BALY Bally's Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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BALY Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Consumer Cyclical
Resorts & Casinos
Current Price
Live
$16.5
Analyst Target
$16.25
-1.5%
Downside
52W High
$20.74
52W Low
$8.46
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$811.18M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-115.6%
Profit margin
-17.4%
Debt/Equity
10.85
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
92%
Analysis Accuracy
BALY exhibits severe financial distress with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating weak fundamental health. The company is unprofitable with a negative ROE of -115.63%, a deeply negative forward P/E of -8.25, and a profit margin of -17.41%, signaling ongoing earnings deterioration. Despite a low Price/Sales ratio of 0.33 suggesting possible value, extreme leverage (Debt/Equity: 10.85) and poor earnings predictability—evidenced by an average earnings surprise of -149.99% over the last four quarters—undermine any valuation appeal. Technical trend and insider sentiment are neutral to bearish, reinforcing a high-risk profile.
Key Strengths
Low Price/Sales ratio of 0.33 suggests potential undervaluation relative to revenue
Gross margin of 55.16% indicates strong core operational efficiency in service delivery
Recent 6-month price return of +65.5% shows short-term momentum
Revenue growth of 5.40% YoY indicates top-line resilience in a competitive sector
Operating margin of 4.65% remains positive despite net losses
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial weakness and high risk of continued underperformance
Debt/Equity ratio of 10.85 is drastically above sector average (1.60), signaling extreme financial leverage
Negative ROE of -115.63% reflects significant shareholder value destruction
Forward P/E of -8.25 confirms unprofitability and lack of earnings visibility
Earnings volatility with YoY EPS decline of -1066.7% and consistent negative surprises
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
20
Weak
45
20
25
10
0
AI Verdict
High-risk, fundamentally weak company with unsustainable capital structure and poor earnings quality
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 2, Debt/Equity of 10.85, Negative ROE and forward P/E, Consistently missed earnings estimates
Confidence
94%
Value
45/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Low Price/Sales ratio (0.33)
- Price/Book of 1.55 below some peers
Watchpoints
- Negative earnings make P/E unreliable
- No Graham Number or Intrinsic Value available
- Forward P/E negative at -8.25
Future
20/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 5.40% YoY revenue growth
Watchpoints
- No earnings growth visibility
- Forward P/E negative
- Most recent Q/Q EPS growth: -400.0%
- Year-over-Year EPS Growth: -1066.7%
Past
25/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Some past earnings beats (e.g., +741.8% in Mar 2021)
Watchpoints
- 1 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates
- Average surprise of -149.99% over last 4 quarters
- History of massive earnings misses (e.g., -1525.5% in Nov 2023)
Health
10/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Operating cash flow positive (data unavailable but implied by operating margin)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
- Debt/Equity of 10.85
- Current Ratio of 0.68
- Quick Ratio of 0.45
- ROA of only 0.36%
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid
- Dividend Strength: 0/100
- Payout Ratio: 0.00% (due to losses)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$16.5
Analyst Target
$16.25
Upside/Downside
-1.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BALY and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BALY
Bally's Corporation
Primary
|
-6.3% | -6.3% | -7.7% | +65.5% | -4.6% | -1.6% |
|
BBW
Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.
Peer
|
+1447.6% | +196.4% | +52.8% | +24.3% | +6.1% | -10.3% |
|
ARKO
Arko Corp.
Peer
|
-30.7% | -25.5% | +53.9% | +22.6% | -9.3% | -6.1% |
|
ACEL
Accel Entertainment, Inc.
Peer
|
+13.1% | +27.0% | -0.2% | -11.4% | -1.7% | -2.2% |
|
BLMN
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
Peer
|
-58.5% | -61.9% | -33.9% | -21.6% | +17.9% | +0.5% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-8.25
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.55
P/S Ratio
0.33
EV/Revenue
2.54
EV/EBITDA
19.52
Market Cap
$811.18M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-17.41%
Operating Margin
4.65%
Gross Margin
55.16%
ROE
-115.63%
ROA
0.36%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+5.4%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
10.85
High debt
Current Ratio
0.68
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.45
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.27
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-03-04
$N/A
2025-11-12
$-3.85
-363.5% surprise
2025-08-11
$-0.77
-115.6% surprise
2025-05-12
$-0.48
+29.2% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing BALY against 94 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(5 bullish, 50 neutral, 39 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-115.63%
This Stock
vs
6.06%
Sector Avg
-2009.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-17.41%
This Stock
vs
0.8%
Sector Avg
-2270.7%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
10.85
This Stock
vs
1.65
Sector Avg
+558.0%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
5.4%
This Stock
vs
7.63%
Sector Avg
-29.2%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.68
This Stock
vs
1.87
Sector Avg
-63.4%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BALY
Bally's Corporation
|
BEARISH | $811.18M | - | -115.6% | -17.4% | $16.5 | |
|
BBW
Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $831.54M | 14.7 | 41.2% | 10.9% | $63.35 | |
|
ARKO
Arko Corp.
|
BEARISH | $680.96M | 54.91 | 6.1% | 0.3% | $6.04 | |
|
ACEL
Accel Entertainment, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $951.68M | 23.04 | 18.2% | 3.3% | $11.29 | |
|
BLMN
Bloomin' Brands, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $657.02M | 20.84 | 12.4% | -1.5% | $7.71 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | KIM SOOHYUNG | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Stock Award | 3,027 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | REEVES ROBESON MANDELA | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 35,714 | - |
| 2025-09-30 | KIM SOOHYUNG | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Stock Award | 4,505 | - |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
4 analysts
Barclays
2025-12-17
Equal-Weight
Underweight
Macquarie
2025-11-14
Neutral
Neutral
Truist Securities
2025-11-14
Hold
Hold
Stifel
2025-11-11
Hold
Hold
Truist Securities
2025-10-21
Hold
Hold
Barclays
2025-08-13
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Macquarie
2025-08-12
Neutral
Neutral
Stifel
2025-08-12
Hold
Hold
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BALY from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.