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ELME

BEARISH
$2.13 Live
Elme Communities · NYSE
Target $18.0 (+745.1%)
$1.98 52W Range $17.68
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 26, 2026
Market cap
$189.27M
P/E
N/A
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
-74.7%
Debt/Equity
0.78
Dividend yield
33.8%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
95%
ELME presents a classic value trap scenario, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 but catastrophic operational performance. The company has experienced a massive price collapse from a 52-week high of $17.68 to $2.13, coinciding with severe earnings misses (average surprise of -1540.20% over the last 4 quarters). While the Price-to-Book ratio of 0.21 suggests deep asset undervaluation, the unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 196.72% and negative profit margins of -74.71% indicate a critical lack of fundamental viability.

Key Strengths

Extremely low Price-to-Book ratio (0.21) suggesting assets are priced far below book value
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio (0.78) relative to the sector average of 2.70
Strong Gross Margin (59.25%) indicating core product viability before overhead
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a stable, though not strong, financial baseline
Positive, albeit minimal, YoY revenue growth (1.70%)

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend policy with a payout ratio of 196.72%
Severe and consistent earnings misses over the last 4 quarters
Extreme price volatility and downward trend (0/100 Technical Trend)
Deeply negative profit margins (-74.71%)
High PEG ratio (43.49) indicating poor growth relative to valuation
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$3.5
+64.3% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
25
Weak
Value
40
Future
15
Past
10
Health
50
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
Value Trap
Key drivers: Dividend insolvency, Earnings collapse, Price crash, Asset-heavy but cash-poor
Confidence
90%
Value
40/100

Trades at a massive discount to book value, but lacks earnings to support a valuation floor.

Positives
  • P/B of 0.21
  • P/S of 0.76
Watchpoints
  • N/A P/E
  • Extreme PEG ratio
Future
15/100

Growth metrics are stagnant and earnings trajectory is sharply negative.

Positives
  • Slight revenue growth
Watchpoints
  • Negative forward P/E
  • Consistent earnings misses
Past
10/100

Historical price action and earnings surprises are overwhelmingly bearish.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • 88% decline from 52-week high
  • Poor earnings track record
Health
50/100

Balance sheet is relatively clean for a REIT, but the income statement is distressed.

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity
  • Piotroski 4/9
Watchpoints
  • Negative profit margins
Dividend
10/100

The dividend is mathematically unsustainable and likely to be cut.

Positives
  • High nominal yield (33.8%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio > 196%
  • Dividends not covered by earnings

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$2.13
Analyst Target
$18.0
Upside/Downside
+745.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ELME and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
ELM
Elme Communities
Primary
5Y
-27.4%
3Y
-10.3%
1Y
-9.3%
6M
-16.6%
1M
+4.9%
1W
-0.9%
CHC
Comstock Holding Companies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+271.1%
3Y
+306.2%
1Y
+119.7%
6M
+37.9%
1M
+63.3%
1W
-0.5%
SEV
Seven Hills Realty Trust
Peer
5Y
+13.1%
3Y
+10.1%
1Y
-18.7%
6M
-12.7%
1M
+3.5%
1W
+2.3%
DOU
Douglas Elliman Inc.
Peer
5Y
-82.0%
3Y
-31.9%
1Y
+20.2%
6M
-27.9%
1M
+11.4%
1W
+6.5%
BHR
Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.
Peer
5Y
-22.4%
3Y
-28.9%
1Y
+25.3%
6M
+27.1%
1M
+3.2%
1W
+1.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-19.36
PEG Ratio
43.49
P/B Ratio
0.21
P/S Ratio
0.76
EV/Revenue
3.6
EV/EBITDA
10.98
Market Cap
$189.27M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -74.7%
Operating Margin -3.44%
Gross Margin 59.25%
ROE N/A
ROA N/A

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.7%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +1.72%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.78
Moderate
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$0.08

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q3 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
57.5%
Op. Margin
-3.4%
Net Margin
-198.9%
Total Assets
$1.7B
Liabilities
$0.8B
Equity
$0.9B
Debt/Equity
0.86x
Operating CF
$0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-27
$-0.25
-638.5% surprise
2025-10-23
$-1.4
-3973.3% surprise
2025-08-05
$-0.04
-8.7% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing ELME against 142 companies in the Real Estate sector (5 bullish, 25 neutral, 112 bearish)
Profit Margin
-74.7%
This Stock
vs
10.1%
Sector Avg
-839.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.78
This Stock
vs
2.68
Sector Avg
-70.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
1.7%
This Stock
vs
19670.57%
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

ELME Elme Communities
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$189M
P/E
-
ROE
-%
Price
$2.13
CHCI Comstock...
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$192M
P/E
11.6
ROE
27.9%
Price
$18.85
 Compare with ELME
SEVN Seven Hills...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$193M
P/E
8.5
ROE
5.2%
Price
$8.54
 Compare with ELME
DOUG Douglas Elliman Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$173M
P/E
11.5
ROE
8.3%
Price
$1.96
 Compare with ELME
BHR Braemar Hotels...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$224M
P/E
-
ROE
-1.9%
Price
$2.92
 Compare with ELME

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

GOITIA ELLEN M.
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-15
2,883 shares
BANNER JENNIFER S
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-15
2,883 shares
CARRAS SUSAN
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-15
2,883 shares
BUTCHER BENJAMIN S.
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-15
2,883 shares
WINNS ANTHONY L
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-15
2,883 shares
STURZENEGGER RON D
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-15
2,883 shares
NOLAN THOMAS H. JR.
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-15
2,883 shares
MCDERMOTT PAUL T
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-19
418,978 shares
HAMMOND WADE DREW
Officer and Treasurer
Stock Award
2025-11-19
55,238 shares
FREISHTAT STEVEN
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-19
78,860 shares
BUTCHER TIFFANY MICHELLE
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-19
140,378 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

10-K
10-K
2026-02-27

ELME filed its annual 10-K report on February 27, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial metrics or detailed risk disclosures for analysis.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-23

ELME likely filed this 8-K to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-26
8-K/A
8-K/A
2025-11-18

ELME filed an amendment to a previously submitted Current Report on November 18, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-14
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-13
8-K
8-K
2025-10-30

ELME filed an 8-K on October 30, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-24

ELME filed its 10-Q on October 24, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section for Risk Factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-23

ELME filed an 8-K on October 23, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-06

ELME filed its quarterly 10-Q report on August 6, 2025. The filing includes a section on Risk Factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-05
8-K
8-K
2025-08-04
8-K
8-K
2025-05-30
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-02
8-K
8-K
2025-05-01
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ELME from our newsroom.

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