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AWK American Water Works Company, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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AWK Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Utilities Utilities - Regulated Water
Current Price Live
$129.71
Analyst Target
$141.54
+9.1% Upside
52W High
$155.5
52W Low
$121.4

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
American Water Works (AWK) exhibits a weak Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline financial health, and lacks an Altman Z-Score, limiting distress risk assessment. The stock trades above both the Graham Number ($84.07) and intrinsic value estimate ($107.62) at $129.71, reflecting a premium valuation despite solid profitability and regulated utility stability. Revenue and earnings growth are steady but not exceptional, while high debt/equity and poor liquidity ratios raise concerns. Analysts consensus is a 'hold' with a target price of $141.55, suggesting limited upside.

Key Strengths

High gross margin (60.75%) and operating margin (42.59%) reflect strong pricing power and cost control in a regulated environment
Consistent year-over-year revenue growth (9.70%) and earnings growth (~8%) demonstrate operational stability
Dividend yield of 2.52% is above sector average with a sustainable payout ratio (55.98%)
Market leader in regulated water utilities with defensive business model
Analyst target price implies ~9% upside from current levels

Key Risks

Low Piotroski F-Score (4/9) signals weak financial health, particularly in liquidity and leverage metrics
Very low current ratio (0.42) and quick ratio (0.31) indicate potential short-term liquidity pressure
High debt/equity ratio (1.41) exceeds sector average (1.68), increasing financial risk in rising rate environments
Valuation rich relative to Graham Number ($84.07) and intrinsic value ($107.62), offering limited margin of safety
Technical trend score of 0/100 and negative 6-month price performance (-6.4%) suggest weakening momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$107.62
-17.0% below current price

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