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EQR

BEARISH
$62.26 Live
Equity Residential · NYSE
Target $69.88 (+12.2%)
$57.57 52W Range $72.4

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$23.33B
P/E
21.18
ROE
10.0%
Profit margin
36.2%
Debt/Equity
0.74
Dividend yield
4.51%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Equity Residential (EQR) presents a concerning valuation profile, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating only stable health and a current price of $62.26 that significantly exceeds both its Graham Number ($43.93) and Intrinsic Value ($20.58). While the company maintains strong profit margins and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, it is plagued by declining earnings growth (-8.80% YoY) and a consistent track record of missing analyst estimates. The forward P/E expansion to 41.69 suggests a projected contraction in earnings, while a 94.35% dividend payout ratio leaves virtually no margin for error. Combined with bearish insider selling and a 0/100 technical trend, the stock appears fundamentally overpriced.

Key Strengths

Strong profit margins (36.20%) and gross margins (62.88%)
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.74 compared to sector averages
Stable Piotroski F-Score (4/9) indicating baseline financial stability
Consistent dividend yield of 4.51%
Large market capitalization providing institutional scale

Key Risks

Severe overvaluation relative to Graham Number ($43.93) and Intrinsic Value ($20.58)
Negative earnings growth (-8.80% YoY) and sharp Q/Q EPS decline (-24.3%)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 94.35%
Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates (only 1 beat in last 4 quarters)
Extreme PEG ratio (16.10) indicating price is disconnected from growth
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$43.93
-29.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
41
Moderate
Value
20
Future
30
Past
50
Health
60
Dividend
45
AI Verdict
Overvalued with declining fundamentals
Key drivers: Price-to-Intrinsic Value gap, Earnings contraction, High payout ratio, Bearish insider sentiment
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E 21.18, PEG 16.10, Graham Number $43.93

Positives
  • P/E is lower than the sector average of 45.42
Watchpoints
  • Price is 41% above Graham Number
  • PEG ratio of 16.10 is extremely high
  • Price is 3x the growth-based intrinsic value
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates and Forward P/E

Positives
  • Slight positive revenue growth (2.00%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative earnings growth (-8.80%)
  • Forward P/E doubling suggests expected earnings drop
  • Poor earnings surprise track record
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends and Earnings track record

Positives
  • Positive 3-year price change (+16.5%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative 1-year price change (-6.1%)
  • Long-term pattern of missing EPS estimates
Health
60/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score and Debt/Equity

Positives
  • Debt/Equity (0.74) is well below sector average (2.66)
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is stable
Watchpoints
  • Extremely low current ratio (0.11) and quick ratio (0.04)
Dividend
45/100

Ref Yield 4.51%, Payout 94.35%

Positives
  • Attractive yield of 4.51%
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 94.35% is dangerously high
  • Low dividend strength score (40/100)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$62.26
Analyst Target
$69.88
Upside/Downside
+12.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for EQR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
EQR
Equity Residential
Primary
5Y
+1.1%
3Y
+16.5%
1Y
-6.1%
6M
+0.5%
1M
+7.8%
1W
-0.7%
SBA
SBA Communications Corporation
Peer
5Y
-16.6%
3Y
-10.2%
1Y
-0.4%
6M
+15.1%
1M
+21.9%
1W
-0.3%
AVB
AvalonBay Communities, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+27.0%
3Y
+14.8%
1Y
-13.4%
6M
-9.7%
1M
-1.4%
1W
-2.0%
BEK
KE Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
-73.3%
3Y
-5.8%
1Y
-31.2%
6M
-14.2%
1M
-3.7%
1W
+1.7%
EXR
Extra Space Storage Inc.
Peer
5Y
+17.8%
3Y
+7.8%
1Y
+4.8%
6M
-3.2%
1M
+9.3%
1W
-2.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
21.18
Forward P/E
41.69
PEG Ratio
16.1
P/B Ratio
2.13
P/S Ratio
7.54
EV/Revenue
10.44
EV/EBITDA
17.17
Market Cap
$23.33B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 36.2%
Operating Margin 28.51%
Gross Margin 62.88%
ROE 10.02%
ROA 2.61%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +2.0%
Earnings Growth -8.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +1.97%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -8.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.74
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.11
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.04
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.15

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.8B
Gross Margin
63.3%
Op. Margin
28.5%
Net Margin
48.9%
Total Assets
$20.7B
Liabilities
$9.3B
Equity
$11.0B
Debt/Equity
0.85x
Operating CF
$0.4B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.3B
FCF Yield
73%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-28
$N/A
2026-02-05
$0.28
-25.5% surprise
2025-10-28
$0.37
-11.4% surprise
2025-08-04
$0.34
+12.6% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing EQR against 158 companies in the Real Estate sector (6 bullish, 31 neutral, 121 bearish)
P/E Ratio
21.18
This Stock
vs
42.45
Sector Avg
-50.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.02%
This Stock
vs
-35.03%
Sector Avg
-128.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
36.2%
This Stock
vs
11.41%
Sector Avg
+217.4% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.74
This Stock
vs
2.5
Sector Avg
-70.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
2.0%
This Stock
vs
17600.73%
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.11
This Stock
vs
8.23
Sector Avg
-98.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

KAUFMAN IAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
150 shares · $7,898
MANELIS MICHAEL L
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
2026-02-18
2,429 shares · $154,387
CARRAWAY CATHERINE
Officer
Sell
2026-02-18
749 shares · $47,606
KAUFMAN IAN
Officer
Sell
2026-02-18
909 shares · $57,776
MANELIS MICHAEL L
Chief Operating Officer
Sell
2026-02-10
5,765 shares · $375,474
GARECHANA ROBERT A
Chief Investment Officer
Sell
2026-02-10
3,637 shares · $236,878
CARRAWAY CATHERINE
Officer
Sell
2026-02-10
656 shares · $42,725
MANELIS MICHAEL L
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-09
12,010 shares
FENSTER SCOTT J.
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-09
9,174 shares
CARRAWAY CATHERINE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-09
4,761 shares
MCLEOD BRET D.
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-09
6,840 shares
KAUFMAN IAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-09
4,593 shares
PARRELL MARK J
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-09
19,909 shares
MANELIS MICHAEL L
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-16
13,105 shares
GARECHANA ROBERT A
Chief Investment Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-16
11,020 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-15

Equity Residential reported its first-quarter financial results for 2026.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-14

Equity Residential (EQR) filed a definitive proxy statement on April 14, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-02

Equity Residential announced its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for 2025.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-13

Equity Residential (EQR) filed its 10-K annual report on February 13, 2026. Due to the limited content provided in the excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are not available for summary.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-05

Equity Residential filed an 8-K on February 5, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-04
8-K
8-K
2025-12-01

Equity Residential likely reported its third-quarter financial results or announced a dividend distribution in this filing.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-30

Equity Residential (EQR) filed its quarterly 10-Q report on October 30, 2025. While the filing includes a section dedicated to Risk Factors under Item 1A, no specific financial highlights or detailed risk disclosures were provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-28

Equity Residential likely filed this 8-K to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-08

Equity Residential (EQR) filed an 8-K, likely announcing its quarterly dividend distribution.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-02
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-06
8-K
8-K
2025-08-04
8-K
8-K
2025-07-24
8-K
8-K
2025-07-01
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
21 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-04-23
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Evercore ISI Group
2026-04-06
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-26
up
Equal-Weight Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-16
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Evercore ISI Group
2026-03-09
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Barclays
2026-03-06
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Scotiabank
2026-03-04
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-02-09
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
BMO Capital
2026-01-09
down
Outperform Market Perform
UBS
2026-01-08
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning EQR from our newsroom.

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