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BHR Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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BHR Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Real Estate REIT - Hotel & Motel
Current Price Live
$2.92
Analyst Target
$4.0
+37.0% Upside
52W High
$3.28
52W Low
$1.8

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$223.77M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-1.9%
Profit margin
-1.0%
Debt/Equity
1.86
Dividend yield
6.71%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The deterministic health scores paint a concerning picture, with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9 indicating severe financial weakness. Despite a recent short-term price rebound and a high dividend yield, BHR exhibits persistent profitability issues, negative earnings growth, and a weak balance sheet. Valuation metrics appear low but are misleading given the company's operational deterioration and lack of reliable earnings. The absence of an Altman Z-Score due to data gaps further increases uncertainty, while technical and insider signals remain deeply negative.

Key Strengths

High dividend yield of 6.71% may attract income-seeking investors
Recent quarterly earnings have beaten estimates 3 out of the last 4 quarters
Significant earnings surprises in recent quarters (avg +60.2% last 4)
Price/Sales of 0.31 is well below sector average, suggesting potential value
Recent price momentum is positive with +25.3% 1-year return

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates critical financial distress and weak fundamentals
Negative profit and operating margins reflect ongoing unprofitability
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.86 is high, especially for a REIT with unstable earnings
Current and quick ratios below 1.0 signal potential liquidity issues
Forward P/E of -2.58 and negative earnings growth indicate deteriorating profitability

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
40
Moderate
Value
55
Future
25
Past
40
Health
20
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
High risk, low quality, and deteriorating fundamentals outweigh recent price momentum and dividend appeal
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score (2/9), Negative profitability metrics, Poor technical trend (10/100), High insider skepticism, Unreliable earnings despite recent beats
Confidence
70%
Value
55/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low Price/Book (0.94) near book value
  • Very low Price/Sales (0.31)
Watchpoints
  • P/E and Forward P/E not meaningful due to negative earnings
  • No Graham Number available, suggesting unprofitability invalidates formula
Future
25/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +50.0% shows improvement
Watchpoints
  • YoY EPS growth of -500.0% indicates severe deterioration
  • Revenue declining YoY (-3.20%)
  • Forward P/E negative at -2.58
Past
40/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • History of large earnings surprises (e.g., +400%, +1600%)
  • Some quarters show return to profitability
Watchpoints
  • Frequent negative earnings over 25 quarters
  • Erratic performance with large misses (e.g., -1900% surprise)
Health
20/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • ROA positive at 1.37% despite losses
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates critical financial weakness
  • Negative ROE (-1.88%)
  • Debt/Equity ratio of 1.86 is elevated
  • Current ratio (0.86) and quick ratio (0.58) below 1.0
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 6.71% is attractive
  • Payout ratio of 37.5% appears sustainable if earnings stabilize
Watchpoints
  • Dividend paid despite negative earnings, raising sustainability concerns
  • No 5-year average yield to assess consistency

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$2.92
Analyst Target
$4.0
Upside/Downside
+37.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BHR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
BHR
Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.
Primary
-22.4% -28.9% +25.3% +27.1% +3.2% +1.0%
AOMR
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc.
Peer
-15.4% +78.5% +3.5% +1.3% +4.8% -1.5%
ACRE
Ares Commercial Real Estate Corporation
Peer
-23.3% -38.4% -3.1% +10.8% -1.7% -5.1%
ARL
American Realty Investors, Inc.
Peer
+76.1% -28.3% +6.2% +29.1% +4.3% +2.6%
BRT
BRT Apartments Corp.
Peer
+27.1% -11.6% -7.2% -1.0% +3.3% -0.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-2.58
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.94
P/S Ratio
0.31
EV/Revenue
2.38
EV/EBITDA
12.14
Market Cap
$223.77M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -1.04%
Operating Margin -7.78%
Gross Margin 25.7%
ROE -1.88%
ROA 1.37%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -3.2%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -54.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.86
High debt
Current Ratio
0.86
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.58
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.71

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-26
$N/A
2025-11-04
$-0.12
+81.8% surprise
2025-07-31
$-0.24
+35.1% surprise
2025-05-07
$-0.04
+63.6% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing BHR against 56 companies in the Real Estate sector (1 bullish, 9 neutral, 46 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-1.88%
This Stock
vs
-78.05%
Sector Avg
-97.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-1.04%
This Stock
vs
26.54%
Sector Avg
-103.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.86
This Stock
vs
3.27
Sector Avg
-43.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-3.2%
This Stock
vs
1826.76%
Sector Avg
-100.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.86
This Stock
vs
8.06
Sector Avg
-89.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
BHR
Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc.
BEARISH $223.77M - -1.9% -1.0% $2.92
AOMR
Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc.
BEARISH $226.97M 11.83 6.7% 50.9% $9.11
ACRE
Ares Commercial Real...
BEARISH $266.88M - -1.4% -8.8% $4.85
ARL
American Realty Investors, Inc.
BEARISH $269.09M 47.6 0.9% 11.7% $16.66
BRT
BRT Apartments Corp.
BEARISH $284.16M - -4.8% -9.9% $14.94

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BHR from our newsroom.

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