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AMTM

NEUTRAL
$35.38 Live
Amentum Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Target $36.18 (+2.3%)
$16.01 52W Range $36.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$8.62B
P/E
131.04
ROE
1.3%
Profit margin
0.5%
Debt/Equity
0.9
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
AMTM's deterministic health scores indicate moderate financial stability with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable range) but lack of Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($10.6) and intrinsic value ($1.89), supported by strong revenue growth (77.4% YoY) and positive analyst sentiment (buy rating). However, weak profitability metrics, volatile earnings, and lack of cash flow transparency offset these positives. Recent price strength and high forward growth expectations are already priced in, limiting near-term upside.

Key Strengths

Exceptional year-over-year revenue growth of 77.40%, significantly above sector average (17.49%)
Strong recent quarterly earnings surprises, including +88.0% and +12.5% beats in prior quarters
Low Price/Sales ratio of 0.60, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to sales volume
Forward P/E of 12.87 is reasonable compared to current P/E of 131.04, indicating earnings recovery expectations
Analyst consensus supports upside with a $36.18 target price and 'buy' recommendation from 11 analysts

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates borderline financial health with risks in profitability and leverage
Earnings growth is negative YoY (-43.20%) despite strong revenue growth, raising margin concerns
Extremely low profit margin (0.46%) and ROE (1.29%) well below sector averages
Current P/E of 131.04 suggests overvaluation unless forward earnings materialize
Missing key financial data (EV, debt, cash, shares outstanding, free cash flow) limits full health assessment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$28.5
-19.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
49
Moderate
Value
40
Future
75
Past
60
Health
50
Dividend
20
AI Verdict
Cautiously optimistic with significant data gaps and mixed profitability signals
Key drivers: High revenue growth, Improving quarterly earnings trend, Low forward P/E, Piotroski score in stable range, Missing Altman Z-Score and cash flow data
Confidence
70%
Value
40/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 12.87 is below sector average
  • Price/Sales of 0.60 is low
Watchpoints
  • Current P/E of 131.04 is extremely high
  • Stock trades far above Graham Number ($10.6) and intrinsic value ($1.89)
Future
75/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 77.40% YoY is exceptional
  • Q/Q earnings growth of 53.80% shows strong momentum
  • Forward P/E implies earnings recovery
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth is negative YoY (-43.20%)
  • PEG Ratio unavailable limits growth-adjusted valuation
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Recent price performance strong: +63.0% 1Y return
  • Mixed but improving earnings surprise trend
Watchpoints
  • Average earnings surprise of -19.95% over last 4 quarters
  • One major earnings miss (-71.4%) raises consistency concerns
Health
50/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 in 'Stable' range
  • Current ratio (1.32) and quick ratio (1.24) indicate short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
  • No Altman Z-Score available for distress risk assessment
  • Debt/Equity of 0.90 is moderate but concerning with low ROE
Dividend
20/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • No payout pressure (payout ratio 0.00%)
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield
  • Dividend strength score of 0/100
  • No history of dividend payments

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$35.38
Analyst Target
$36.18
Upside/Downside
+2.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AMTM and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
AMT
Amentum Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+19.9%
3Y
+19.9%
1Y
+63.0%
6M
+38.3%
1M
+18.3%
1W
+1.7%
FPS
Forgent Power Solutions, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+21.2%
3Y
+21.2%
1Y
+21.2%
6M
+21.2%
1M
+8.2%
1W
+4.3%
AGC
AGCO Corporation
Peer
5Y
+20.6%
3Y
-9.0%
1Y
+9.5%
6M
+1.8%
1M
+8.1%
1W
+2.2%
AYI
Acuity Inc.
Peer
5Y
+69.5%
3Y
+57.7%
1Y
+9.1%
6M
-20.9%
1M
-2.9%
1W
+0.8%
POO
Pool Corporation
Peer
5Y
-37.3%
3Y
-30.1%
1Y
-23.7%
6M
-21.4%
1M
+7.1%
1W
+5.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
131.04
Forward P/E
12.87
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.91
P/S Ratio
0.6
EV/Revenue
0.87
EV/EBITDA
12.19
Market Cap
$8.62B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 0.46%
Operating Margin 3.64%
Gross Margin 10.75%
ROE 1.29%
ROA 2.68%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +77.4%
Earnings Growth -43.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +53.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.9
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.32
Good
Quick Ratio
1.24
Good
Cash/Share
$1.81

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-09
$N/A
2025-11-24
$0.63
+6.5% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.56
+5.1% surprise
2025-05-06
$0.02
-71.4% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing AMTM against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
131.04
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
+33.4% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
1.29%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-106.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.46%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-93.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.9
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-65.7% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
77.4%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
+8.6% (Growing)
Current Ratio
1.32
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-57.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MULLEN SEAN THOMAS
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-17
9,298 shares
BURTON DARREN
Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-05
2,721 shares
DEMETRIOU STEVEN J
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2025-11-17
43,396 shares
ARNETTE STEPHEN A
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-17
1,178 shares
DEMETRIOU STEVEN J
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2025-11-17
111,355 shares
HELLER JOHN E
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-17
155,897 shares
JOHNSON TRAVIS BARTON
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-17
100,220 shares
ARNETTE STEPHEN A
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-17
46,769 shares
BRUNING JILL L
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-17
17,817 shares
MULLEN SEAN THOMAS
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-17
17,817 shares
BURTON DARREN
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-17
22,271 shares
ST. MARY MICHELE T
General Counsel
Stock Award
2025-11-17
22,271 shares
ARNETTE STEPHEN A
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-14
19,088 shares
DEMETRIOU STEVEN J
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2025-11-06
90,727 shares
HELLER JOHN E
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-06
39,617 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
11 analysts
UBS
2026-01-15
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Truist Securities
2026-01-14
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citizens
2026-01-12
Maintains
Market Outperform Market Outperform
B of A Securities
2025-12-31
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
BTIG
2025-12-03
Maintains
Buy Buy
Cantor Fitzgerald
2025-12-02
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Truist Securities
2025-11-26
Maintains
Buy Buy
JP Morgan
2025-11-26
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
RBC Capital
2025-11-26
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
Morgan Stanley
2025-11-26
up
Underweight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AMTM from our newsroom.

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