FLO
BEARISH
$8.8
Live
Flowers Foods, Inc. · NYSE
Target $10.0
(+13.6%)
$7.86
52W Range
$17.98
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$1.86B
P/E
22.0
ROE
6.2%
Profit margin
1.6%
Debt/Equity
1.11
Dividend yield
11.25%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
FLO exhibits significant financial instability, characterized by a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable/Weak) and a critical liquidity crisis with a Quick Ratio of 0.40. The most alarming metric is the dividend payout ratio of 245.63%, indicating an unsustainable dividend that likely requires capital erosion or debt to maintain. With the current price of $8.80 trading significantly above the growth-based intrinsic value of $2.80 and a bearish technical trend (0/100), the stock appears to be a dividend trap. Insider selling by the CEO further reinforces a negative outlook.
Key Strengths
Strong Gross Margin of 48.87%
Positive YoY Revenue Growth of 6.80%
Consistent history of beating quarterly earnings estimates
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.35)
Forward P/E (10.48) is significantly lower than trailing P/E (22.00)
Key Risks
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (245.63%)
Severe liquidity risk (Current Ratio 0.75, Quick Ratio 0.40)
Extreme valuation disconnect (Price $8.80 vs Intrinsic Value $2.80)
Persistent long-term price collapse (-53.5% over 5 years)
Bearish insider sentiment with significant CEO selling
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$6.2
-29.5% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
31
Weak
40
45
20
35
15
AI Verdict
High Risk / Dividend Trap
Key drivers: Unsustainable payout ratio, Poor liquidity ratios, Negative long-term price momentum, Intrinsic value gap
Confidence
90%
Value
40/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Low P/S ratio
- Price near Graham Number ($7.50)
Watchpoints
- High PEG ratio (6.10)
- Trading 214% above intrinsic value estimate
Future
45/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Modest revenue growth (6.8%)
- Positive Q/Q revenue growth (10.96%)
Watchpoints
- Flat YoY EPS growth (0.0%)
- Negative recent Q/Q EPS growth (-4.3%)
Past
20/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Consistent earnings surprises
Watchpoints
- Catastrophic 1Y (-46.9%) and 3Y (-61.8%) returns
Health
35/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score is stable (4/9)
Watchpoints
- Current Ratio < 1.0
- Quick Ratio < 0.5
- Debt/Equity > 1.0
Dividend
15/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Very high nominal yield (11.25%)
Watchpoints
- Payout ratio of 245.63% is fundamentally broken
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$8.8
Analyst Target
$10.0
Upside/Downside
+13.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FLO and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-24
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FLO
Flowers Foods, Inc.
Primary
|
-53.5% | -61.8% | -46.9% | -26.2% | +6.3% | +3.4% |
|
IMKTA
Ingles Markets, Incorporated
Peer
|
+57.2% | +5.8% | +48.6% | +34.5% | +10.6% | +3.4% |
|
AGRO
Adecoagro S.A.
Peer
|
+62.2% | +84.1% | +19.6% | +51.6% | +43.9% | +21.9% |
|
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc.
Peer
|
+66.3% | +60.5% | +24.6% | +23.6% | -1.5% | -0.4% |
|
NWL
Newell Brands Inc.
Peer
|
-80.8% | -63.0% | -8.0% | -11.5% | +5.1% | +7.3% |
FLO
Flowers Foods, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-53.5%
3Y
-61.8%
1Y
-46.9%
6M
-26.2%
1M
+6.3%
1W
+3.4%
IMK
Ingles Markets, Incorporated
Peer
5Y
+57.2%
3Y
+5.8%
1Y
+48.6%
6M
+34.5%
1M
+10.6%
1W
+3.4%
AGR
Adecoagro S.A.
Peer
5Y
+62.2%
3Y
+84.1%
1Y
+19.6%
6M
+51.6%
1M
+43.9%
1W
+21.9%
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc.
Peer
5Y
+66.3%
3Y
+60.5%
1Y
+24.6%
6M
+23.6%
1M
-1.5%
1W
-0.4%
NWL
Newell Brands Inc.
Peer
5Y
-80.8%
3Y
-63.0%
1Y
-8.0%
6M
-11.5%
1M
+5.1%
1W
+7.3%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
22.0
Forward P/E
10.48
PEG Ratio
6.1
P/B Ratio
1.41
P/S Ratio
0.35
EV/Revenue
0.58
EV/EBITDA
5.97
Market Cap
$1.86B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
1.59%
Operating Margin
8.28%
Gross Margin
48.87%
ROE
6.18%
ROA
6.02%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+6.8%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+10.96%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.11
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.75
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.4
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.19
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$1.2B
Gross Margin
48.5%
Op. Margin
5.5%
Net Margin
-5.4%
Total Assets
$4.2B
Liabilities
$2.9B
Equity
$1.3B
Debt/Equity
2.21x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
63%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-15
$N/A
2026-02-12
$0.22
+45.6% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.23
-1.4% surprise
2025-08-15
$0.3
+1.8% surprise
Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison
Comparing FLO against 163 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector
(9 bullish, 58 neutral, 96 bearish)
P/E Ratio
22.0
This Stock
vs
38.13
Sector Avg
-42.3%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.18%
This Stock
vs
-12.82%
Sector Avg
-148.2%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.59%
This Stock
vs
-8.09%
Sector Avg
-119.7%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.11
This Stock
vs
1.92
Sector Avg
-42.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
6.8%
This Stock
vs
115.92%
Sector Avg
-94.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.75
This Stock
vs
2.33
Sector Avg
-68.0%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FLO
Flowers Foods, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.86B | 22.0 | 6.2% | 1.6% | $8.8 | |
|
IMKTA
Ingles Markets, Incorporated
|
NEUTRAL | $1.79B | 18.77 | 5.9% | 1.8% | $94.04 | Compare |
|
AGRO
Adecoagro S.A.
|
BEARISH | $1.76B | 54.13 | 1.7% | 1.7% | $12.45 | Compare |
|
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $1.98B | 22.26 | 4.6% | 2.1% | $41.85 | Compare |
|
NWL
Newell Brands Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.74B | - | -11.1% | -4.0% | $4.1 | Compare |
FLO
Flowers Foods, Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.9B
P/E
22.0
ROE
6.2%
Price
$8.8
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | MCMULLIAN AMOS RYALS | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 209,000 | $1,679,294 |
| 2026-02-25 | ROACH DAVID M | Officer | Stock Award | 10,672 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | TILLMAN STEPHANIE BRUNNER | Officer | Stock Award | 18,704 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | CHAFFIN JOHN MARK | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 11,447 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | THOMAS TERRY S. | Officer | Stock Award | 34,617 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | VARNEDOE HEETH IV | President | Stock Award | 20,543 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | WINTERS THOMAS L | Officer | Stock Award | 10,921 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | COX CINDY | Officer | Stock Award | 12,096 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | COURTNEY H MARK | Officer | Stock Award | 12,857 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | MCMULLIAN AMOS RYALS | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 98,862 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | GASS RHONDA | Director | Stock Award | 10,322 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | SCAGLIONE DIEGO ANTHONY | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 60,500 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | ROACH DAVID M | Officer | Stock Award | 19,690 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | TILLMAN STEPHANIE BRUNNER | Officer | Stock Award | 35,980 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | CHAFFIN JOHN MARK | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 20,640 | - |
MCMULLIAN AMOS RYALS
Chief Executive Officer
2026-04-01
209,000 shares
·
$1,679,294
ROACH DAVID M
Officer
2026-02-25
10,672 shares
TILLMAN STEPHANIE BRUNNER
Officer
2026-02-25
18,704 shares
CHAFFIN JOHN MARK
Chief Technology Officer
2026-02-25
11,447 shares
THOMAS TERRY S.
Officer
2026-02-25
34,617 shares
VARNEDOE HEETH IV
President
2026-02-25
20,543 shares
WINTERS THOMAS L
Officer
2026-02-25
10,921 shares
COX CINDY
Officer
2026-02-25
12,096 shares
COURTNEY H MARK
Officer
2026-02-25
12,857 shares
MCMULLIAN AMOS RYALS
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-25
98,862 shares
GASS RHONDA
Director
2026-02-13
10,322 shares
SCAGLIONE DIEGO ANTHONY
Chief Financial Officer
2026-01-02
60,500 shares
ROACH DAVID M
Officer
2026-01-02
19,690 shares
TILLMAN STEPHANIE BRUNNER
Officer
2026-01-02
35,980 shares
CHAFFIN JOHN MARK
Chief Technology Officer
2026-01-02
20,640 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
DEF 14A
8-K
8-K
10-K
8-K
8-K
8-K
8-K
10-Q
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
6 analysts
BNP Paribas
2026-04-09
Underperform
Underperform
Deutsche Bank
2026-03-30
Hold
Hold
Truist Securities
2025-11-13
Hold
Hold
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning FLO from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.