POOL
BEARISH
$225.64
Live
Pool Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $262.91
(+16.5%)
$195.49
52W Range
$345.0
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 17, 2026
Market cap
$8.3B
P/E
20.8
ROE
33.1%
Profit margin
7.7%
Debt/Equity
1.3
Dividend yield
2.22%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
Pool Corporation exhibits significant financial deterioration, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 and a severe disconnect between its current price ($225.64) and its Graham Number ($88.94) and Intrinsic Value ($75.95). The company is facing a growth crisis with negative YoY revenue and earnings growth, compounded by a recent Q/Q EPS collapse of 75.2%. Despite a strong ROE, the combination of bearish insider selling by the CEO and CFO and a 0/100 technical trend suggests a lack of confidence in a near-term recovery.
Key Strengths
Strong Return on Equity (ROE) of 33.06%
Healthy Current Ratio of 2.24 indicating short-term liquidity
Sustainable dividend payout ratio of 45.62%
Dominant market position in industrial distribution for pools
Positive ROA of 10.37%
Key Risks
Severe earnings contraction with YoY growth at -12.90%
Massive overvaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Weak operational health as indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9
Bearish insider sentiment with sales from the CEO and CFO
Low Quick Ratio (0.51) suggesting heavy reliance on inventory liquidation
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$85.5
-62.1% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
32
Weak
20
15
30
25
70
AI Verdict
Overvalued & Declining
Key drivers: Negative earnings growth, Weak Piotroski F-Score, Extreme premium to intrinsic value, Bearish technicals
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100
Ref P/E 20.80, PEG 1.60, Graham Number $88.94
Positives
- Forward P/E is slightly lower than current P/E
Watchpoints
- Price is ~150% above Graham Number
- Price/Book of 6.96 is high for the sector
- PEG ratio of 1.60 indicates overvaluation relative to growth
Future
15/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Negative YoY Revenue Growth (-0.50%)
- Negative YoY Earnings Growth (-12.90%)
- Catastrophic recent Q/Q EPS growth (-75.2%)
Past
30/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historical ability to beat estimates in previous years
Watchpoints
- 5-Year price change of -37.3%
- 1-Year price change of -23.7%
- Recent trend of missing earnings estimates
Health
25/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 3/9
Positives
- Current Ratio > 2.0
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health
- Quick Ratio of 0.51 is concerningly low
- Debt/Equity of 1.30 is moderate but rising relative to earnings
Dividend
70/100
Ref Yield 2.22%, Payout 45.62%
Positives
- Consistent dividend rate of $5.00
- Manageable payout ratio (45.62%)
Watchpoints
- Low yield (2.22%) relative to the risk profile
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$225.64
Analyst Target
$262.91
Upside/Downside
+16.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for POOL and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-16
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POOL
Pool Corporation
Primary
|
-37.3% | -30.1% | -23.7% | -21.4% | +7.1% | +5.7% |
|
AGCO
AGCO Corporation
Peer
|
+20.6% | -9.0% | +9.5% | +1.8% | +8.1% | +2.2% |
|
AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
+142.3% | +157.4% | +25.5% | +11.5% | -2.1% | -4.5% |
|
AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+19.9% | +19.9% | +63.0% | +38.3% | +18.3% | +1.7% |
|
AYI
Acuity Inc.
Peer
|
+69.5% | +57.7% | +9.1% | -20.9% | -2.9% | +0.8% |
POO
Pool Corporation
Primary
5Y
-37.3%
3Y
-30.1%
1Y
-23.7%
6M
-21.4%
1M
+7.1%
1W
+5.7%
AGC
AGCO Corporation
Peer
5Y
+20.6%
3Y
-9.0%
1Y
+9.5%
6M
+1.8%
1M
+8.1%
1W
+2.2%
AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+142.3%
3Y
+157.4%
1Y
+25.5%
6M
+11.5%
1M
-2.1%
1W
-4.5%
AMT
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+19.9%
3Y
+19.9%
1Y
+63.0%
6M
+38.3%
1M
+18.3%
1W
+1.7%
AYI
Acuity Inc.
Peer
5Y
+69.5%
3Y
+57.7%
1Y
+9.1%
6M
-20.9%
1M
-2.9%
1W
+0.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
20.8
Forward P/E
18.97
PEG Ratio
1.6
P/B Ratio
6.96
P/S Ratio
1.57
EV/Revenue
1.84
EV/EBITDA
15.42
Market Cap
$8.3B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
7.68%
Operating Margin
5.32%
Gross Margin
29.73%
ROE
33.06%
ROA
10.37%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-0.5%
Earnings Growth
-12.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-0.53%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-15.3%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.3
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.24
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.51
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.85
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$1.0B
Gross Margin
30.1%
Op. Margin
5.3%
Net Margin
3.2%
Total Assets
$3.6B
Liabilities
$2.4B
Equity
$1.2B
Debt/Equity
2.06x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
90%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-23
$N/A
2026-02-19
$0.84
-14.2% surprise
2025-10-23
$3.39
+0.7% surprise
2025-07-24
$5.17
+0.3% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing POOL against 277 companies in the Industrials sector
(19 bullish, 97 neutral, 161 bearish)
P/E Ratio
20.8
This Stock
vs
81.56
Sector Avg
-74.5%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
33.06%
This Stock
vs
-20.04%
Sector Avg
-265.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
7.68%
This Stock
vs
12.29%
Sector Avg
-37.5%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.3
This Stock
vs
3.15
Sector Avg
-58.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-0.5%
This Stock
vs
111.87%
Sector Avg
-100.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.24
This Stock
vs
3.12
Sector Avg
-28.2%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POOL
Pool Corporation
|
BEARISH | $8.3B | 20.8 | 33.1% | 7.7% | $225.64 | |
|
AGCO
AGCO Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $8.49B | 22.76 | 6.7% | 3.7% | $113.79 | Compare |
|
AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $8.1B | 27.1 | 38.0% | 19.1% | $187.28 | Compare |
|
AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $8.62B | 131.04 | 1.3% | 0.5% | $35.38 | Compare |
|
AYI
Acuity Inc.
|
BULLISH | $8.82B | 22.08 | 15.6% | 9.0% | $286.98 | Compare |
POOL
Pool Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$8.3B
P/E
20.8
ROE
33.1%
Price
$225.64
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | PEREZ DE LA MESA MANUEL J | Director | Gift | 90,000 | - |
| 2026-03-26 | WHALEN DAVID G | Director | Purchase | 45 | $9,127 |
| 2026-03-25 | HART MELANIE M. | Chief Financial Officer | Purchase | 8 | $1,620 |
| 2026-03-24 | NEIL JENNIFER M | Officer | Sale | 508 | $103,429 |
| 2026-03-13 | PEREZ DE LA MESA MANUEL J | Director | Purchase | 5,000 | $1,025,000 |
| 2026-03-02 | PEREZ DE LA MESA MANUEL J | Director | Purchase | 5,000 | $1,090,000 |
| 2026-02-25 | NEIL JENNIFER M | Officer | Stock Award | 5,421 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | HOPE JAMES D | Director | Purchase | 1,405 | $300,162 |
| 2026-02-25 | ST ROMAIN KENNETH G | Officer | Stock Award | 9,780 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | ARVAN PETER D. | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 32,304 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | SAIK WALKER | Officer | Stock Award | 792 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | WATWOOD JOHN BRUCE | Officer | Stock Award | 8,498 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | HART MELANIE M. | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 8,556 | - |
| 2026-02-24 | PEREZ DE LA MESA MANUEL J | Director | Option Exercise | 30,000 | $2,423,400 |
| 2026-02-24 | HART MELANIE M. | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 2,750 | $605,000 |
PEREZ DE LA MESA MANUEL J
Director
2026-04-07
90,000 shares
WHALEN DAVID G
Director
2026-03-26
45 shares
·
$9,127
HART MELANIE M.
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-25
8 shares
·
$1,620
NEIL JENNIFER M
Officer
2026-03-24
508 shares
·
$103,429
PEREZ DE LA MESA MANUEL J
Director
2026-03-13
5,000 shares
·
$1,025,000
PEREZ DE LA MESA MANUEL J
Director
2026-03-02
5,000 shares
·
$1,090,000
NEIL JENNIFER M
Officer
2026-02-25
5,421 shares
HOPE JAMES D
Director
2026-02-25
1,405 shares
·
$300,162
ST ROMAIN KENNETH G
Officer
2026-02-25
9,780 shares
ARVAN PETER D.
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-25
32,304 shares
SAIK WALKER
Officer
2026-02-25
792 shares
WATWOOD JOHN BRUCE
Officer
2026-02-25
8,498 shares
HART MELANIE M.
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-25
8,556 shares
PEREZ DE LA MESA MANUEL J
Director
2026-02-24
30,000 shares
·
$2,423,400
HART MELANIE M.
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-24
2,750 shares
·
$605,000
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
DEF 14A
10-K
8-K
8-K
8-K
10-Q
8-K
10-Q
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
11 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-04-08
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Oppenheimer
2026-02-24
Outperform
Outperform
Stifel
2026-02-23
Hold
Hold
Wells Fargo
2026-02-20
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Baird
2026-02-20
Outperform
Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-02-11
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Goldman Sachs
2026-01-13
Buy
Buy
Baird
2026-01-12
Neutral
Outperform
CFRA
2025-12-23
Hold
Buy
Stifel
2025-12-16
Hold
Hold
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning POOL from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.