AWI Armstrong World Industries, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
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AWI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Industrials
Building Products & Equipment
Current Price
Live
$187.28
Analyst Target
$211.1
+12.7%
Upside
52W High
$206.08
52W Low
$122.37
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$8.1B
P/E
27.1
ROE
38.0%
Profit margin
19.1%
Debt/Equity
0.56
Dividend yield
0.67%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
AWI's deterministic health score is concerning with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating marginal financial stability, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. Despite strong profitability metrics like a 38.03% ROE and solid earnings growth, elevated valuation multiples and weak insider sentiment weigh on the outlook. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $56.59 and near its intrinsic value estimate of $184.15, suggesting limited margin of safety. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $211.10 target, implying upside, but recent insider selling and deteriorating short-term earnings momentum raise caution.
Key Strengths
Exceptional return on equity (38.03%) indicating efficient use of shareholder capital
Strong operating margin (20.93%) and gross margin (40.50%) reflecting pricing power and cost control
Solid year-over-year earnings growth (13.3%) and revenue growth (10.00%)
Low debt/equity ratio (0.56) suggesting conservative capital structure
Consistent history of beating earnings estimates, with 3 out of last 4 quarters above expectations
Key Risks
Low Piotroski F-Score (4/9) signals weak financial health and potential operational inefficiencies
High valuation with P/E of 27.10 and Price/Book of 9.09, exceeding sector averages
Recent Q/Q EPS decline of -1.9% indicating possible growth deceleration
Bearish insider sentiment with net selling activity in the last 6 months
Technical trend score of 10/100 suggests strong near-term bearish momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$184.15
-1.7% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
57
Moderate
52
70
68
50
45
AI Verdict
Moderately positive with caution due to valuation and health metrics
Key drivers: High profitability and growth, Elevated valuation, Marginal financial health, Bearish insider and technical signals
Confidence
75%
Value
52/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Intrinsic value estimate ($184.15) is close to current price ($187.28)
Watchpoints
- P/E of 27.10 is high relative to historical norms
- Price/Book of 9.09 is extremely elevated
- Stock trades above Graham Number ($56.59), indicating no margin of safety under conservative valuation
Future
70/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 10.00% YoY revenue growth
- 13.10% YoY earnings growth
- Q/Q earnings growth of 12.20%
Watchpoints
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth declined by -1.9%
- PEG Ratio unavailable, limiting growth-adjusted valuation insight
Past
68/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Long-term price performance strong: +157.4% over 3 years
- History of beating earnings estimates in recent quarters
Watchpoints
- Earnings surprises have trended downward from highs of +29.1% to recent single digits
- 1-month and 1-week returns negative (-2.1%, -4.5%)
Health
50/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current ratio of 1.52 indicates adequate short-term liquidity
- Debt/Equity of 0.56 is below sector average of 5.69
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Quick ratio of 0.96 is below 1.0, suggesting potential liquidity pressure
- Altman Z-Score not available, creating blind spot in bankruptcy risk assessment
Dividend
45/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Low payout ratio (17.68%) leaves room for future increases
Watchpoints
- Dividend yield of 0.67% is below average
- Dividend strength score of 25/100 indicates weak income profile
- 5-year average yield unavailable, limiting trend analysis
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$187.28
Analyst Target
$211.1
Upside/Downside
+12.7%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AWI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
Primary
|
+142.3% | +157.4% | +25.5% | +11.5% | -2.1% | -4.5% |
|
AGCO
AGCO Corporation
Peer
|
+20.6% | -9.0% | +9.5% | +1.8% | +8.1% | +2.2% |
|
AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+19.9% | +19.9% | +63.0% | +38.3% | +18.3% | +1.7% |
|
AL
Air Lease Corporation
Peer
|
+64.5% | +54.2% | +38.3% | +11.7% | +0.3% | +0.2% |
|
AAON
AAON, Inc.
Peer
|
+72.1% | +40.5% | +7.6% | +2.2% | -18.3% | -5.0% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
27.1
Forward P/E
22.2
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
9.09
P/S Ratio
5.06
EV/Revenue
5.3
EV/EBITDA
19.68
Market Cap
$8.1B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
19.09%
Operating Margin
20.93%
Gross Margin
40.5%
ROE
38.03%
ROA
10.62%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+10.0%
Earnings Growth
+13.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+12.2%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.56
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.52
Good
Quick Ratio
0.96
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.09
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-24
$N/A
2025-10-28
$2.05
+0.9% surprise
2025-07-29
$2.09
+17.2% surprise
2025-04-29
$1.66
+8.7% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing AWI against 122 companies in the Industrials sector
(6 bullish, 60 neutral, 56 bearish)
P/E Ratio
27.1
This Stock
vs
73.57
Sector Avg
-63.2%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
38.03%
This Stock
vs
8.07%
Sector Avg
+371.5%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
19.09%
This Stock
vs
58.18%
Sector Avg
-67.2%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.56
This Stock
vs
5.46
Sector Avg
-89.7%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
10.0%
This Stock
vs
22.74%
Sector Avg
-56.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.52
This Stock
vs
2.64
Sector Avg
-42.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $8.1B | 27.1 | 38.0% | 19.1% | $187.28 | |
|
AGCO
AGCO Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $8.49B | 22.76 | 6.7% | 3.7% | $113.79 | |
|
AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $8.62B | 131.04 | 1.3% | 0.5% | $35.38 | |
|
AL
Air Lease Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $7.2B | 7.47 | 12.7% | 35.1% | $64.42 | |
|
AAON
AAON, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $6.85B | 65.04 | 12.5% | 7.5% | $83.9 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | OSBORNE WILLIAM H | Director | Gift | 300 | - |
| 2025-10-29 | HOLLERAN KEVIN P. | Director | Stock Award | 435 | - |
| 2025-08-08 | OSBORNE WILLIAM H | Director | Sale | 100 | $18,878 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
10 analysts
UBS
2025-10-29
Neutral
Neutral
JP Morgan
2025-10-29
Overweight
Overweight
B of A Securities
2025-10-06
Buy
Buy
Truist Securities
2025-09-12
Buy
Buy
Loop Capital
2025-07-30
Hold
Hold
Truist Securities
2025-07-30
Buy
Buy
UBS
2025-07-30
Neutral
Neutral
Evercore ISI Group
2025-07-30
In-Line
In-Line
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AWI from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.