AXR AMREP Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AXR Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Real Estate
Real Estate - Development
Current Price
Live
$20.78
Analyst Target
$23.0
+10.7%
Upside
52W High
$31.46
52W Low
$17.6
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The company exhibits weak fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, indicating significant financial distress risks. Despite strong profitability margins and a debt-free balance sheet, the business is experiencing sharp declines in revenue and earnings, with YoY earnings down 70.7%. The stock trades below its Graham Number of $33.48 but at a premium to its growth-adjusted intrinsic value of $13.51, suggesting overvaluation given deteriorating fundamentals. Persistent negative earnings surprises and lack of analyst coverage further undermine confidence.
Key Strengths
High gross and operating margins (41.05% and 11.91%) indicate pricing power or cost efficiency
Debt-free balance sheet with Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 reduces financial risk
Exceptionally high liquidity with Current Ratio of 27.98 and Quick Ratio of 10.93
Stock trades below Graham Number ($20.78 vs $33.48), suggesting potential value
Profit margin of 22.86% exceeds sector average of 28.60% by a narrow margin
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signals weak financial health and high risk of underperformance
Revenue and earnings are in steep decline: YoY revenue down 21.10%, earnings down 70.70%
Earnings volatility and consistent negative surprises: average surprise of -49.62% over last 4 quarters
Lack of Altman Z-Score prevents full distress risk assessment, but declining earnings raise concerns
Only one analyst covering the stock, indicating low institutional interest and poor transparency
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$18.5
-11.0% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare AXR against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
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Past News Coverage
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