AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

AMTM Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Industrials • Specialty Business Services

Current Price Live

$35.38

Analyst Target

$36.18

+2.3% Upside

52W High

$36.0

52W Low

$16.01

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AI Analysis

Confidence Score

65%

Analysis Accuracy

AMTM's deterministic health scores indicate moderate financial stability with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable range) but lack of Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($10.6) and intrinsic value ($1.89), supported by strong revenue growth (77.4% YoY) and positive analyst sentiment (buy rating). However, weak profitability metrics, volatile earnings, and lack of cash flow transparency offset these positives. Recent price strength and high forward growth expectations are already priced in, limiting near-term upside.

Key Strengths

Exceptional year-over-year revenue growth of 77.40%, significantly above sector average (17.49%)

Strong recent quarterly earnings surprises, including +88.0% and +12.5% beats in prior quarters

Low Price/Sales ratio of 0.60, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to sales volume

Forward P/E of 12.87 is reasonable compared to current P/E of 131.04, indicating earnings recovery expectations

Analyst consensus supports upside with a $36.18 target price and 'buy' recommendation from 11 analysts

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates borderline financial health with risks in profitability and leverage

Earnings growth is negative YoY (-43.20%) despite strong revenue growth, raising margin concerns

Extremely low profit margin (0.46%) and ROE (1.29%) well below sector averages

Current P/E of 131.04 suggests overvaluation unless forward earnings materialize

Missing key financial data (EV, debt, cash, shares outstanding, free cash flow) limits full health assessment

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$28.5

-19.4% below current price

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Profitability, Growth & Financial Health

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Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis

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