FOR
BULLISH
$28.12
Live
Forestar Group Inc. · NYSE
Target $33.0
(+17.4%)
$18.5
52W Range
$30.74
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$1.43B
P/E
8.57
ROE
9.7%
Profit margin
9.8%
Debt/Equity
0.17
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
Forestar Group Inc. presents a compelling value opportunity, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a significant discount to its Graham Number ($50.9) and Intrinsic Value ($96.76). The company maintains an exceptionally clean balance sheet with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17 and a healthy Current Ratio of 1.91. While YoY revenue growth is slightly negative (-3.00%), earnings growth remains robust at 22.30%, suggesting improved operational efficiency. Despite a bearish technical trend (10/100), the fundamental valuation metrics (P/E 8.57, P/B 0.80) indicate the stock is deeply undervalued.
Key Strengths
Deeply undervalued relative to Graham Number ($50.9) and Intrinsic Value ($96.76)
Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.17
Strong earnings growth (22.30% YoY and 21.40% Q/Q)
Trading below book value (P/B 0.80)
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 1.91
Key Risks
Negative year-over-year revenue growth (-3.00%)
Bearish short-term technical trend (10/100)
Moderate Piotroski F-Score (4/9) indicating stable but not strong financial momentum
Lack of dividend income for shareholders
Exposure to cyclical real estate development risks
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$58.5
+108.0% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
59
Moderate
95
65
70
65
0
AI Verdict
Strong Value Play
Key drivers: Extreme valuation discount, Low debt profile, Positive earnings trajectory
Confidence
80%
Value
95/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 8.57 is well below sector average
- Price is significantly below Graham Number
- P/B of 0.80 indicates asset undervaluation
Watchpoints
- PEG ratio of 4.90 suggests growth is not yet pricing in efficiently
Future
65/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Strong Q/Q earnings growth of 21.40%
- Positive analyst target price of $33.00
Watchpoints
- Slight decline in YoY revenue growth
Past
70/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Impressive 1-year price return of +41.9%
- Consistent history of earnings beats over the long term
Watchpoints
- Recent technical momentum has turned bearish
Health
65/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Very low Debt/Equity (0.17)
- Strong Quick Ratio (1.73)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only mediocre
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield
- 0% payout ratio
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$28.12
Analyst Target
$33.0
Upside/Downside
+17.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FOR and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-24
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FOR
Forestar Group Inc.
Primary
|
+10.5% | +54.9% | +41.9% | +7.1% | +11.1% | +5.6% |
|
AAT
American Assets Trust, Inc.
Peer
|
-18.7% | -20.1% | -20.4% | -8.6% | -4.6% | 0.0% |
|
ARI
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
Peer
|
+49.1% | +20.2% | +23.8% | +5.8% | +2.0% | -2.3% |
|
CBL
CBL & Associates Properties, Inc.
Peer
|
+107.0% | +138.5% | +97.4% | +54.3% | +19.0% | +1.1% |
|
ALEX
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.
Peer
|
+58.2% | +26.3% | +25.3% | +16.0% | +0.5% | -0.5% |
FOR
Forestar Group Inc.
Primary
5Y
+10.5%
3Y
+54.9%
1Y
+41.9%
6M
+7.1%
1M
+11.1%
1W
+5.6%
AAT
American Assets Trust, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-18.7%
3Y
-20.1%
1Y
-20.4%
6M
-8.6%
1M
-4.6%
1W
0.0%
ARI
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+49.1%
3Y
+20.2%
1Y
+23.8%
6M
+5.8%
1M
+2.0%
1W
-2.3%
CBL
CBL & Associates Properties, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+107.0%
3Y
+138.5%
1Y
+97.4%
6M
+54.3%
1M
+19.0%
1W
+1.1%
ALE
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+58.2%
3Y
+26.3%
1Y
+25.3%
6M
+16.0%
1M
+0.5%
1W
-0.5%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
8.57
Forward P/E
8.78
PEG Ratio
4.9
P/B Ratio
0.8
P/S Ratio
0.84
EV/Revenue
0.72
EV/EBITDA
5.75
Market Cap
$1.43B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
9.79%
Operating Margin
4.68%
Gross Margin
21.34%
ROE
9.67%
ROA
4.23%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-3.0%
Earnings Growth
+22.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+6.64%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+21.4%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.17
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.91
Good
Quick Ratio
1.73
Excellent
Cash/Share
$6.25
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026
Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
21.4%
Op. Margin
11.3%
Net Margin
8.6%
Total Assets
$3.2B
Liabilities
$1.4B
Equity
$1.8B
Debt/Equity
0.74x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.2B
FCF Yield
100%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-07-21
$N/A
2026-04-21
$0.63
-0.8% surprise
2026-01-20
$0.3
-0.3% surprise
2025-10-28
$1.7
+35.0% surprise
Real Estate Sector Comparison
Comparing FOR against 158 companies in the Real Estate sector
(6 bullish, 31 neutral, 121 bearish)
P/E Ratio
8.57
This Stock
vs
42.45
Sector Avg
-79.8%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.67%
This Stock
vs
-35.03%
Sector Avg
-127.6%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
9.79%
This Stock
vs
11.41%
Sector Avg
-14.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.17
This Stock
vs
2.5
Sector Avg
-93.4%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-3.0%
This Stock
vs
17600.73%
Sector Avg
-100.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.91
This Stock
vs
8.23
Sector Avg
-76.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FOR
Forestar Group Inc.
|
BULLISH | $1.43B | 8.57 | 9.7% | 9.8% | $28.12 | |
|
AAT
American Assets Trust, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.39B | 17.8 | 7.0% | 14.1% | $17.98 | Compare |
|
ARI
Apollo Commercial Real...
|
BEARISH | $1.38B | 11.4 | 7.4% | 51.3% | $9.92 | Compare |
|
CBL
CBL & Associates Properties, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $1.37B | 10.22 | 39.7% | 23.5% | $44.35 | Compare |
|
ALEX
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.51B | 20.54 | 7.3% | 32.4% | $20.75 | Compare |
FOR
Forestar Group Inc.
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
8.6
ROE
9.7%
Price
$28.12
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | ALLEN JAMES DOUGLAS | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 4,505 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | WALKER MARK STEPHEN | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 2,815 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | ALLEN JAMES DOUGLAS | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 1,991 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | JAMIESON LISA H. | Director | Stock Award | 402 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | WALKER MARK STEPHEN | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 1,991 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | TOMNITZ DONALD JOSEPH | Officer and Director | Stock Award | 4,977 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | FULLER SAMUEL R | Director | Stock Award | 402 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | PARMER ELIZABETH | Director | Stock Award | 402 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | OXLEY ANTHONY W. | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 4,977 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | ALLEN JAMES DOUGLAS | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 5,420 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | JAMIESON LISA H. | Director | Stock Award | 1,096 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | WALKER MARK STEPHEN | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 4,065 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | TOMNITZ DONALD JOSEPH | Officer and Director | Stock Award | 12,033 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | FULLER SAMUEL R | Director | Stock Award | 1,096 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | PARMER ELIZABETH | Director | Stock Award | 1,096 | - |
ALLEN JAMES DOUGLAS
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-31
4,505 shares
WALKER MARK STEPHEN
Chief Operating Officer
2026-03-31
2,815 shares
ALLEN JAMES DOUGLAS
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-27
1,991 shares
JAMIESON LISA H.
Director
2026-03-27
402 shares
WALKER MARK STEPHEN
Chief Operating Officer
2026-03-27
1,991 shares
TOMNITZ DONALD JOSEPH
Officer and Director
2026-03-27
4,977 shares
FULLER SAMUEL R
Director
2026-03-27
402 shares
PARMER ELIZABETH
Director
2026-03-27
402 shares
OXLEY ANTHONY W.
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-27
4,977 shares
ALLEN JAMES DOUGLAS
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-20
5,420 shares
JAMIESON LISA H.
Director
2026-03-20
1,096 shares
WALKER MARK STEPHEN
Chief Operating Officer
2026-03-20
4,065 shares
TOMNITZ DONALD JOSEPH
Officer and Director
2026-03-20
12,033 shares
FULLER SAMUEL R
Director
2026-03-20
1,096 shares
PARMER ELIZABETH
Director
2026-03-20
1,096 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
10-Q
10-Q
8-K
8-K
DEF 14A
10-K
8-K
10-Q
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
4 analysts
Citigroup
2026-01-28
Buy
Buy
JP Morgan
2025-11-04
Neutral
Neutral
Citigroup
2025-10-30
Buy
Buy
Citizens
2025-10-29
Market Outperform
Market Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning FOR from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.