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BEKE

BEARISH
$16.9 Live
KE Holdings Inc. · NYSE
Target $20.68 (+22.3%)
$15.26 52W Range $23.94

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 17, 2026
Market cap
$19.05B
P/E
39.3
ROE
5.0%
Profit margin
3.4%
Debt/Equity
0.31
Dividend yield
2.15%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
BEKE's deterministic health scores signal significant distress: the Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health, with deteriorating profitability and negative earnings growth. The absence of an Altman Z-Score raises red flags for potential bankruptcy risk, especially given the company's declining earnings and high payout ratio. While the Graham Number ($9.15) suggests undervaluation, the current price of $16.90 trades at a substantial premium, reflecting overoptimistic growth expectations. Analysts recommend 'buy' with a target of $20.68, but this is inconsistent with the company's weak fundamentals and negative earnings trajectory. The stock has underperformed over multiple time horizons, including a 5-year decline of 73.3%.

Key Strengths

Graham Number of $9.15 implies a defensive fair value floor
Positive recent earnings surprises in some quarters (e.g., +110.8% in 2023-11-08)
Relatively low debt/equity ratio of 0.31 indicates manageable leverage
Consistent dividend yield of 2.15% provides income appeal
Analyst consensus remains 'buy' with a target price above current levels

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signals weak financial health and deteriorating operational efficiency
Negative year-over-year earnings growth of -33.3% and -59.6% Q/Q, indicating severe profitability contraction
Payout ratio of 88.12% is unsustainable without strong cash flow or earnings recovery
Technical trend is 0/100 (bearish), with price below 52-week low and declining momentum
No Altman Z-Score available, but the combination of declining earnings, high payout, and weak profitability suggests distress risk
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$9.15
-45.9% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
34
Weak
Value
55
Future
25
Past
40
Health
20
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
weak
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (3/9), Negative earnings growth (-33.3% YoY), High payout ratio (88.12%), Bearish technical trend (0/100), 5-year price decline of 73.3%
Confidence
88%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Graham Number of $9.15 suggests undervaluation
  • Price/Sales of 0.18 is extremely low
  • Current price ($16.90) is above Graham Number but below forward P/E of 16.42
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E of 16.42 is high relative to negative earnings growth
  • Stock trades at a premium to Graham Number ($16.90 vs $9.15)
  • No PEG ratio available, limiting growth-adjusted valuation
Future
25/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target price of $20.68 implies upside potential
  • Some recent quarters beat estimates (3/4 in last 4)
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth is -33.3% YoY and -59.6% Q/Q
  • Revenue growth is only 2.10% YoY, indicating stagnation
  • Free cash flow and operating cash flow data missing, limiting future cash generation assessment
Past
40/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical earnings surprises have been positive in several quarters (e.g., +128.5% in 2023-03-16)
  • Consistent dividend payments over multiple years
Watchpoints
  • 5-year price performance down 73.3%
  • Negative EPS growth in 10 of the last 22 quarters
  • Recent earnings misses (e.g., -37.5% in 2026-03-16)
Health
20/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Debt/Equity of 0.31 is low
  • Current ratio of 1.61 and quick ratio of 1.26 indicate short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health
  • No Altman Z-Score available; risk of distress is elevated
  • ROE of 5.02% and ROA of 1.81% are low for a real estate services firm
  • Profit margin of 3.36% is below industry average
Dividend
30/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 2.15% is attractive
  • Consistent dividend payments over time
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 88.12% is unsustainable in the long term
  • Negative earnings growth undermines dividend safety
  • Dividend rate is not growing, despite declining profitability

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$16.9
Analyst Target
$20.68
Upside/Downside
+22.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BEKE and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-16
BEK
KE Holdings Inc.
Primary
5Y
-73.3%
3Y
-5.8%
1Y
-31.2%
6M
-14.2%
1M
-3.7%
1W
+1.7%
ESS
Essex Property Trust, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+2.9%
3Y
+37.7%
1Y
-4.0%
6M
-1.5%
1M
+6.6%
1W
+0.2%
REG
Regency Centers Corporation
Peer
5Y
+65.4%
3Y
+50.7%
1Y
+17.6%
6M
+14.4%
1M
+5.9%
1W
+3.2%
EQR
Equity Residential
Peer
5Y
+1.1%
3Y
+16.5%
1Y
-6.1%
6M
+0.5%
1M
+7.8%
1W
-0.7%
SBA
SBA Communications Corporation
Peer
5Y
-16.6%
3Y
-10.2%
1Y
-0.4%
6M
+15.1%
1M
+21.9%
1W
-0.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
39.3
Forward P/E
16.42
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.95
P/S Ratio
0.18
EV/Revenue
0.28
EV/EBITDA
6.53
Market Cap
$19.05B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.36%
Operating Margin 3.0%
Gross Margin 21.86%
ROE 5.02%
ROA 1.81%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +2.1%
Earnings Growth -33.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -36.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.31
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.61
Good
Quick Ratio
1.26
Good
Cash/Share
$14.35

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q3 2025

Revenue
$23.1B
Gross Margin
21.4%
Op. Margin
3.0%
Net Margin
3.3%
Total Assets
$119.3B
Liabilities
$51.4B
Equity
$67.8B
Debt/Equity
0.76x
Operating CF
$0.9B
Free Cash Flow
$0.9B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-16
$0.46
-37.5% surprise
2025-11-10
$1.12
+1.5% surprise
2025-08-26
$1.55
+1.1% surprise
2025-05-15
$1.19
+16.2% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing BEKE against 165 companies in the Real Estate sector (6 bullish, 31 neutral, 128 bearish)
P/E Ratio
39.3
This Stock
vs
41.83
Sector Avg
-6.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.02%
This Stock
vs
-33.57%
Sector Avg
-115.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.36%
This Stock
vs
10.53%
Sector Avg
-68.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.31
This Stock
vs
2.45
Sector Avg
-87.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
2.1%
This Stock
vs
16932.14%
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.61
This Stock
vs
7.96
Sector Avg
-79.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BEKE from our newsroom.

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