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FND

BEARISH
$51.08 Live
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Target $69.18 (+35.4%)
$46.47 52W Range $92.41

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$5.52B
P/E
26.6
ROE
9.1%
Profit margin
4.5%
Debt/Equity
0.83
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
FND presents a concerning fundamental profile, characterized by a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a significant valuation gap, trading at $51.08 against a Graham Number of $31.07 and an Intrinsic Value of $13.44. The company is experiencing a severe growth crisis, with YoY earnings contracting by 18.2% and revenue growth stalling at 2%. Technical momentum is non-existent (0/100), and a very low quick ratio of 0.30 indicates potential short-term liquidity constraints. While analysts maintain a 'hold' rating with higher targets, the data suggests a company in a structural decline.

Key Strengths

Strong Gross Margin of 44.84% indicating good product pricing power
Consistent track record of beating earnings estimates (3 of last 4 quarters)
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.83, below the sector average of 1.53
Positive ROE (9.11%) in a sector where the average is deeply negative
Stronger-than-average profit margins compared to the Consumer Cyclical peer group

Key Risks

Severe earnings contraction with YoY growth at -18.20%
Stagnant revenue growth (2.00%) suggesting market saturation or loss of demand
Critical liquidity risk evidenced by a Quick Ratio of 0.30
Extreme overvaluation relative to defensive fair value (Graham Number $31.07)
Catastrophic long-term price performance (-54.7% over 5 years)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$31.07
-39.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
24
Weak
Value
30
Future
20
Past
25
Health
45
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Bearish
Key drivers: Negative earnings growth, Severe overvaluation vs Intrinsic Value, Bearish technical trend, Poor liquidity (Quick Ratio)
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E 26.60, Graham Number $31.07

Positives
  • P/E is lower than the sector average of 34.18
Watchpoints
  • Price is 64% above Graham Number
  • Price is 280% above Intrinsic Value
Future
20/100

Ref YoY Growth rates

Positives
  • Analyst target price ($69.18) suggests potential upside
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth nearly flat at 2%
  • Earnings growth sharply negative at -18.2%
Past
25/100

Ref Historical price trends

Positives
  • Consistent EPS surprises over 25 quarters
Watchpoints
  • 5-year price change of -54.7%
  • 1-year price change of -30.0%
Health
45/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Positives
  • Debt/Equity is reasonable at 0.83
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9
  • Quick Ratio of 0.30 is dangerously low
Dividend
0/100

Ref Dividend Yield N/A

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield
  • 0% payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$51.08
Analyst Target
$69.18
Upside/Downside
+35.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FND and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
FND
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-54.7%
3Y
-47.4%
1Y
-30.0%
6M
-29.5%
1M
-3.2%
1W
-5.5%
CHH
Choice Hotels International, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+10.7%
3Y
-3.4%
1Y
-4.6%
6M
+23.2%
1M
+20.1%
1W
-0.1%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-72.4%
3Y
-41.5%
1Y
+11.9%
6M
+7.8%
1M
+3.2%
1W
+0.6%
BOO
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+207.6%
3Y
+150.7%
1Y
+9.2%
6M
+5.4%
1M
-2.8%
1W
-4.5%
BC
Brunswick Corporation
Peer
5Y
+6.5%
3Y
+15.8%
1Y
+30.3%
6M
+44.4%
1M
+14.1%
1W
-2.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
26.6
Forward P/E
21.24
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.29
P/S Ratio
1.18
EV/Revenue
1.55
EV/EBITDA
14.2
Market Cap
$5.52B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.45%
Operating Margin 4.6%
Gross Margin 44.84%
ROE 9.11%
ROA 3.21%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +2.0%
Earnings Growth -18.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +2.01%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -17.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.83
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.33
Good
Quick Ratio
0.3
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.31

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.1B
Gross Margin
43.5%
Op. Margin
2.8%
Net Margin
3.5%
Total Assets
$5.5B
Liabilities
$3.1B
Equity
$2.4B
Debt/Equity
1.27x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
36%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-19
$0.36
+4.7% surprise
2025-10-30
$0.53
+16.7% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.58
+4.3% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing FND against 364 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 117 neutral, 224 bearish)
P/E Ratio
26.6
This Stock
vs
33.86
Sector Avg
-21.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.11%
This Stock
vs
-47.51%
Sector Avg
-119.2% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.45%
This Stock
vs
-6.04%
Sector Avg
-173.8% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.83
This Stock
vs
1.53
Sector Avg
-46.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
2.0%
This Stock
vs
30.1%
Sector Avg
-93.4% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.33
This Stock
vs
2.4
Sector Avg
-44.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

TAYLOR THOMAS V JR.
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2026-02-24
12,537 shares
DENNY STEVEN ALAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
1,954 shares
SAYMAN ERSAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
1,954 shares
LANGLEY BRYAN
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
2,442 shares
ADAMSON JOHN J
Chief Investment Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
691 shares
CHRISTOPHERSON DAVID VICTOR
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
2,686 shares
PAULSEN BRADLEY
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
7,940 shares
GILES WILLIAM T
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-23
2,195 shares · $150,006
THORNTON FELICIA D
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-23
2,195 shares · $150,006
TAYLOR THOMAS V JR.
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2026-02-23
36,582 shares · $2,500,014
DENNY STEVEN ALAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-23
7,317 shares · $500,044
JAMES DWIGHT LAMAR
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-23
2,195 shares · $150,006
SAYMAN ERSAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-23
7,317 shares · $500,044
LANGLEY BRYAN
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-23
10,975 shares · $750,032
ADAMSON JOHN J
Chief Investment Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-23
5,122 shares · $350,037
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-23

FND filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on March 23, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-19

FND filed its 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 25, 2025, on February 19, 2026. The provided excerpts consist of the table of contents and forward-looking statement disclaimers, with no specific financial highlights or risk details available in the text.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-19

FND filed an 8-K on February 19, 2026, likely announcing its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-30

FND filed its 10-Q on October 30, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section for Risk Factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-30

FND likely filed this 8-K to report its third-quarter financial results for the period ending September 30, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-30

FND likely filed this 8-K to report its third-quarter financial results for the period ending September 30, 2025.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-31

FND filed its 10-Q on July 31, 2025. The provided excerpt identifies the inclusion of Risk Factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not included in the available text.

8-K
8-K
2025-07-31

FND filed an 8-K on July 31, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-05-12

FND reported its first-quarter financial results for 2025.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-01
8-K
8-K
2025-05-01

FND filed an 8-K on May 1, 2025, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-03-24
10-K
10-K
2025-02-20
8-K
8-K
2025-02-20
8-K/A
8-K/A
2025-02-18
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
22 analysts
Barclays
2026-04-24
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
JP Morgan
2026-04-24
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Citigroup
2026-04-21
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Zelman & Assoc
2026-04-17
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Piper Sandler
2026-04-14
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Evercore ISI Group
2026-04-07
Maintains
In-Line In-Line
TD Cowen
2026-03-30
Maintains
Hold Hold
Barclays
2026-02-23
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
JP Morgan
2026-02-20
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
TD Cowen
2026-02-20
Maintains
Hold Hold

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning FND from our newsroom.

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