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HDL

NEUTRAL
$14.8 Live
Super Hi International Holding Ltd. · NASDAQ
Target $18.6 (+25.7%)
$14.25 52W Range $23.62

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 11, 2026
Market cap
$870.78M
P/E
14.8
ROE
9.6%
Profit margin
4.3%
Debt/Equity
0.58
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
HDL exhibits strong fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58, significantly outperforming sector averages in profitability and leverage. However, the stock is trading at a severe premium to its Graham Number ($4.43) and Intrinsic Value ($7.00), suggesting a valuation disconnect. While analyst targets remain bullish ($18.60), the technical trend is aggressively bearish (0/100) with consistent price declines over the last year. The company is a fundamentally sound business currently trapped in a bearish price cycle and overvalued relative to defensive metrics.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating high financial health
Low Debt/Equity (0.58) compared to sector average (1.58)
Positive profit margins (4.33%) in a sector with negative average margins
Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.41
Robust YoY EPS growth of 600% (recovery phase)

Key Risks

Significant overvaluation relative to Graham Number ($4.43) and Intrinsic Value ($7.00)
Severe bearish technical trend (0/100) with negative 1Y, 6M, and 1M returns
Extremely high Price-to-Book ratio (16.95)
Weak insider sentiment (40/100)
Inconsistent earnings surprises (only 2/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$7.5
-49.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
41
Moderate
Value
30
Future
65
Past
20
Health
90
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Fundamental Strength vs. Valuation Gap
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score, Price-to-Intrinsic Gap, Technical Trend, Sector Relative Profitability
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E (14.80) is significantly lower than sector average (39.55)
Watchpoints
  • Price is >3x the Graham Number
  • Price is >2x the Intrinsic Value
  • P/B ratio is excessively high at 16.95
Future
65/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Steady revenue growth (9.5% YoY)
  • Strong EPS recovery (+600% YoY)
  • Positive analyst target price ($18.60)
Watchpoints
  • Q/Q earnings growth has stalled at 0.0%
Past
20/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Successful transition to profitability
Watchpoints
  • 1Y Change: -27.3%
  • 6M Change: -17.2%
  • 1M Change: -10.1%
Health
90/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
  • Current Ratio 2.41
  • Debt/Equity 0.58
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score data unavailable
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$14.8
Analyst Target
$18.6
Upside/Downside
+25.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HDL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
HDL
Super Hi International Holding Ltd.
Primary
5Y
-33.6%
3Y
-33.6%
1Y
-27.3%
6M
-17.2%
1M
-10.1%
1W
+3.9%
BAL
Bally's Corporation
Peer
5Y
-6.3%
3Y
-6.3%
1Y
-7.7%
6M
+65.5%
1M
-4.6%
1W
-1.6%
ACE
Accel Entertainment, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+13.1%
3Y
+27.0%
1Y
-0.2%
6M
-11.4%
1M
-1.7%
1W
-2.2%
HEP
D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret A.S.
Peer
5Y
-79.8%
3Y
+135.7%
1Y
+4.2%
6M
+7.5%
1M
-4.2%
1W
+0.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
14.8
Forward P/E
16.09
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
16.95
P/S Ratio
1.04
EV/Revenue
7.82
EV/EBITDA
52.88
Market Cap
$870.78M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.33%
Operating Margin 7.32%
Gross Margin 29.54%
ROE 9.65%
ROA 3.64%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +9.5%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +7.77%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.58
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.41
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.1
Excellent
Cash/Share
$0.61

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q3 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
33.5%
Op. Margin
6.0%
Net Margin
1.7%
Total Assets
$0.7B
Liabilities
$0.3B
Equity
$0.4B
Debt/Equity
0.89x
Operating CF
$0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-27
$N/A
2026-03-31
$0.1
+150.0% surprise
2025-11-26
$0.1
-50.0% surprise
2025-08-26
$0.3
+50.0% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing HDL against 154 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (12 bullish, 60 neutral, 82 bearish)
P/E Ratio
14.8
This Stock
vs
38.53
Sector Avg
-61.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.65%
This Stock
vs
-4.36%
Sector Avg
-321.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.33%
This Stock
vs
-1.85%
Sector Avg
-334.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.58
This Stock
vs
1.52
Sector Avg
-61.6% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
9.5%
This Stock
vs
6.78%
Sector Avg
+40.2% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
2.41
This Stock
vs
2.21
Sector Avg
+8.7% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HDL from our newsroom.

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