AGCO AGCO Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
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AGCO Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Industrials
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Current Price
Live
$113.79
Analyst Target
$118.5
+4.1%
Upside
52W High
$121.16
52W Low
$73.79
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$8.49B
P/E
22.76
ROE
6.7%
Profit margin
3.7%
Debt/Equity
0.63
Dividend yield
1.01%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
AGCO's financial health is stable but not strong, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating borderline performance across key metrics. The absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment, though the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.63 and Current Ratio of 1.58 suggest manageable leverage and liquidity. Valuation appears reasonable relative to peers with a P/E of 22.76 versus sector average of 50.86, yet revenue decline and weak technicals temper optimism. Despite explosive recent earnings growth, inconsistent quarterly beats and negative insider activity raise caution.
Key Strengths
Earnings growth is exceptionally strong year-over-year (+922.5%) and quarter-over-quarter (+919.0%), signaling potential cyclical rebound or cost efficiencies
Valuation is favorable compared to sector peers, with P/E significantly below the Industrials average (22.76 vs 50.86)
Low dividend payout ratio of 23.06% provides sustainability and room for future increases despite modest yield
Debt/Equity of 0.63 is below sector average (1.57), indicating conservative capital structure
Recent price momentum is positive with +8.1% over the last month
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, particularly concerning profitability and operating efficiency trends
Revenue declining YoY (-4.70%) raises concerns about top-line sustainability despite earnings surge
Quick Ratio of 0.58 suggests potential short-term liquidity pressure despite a Current Ratio of 1.58
Insider selling activity over the past six months ($1.98M in sales, no buys) signals lack of confidence from management
Technical trend score of 10/100 indicates strong bearish momentum, conflicting with recent monthly price gains
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$115.0
+1.1% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
56
Moderate
72
64
55
50
40
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside risk if earnings momentum sustains
Key drivers: Strong earnings growth, Favorable relative valuation, Low insider sentiment, Weak revenue trend, Borderline financial health
Confidence
70%
Value
72/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 22.76 below sector average of 50.86
- Price/Sales of 0.84 indicates revenue discount
- Trading near Graham Number ($82.28) but below intrinsic value ($147.5)
Watchpoints
- Current price ($113.79) trades at a premium to Graham Number, suggesting limited margin of safety
Future
64/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Exceptional YoY and QoQ earnings growth (922.5%, 919.0%)
- Forward P/E of 18.98 implies earnings growth expectations
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth negative YoY (-4.70%)
- PEG Ratio unavailable limits growth-adjusted valuation insight
Past
55/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 3 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates
- Long-term earnings consistency with frequent positive surprises since 2020
Watchpoints
- Recent quarters show declining trend in absolute earnings (e.g., from $4.47 to $0.41)
- Mixed historical performance with several large negative surprises
Health
50/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current Ratio of 1.58 indicates adequate current asset coverage
- Debt/Equity of 0.63 is conservative
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health
- Quick Ratio of 0.58 signals potential liquidity risk
- Altman Z-Score unavailable limits distress risk analysis
Dividend
40/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Payout ratio of 23.06% is sustainable
- Dividend has been maintained
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength score of 25/100 indicates weak yield and growth
- Yield of 1.01% is below market average
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$113.79
Analyst Target
$118.5
Upside/Downside
+4.1%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AGCO and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AGCO
AGCO Corporation
Primary
|
+20.6% | -9.0% | +9.5% | +1.8% | +8.1% | +2.2% |
|
AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+19.9% | +19.9% | +63.0% | +38.3% | +18.3% | +1.7% |
|
AAON
AAON, Inc.
Peer
|
+107.0% | +100.5% | -7.1% | +19.2% | +7.0% | +1.2% |
|
AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
Peer
|
+142.3% | +157.4% | +25.5% | +11.5% | -2.1% | -4.5% |
|
AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
Peer
|
-33.5% | -13.4% | -14.3% | +0.3% | -10.3% | -2.1% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
22.76
Forward P/E
18.98
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.89
P/S Ratio
0.84
EV/Revenue
1.09
EV/EBITDA
11.17
Market Cap
$8.49B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
3.74%
Operating Margin
6.31%
Gross Margin
25.02%
ROE
6.73%
ROA
3.12%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-4.7%
Earnings Growth
+922.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+919.0%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.63
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.58
Good
Quick Ratio
0.58
Poor
Cash/Share
$11.85
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-05
$N/A
2025-10-31
$1.35
+11.1% surprise
2025-07-31
$1.35
+25.5% surprise
2025-05-01
$0.41
+976.4% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing AGCO against 122 companies in the Industrials sector
(5 bullish, 61 neutral, 56 bearish)
P/E Ratio
22.76
This Stock
vs
74.17
Sector Avg
-69.3%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.73%
This Stock
vs
7.57%
Sector Avg
-11.1%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.74%
This Stock
vs
58.43%
Sector Avg
-93.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.63
This Stock
vs
5.2
Sector Avg
-87.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-4.7%
This Stock
vs
24.48%
Sector Avg
-119.2%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.58
This Stock
vs
2.66
Sector Avg
-40.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AGCO
AGCO Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $8.49B | 22.76 | 6.7% | 3.7% | $113.79 | |
|
AMTM
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $8.62B | 131.04 | 1.3% | 0.5% | $35.38 | |
|
AAON
AAON, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $8.35B | 84.55 | 12.1% | 7.6% | $102.3 | |
|
AWI
Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $8.1B | 27.1 | 38.0% | 19.1% | $187.28 | |
|
AAL
American Airlines Group Inc.
|
BEARISH | $8.97B | 79.94 | -% | 0.2% | $13.59 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | HANSOTIA ERIC P. | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 231 | $21,732 |
| 2026-01-15 | BENNETT KELVIN EUGENE | Officer | Stock Award | 231 | $21,732 |
| 2026-01-15 | HARRIS IVORY MARIE | Officer | Stock Award | 53 | $5,000 |
| 2025-12-15 | DE LANGE BOB | Director | Stock Award | - | $11 |
| 2025-12-15 | BARBOUR SONDRA L. | Director | Stock Award | 29 | $3,239 |
| 2025-11-28 | HANSOTIA ERIC P. | Chief Executive Officer | Option Exercise | 9,300 | $584,505 |
| 2025-11-10 | BENNETT KELVIN EUGENE | Officer | Sale | 250 | $26,070 |
| 2025-09-15 | DE LANGE BOB | Director | Stock Award | 17 | $1,964 |
| 2025-09-15 | BARBOUR SONDRA L. | Director | Stock Award | 29 | $3,230 |
| 2025-08-15 | HARRIS IVORY MARIE | Officer | Sale | 2,669 | $300,503 |
| 2025-08-11 | FELLI LUIS FERNANDO SARTINI | Officer | Sale | 15,000 | $1,651,500 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
14 analysts
Citigroup
2026-01-13
Neutral
Neutral
UBS
2026-01-05
Neutral
Neutral
JP Morgan
2025-12-19
Overweight
Overweight
Barclays
2025-12-19
Equal-Weight
Underweight
Oppenheimer
2025-12-03
Outperform
Outperform
Wells Fargo
2025-11-14
Equal-Weight
Citigroup
2025-11-03
Neutral
Neutral
Truist Securities
2025-11-03
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2025-10-20
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
JP Morgan
2025-10-14
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AGCO from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.