AXR
BEARISH
$20.78
Live
AMREP Corporation · NYSE
Target $23.0
(+10.7%)
$17.6
52W Range
$31.46
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$110.26M
P/E
10.77
ROE
8.0%
Profit margin
22.9%
Debt/Equity
0.0
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
78%
The company exhibits weak fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, indicating significant financial distress risks. Despite strong profitability margins and a debt-free balance sheet, the business is experiencing sharp declines in revenue and earnings, with YoY earnings down 70.7%. The stock trades below its Graham Number of $33.48 but at a premium to its growth-adjusted intrinsic value of $13.51, suggesting overvaluation given deteriorating fundamentals. Persistent negative earnings surprises and lack of analyst coverage further undermine confidence.
Key Strengths
High gross and operating margins (41.05% and 11.91%) indicate pricing power or cost efficiency
Debt-free balance sheet with Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 reduces financial risk
Exceptionally high liquidity with Current Ratio of 27.98 and Quick Ratio of 10.93
Stock trades below Graham Number ($20.78 vs $33.48), suggesting potential value
Profit margin of 22.86% exceeds sector average of 28.60% by a narrow margin
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signals weak financial health and high risk of underperformance
Revenue and earnings are in steep decline: YoY revenue down 21.10%, earnings down 70.70%
Earnings volatility and consistent negative surprises: average surprise of -49.62% over last 4 quarters
Lack of Altman Z-Score prevents full distress risk assessment, but declining earnings raise concerns
Only one analyst covering the stock, indicating low institutional interest and poor transparency
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$18.5
-11.0% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
33
Weak
68
22
44
30
0
AI Verdict
Weak fundamentals and deteriorating earnings trajectory outweigh value and balance sheet strengths
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score, Sharp earnings and revenue declines, Negative earnings surprises, Strong margins and low valuation provide partial offset
Confidence
80%
Value
68/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price ($20.78) below Graham Number ($33.48)
- P/E of 10.77 well below sector average of 53.77
Watchpoints
- Intrinsic Value (Growth-based) of $13.51 suggests overvaluation at current price
- P/B of 0.81 may reflect asset undervaluation or weak growth expectations
Future
22/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- One recent quarter showed strong earnings beat (+128.9%)
Watchpoints
- Revenue Growth (YoY): -21.10%
- Earnings Growth (YoY): -70.70%
- Q/Q Earnings Growth: -70.30%
- PEG Ratio unavailable due to negative growth
Past
44/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Long-term 5Y return of +169.5% shows historical appreciation
- One consistent earnings beat in 2011-12-09 and 2025-09-09
Watchpoints
- History of large earnings misses, including -285.2% and -1150.0% surprises
- Erratic earnings performance over 7 quarters
Health
30/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity of 0.00 eliminates leverage risk
- Extremely high Current and Quick Ratios indicate strong liquidity
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health
- Altman Z-Score unavailable, limiting distress risk analysis
- ROE of 8.04% below cost of equity, suggesting subpar returns
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength: 0/100
- No dividend yield or payout history
- Payout Ratio: 0.00% indicates no return to shareholders
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$20.78
Analyst Target
$23.0
Upside/Downside
+10.7%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AXR and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AXR
AMREP Corporation
Primary
|
+169.5% | +58.9% | -33.1% | -12.4% | +9.4% | -5.1% |
|
SUNS
Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc.
Peer
|
-13.8% | -13.8% | -2.5% | -11.1% | -2.5% | +0.3% |
|
STHO
Star Holdings
Peer
|
-57.4% | -50.0% | +31.6% | +14.7% | +5.0% | +2.6% |
|
CHMI
Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation
Peer
|
-42.0% | -20.6% | +14.9% | +15.6% | -1.2% | -2.6% |
|
JFB
JFB Construction Holdings
Peer
|
+240.0% | +240.0% | +217.3% | -17.2% | -34.1% | -10.1% |
AXR
AMREP Corporation
Primary
5Y
+169.5%
3Y
+58.9%
1Y
-33.1%
6M
-12.4%
1M
+9.4%
1W
-5.1%
SUN
Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-13.8%
3Y
-13.8%
1Y
-2.5%
6M
-11.1%
1M
-2.5%
1W
+0.3%
STH
Star Holdings
Peer
5Y
-57.4%
3Y
-50.0%
1Y
+31.6%
6M
+14.7%
1M
+5.0%
1W
+2.6%
CHM
Cherry Hill Mortgage Investment Corporation
Peer
5Y
-42.0%
3Y
-20.6%
1Y
+14.9%
6M
+15.6%
1M
-1.2%
1W
-2.6%
JFB
JFB Construction Holdings
Peer
5Y
+240.0%
3Y
+240.0%
1Y
+217.3%
6M
-17.2%
1M
-34.1%
1W
-10.1%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
10.77
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.81
P/S Ratio
2.4
EV/Revenue
1.41
EV/EBITDA
5.66
Market Cap
$110.26M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
22.86%
Operating Margin
11.91%
Gross Margin
41.05%
ROE
8.04%
ROA
5.22%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-21.1%
Earnings Growth
-70.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-70.3%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.0
Low debt
Current Ratio
27.98
Strong
Quick Ratio
10.93
Excellent
Cash/Share
$8.46
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2025-12-12
$0.22
-50.0% surprise
2025-09-09
$0.87
+128.9% surprise
2012-03-09
$-0.05
-285.2% surprise
2011-12-09
$0.18
+7.8% surprise
Real Estate Sector Comparison
Comparing AXR against 165 companies in the Real Estate sector
(6 bullish, 31 neutral, 128 bearish)
P/E Ratio
10.77
This Stock
vs
41.83
Sector Avg
-74.3%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.04%
This Stock
vs
-33.57%
Sector Avg
-124.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
22.86%
This Stock
vs
10.53%
Sector Avg
+117.1%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.0
This Stock
vs
2.45
Sector Avg
-100.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-21.1%
This Stock
vs
16932.14%
Sector Avg
-100.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
27.98
This Stock
vs
7.96
Sector Avg
+251.5%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AXR
AMREP Corporation
|
BEARISH | $110.26M | 10.77 | 8.0% | 22.9% | $20.78 | |
|
SUNS
Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $105.45M | 8.39 | 8.2% | 62.1% | $7.8 | Compare |
|
STHO
Star Holdings
|
BEARISH | $103.12M | - | -23.2% | -54.4% | $8.53 | Compare |
|
CHMI
Cherry Hill Mortgage...
|
BEARISH | $95.52M | - | 2.9% | 20.9% | $2.6 | Compare |
|
JFB
JFB Construction Holdings
|
BEARISH | $84.54M | - | -23.9% | -17.3% | $5.95 | Compare |
AXR
AMREP Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$110M
P/E
10.8
ROE
8.0%
Price
$20.78
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AXR from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.