Key drivers: Solid ROE and dividend sustainability, Below-average forward P/E relative to sector, Weak earnings growth and technical trend drag down score
Confidence
75%
Value
52/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 17.99 is reasonable
  • P/S of 1.65 is below sector P/E average
Watchpoints
  • Current price ($187.43) is 149% above Graham Number ($75.48)
  • P/B of 6.57 is elevated
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target implies growth expectation
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth YoY only 1.50%
  • Earnings growth YoY at -5.30%
  • Q/Q EPS growth negative
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical earnings surprises were positive in earlier quarters
  • Long-term 5Y return of +30.7% outperforms 1Y
Watchpoints
  • Recent quarters show declining EPS and mixed beats
  • Last 4 quarters beat estimates only 2 times
Health
50/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 1.26 indicates short-term liquidity
  • ROA of 8.29% is positive
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates marginal health
  • Quick ratio of 0.79 below 1.0 threshold
  • Debt/Equity of 1.71 is above sector average of 1.59
Dividend
68/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 2.02% is above market average
  • Payout ratio of 41.32% is sustainable
Watchpoints
  • Dividend strength score of 50/100 indicates moderate reliability

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$187.43
Analyst Target
$206.8
Upside/Downside
+10.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AVY and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AVY
Avery Dennison Corporation
Primary
+30.7% +4.2% -1.0% +6.6% +3.1% -0.7%
BBY
Best Buy Co., Inc.
Peer
-27.0% -7.4% -17.5% +2.0% -3.9% -1.1%
BALL
Ball Corporation
Peer
-32.0% +4.9% +5.6% -2.0% +9.7% +2.3%
DKNG
DraftKings Inc.
Peer
-36.4% +130.2% -17.8% -25.4% -4.2% -7.2%
LI
Li Auto Inc.
Peer
-54.3% -25.9% -26.7% -49.1% +0.2% -2.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
21.11
Forward P/E
17.99
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
6.57
P/S Ratio
1.65
EV/Revenue
2.02
EV/EBITDA
12.32
Market Cap
$14.49B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 7.93%
Operating Margin 12.69%
Gross Margin 28.56%
ROE 30.21%
ROA 8.29%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.5%
Earnings Growth -5.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -8.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.71
High debt
Current Ratio
1.26
Good
Quick Ratio
0.79
Poor
Cash/Share
$7.53

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-04
$N/A
2025-10-22
$2.37
+1.9% surprise
2025-07-22
$2.42
+1.1% surprise
2025-04-23
$2.3
-0.7% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing AVY against 94 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (5 bullish, 50 neutral, 39 bearish)
P/E Ratio
21.11
This Stock
vs
42.66
Sector Avg
-50.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
30.21%
This Stock
vs
6.06%
Sector Avg
+398.9% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
7.93%
This Stock
vs
0.8%
Sector Avg
+889.0% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.71
This Stock
vs
1.65
Sector Avg
+3.7% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
1.5%
This Stock
vs
7.63%
Sector Avg
-80.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.26
This Stock
vs
1.87
Sector Avg
-32.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
AVY
Avery Dennison Corporation
NEUTRAL $14.49B 21.11 30.2% 7.9% $187.43
BBY
Best Buy Co., Inc.
BEARISH $14.09B 22.13 22.5% 1.5% $67.05
BALL
Ball Corporation
NEUTRAL $15.61B 21.89 11.7% 5.4% $57.36
DKNG
DraftKings Inc.
BEARISH $16.24B - -29.6% -4.9% $32.62
LI
Li Auto Inc.
BEARISH $16.41B 14.85 6.6% 3.6% $16.19

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
10 analysts
Citigroup
2026-01-06
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Truist Securities
2026-01-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Argus Research
2025-10-28
up
Hold Buy
UBS
2025-10-23
up
Neutral Buy
JP Morgan
2025-10-23
up
Neutral Overweight
Truist Securities
2025-10-13
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2025-10-06
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Citigroup
2025-09-29
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AVY from our newsroom.

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