FSS
BULLISH
$116.01
Live
Federal Signal Corporation · NYSE
Target $138.0
(+19.0%)
$74.11
52W Range
$132.89
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$7.06B
P/E
28.93
ROE
19.2%
Profit margin
11.3%
Debt/Equity
0.43
Dividend yield
0.52%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
80%
FSS exhibits a stable financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a current price ($116.01) trading almost exactly at its growth-based intrinsic value ($118.29). The company demonstrates exceptional operational momentum with 26.5% YoY revenue growth and a remarkable 25-quarter track record of earnings beats. While the Graham Number suggests a significant defensive discount, the market is pricing in high growth expectations supported by a strong ROE of 19.2% and a very healthy balance sheet. Despite bearish technicals and recent insider selling, the fundamental growth trajectory and analyst consensus remain strongly positive.
Key Strengths
Exceptional earnings consistency with beats in nearly every quarter over the last 25 periods
Strong top-line and bottom-line growth (Revenue +26.5%, Earnings +24.2% YoY)
Robust liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 3.02
Conservative leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.43
High profitability metrics including an ROE of 19.2% and Operating Margin of 16.08%
Key Risks
Bearish technical trend (0/100) suggesting short-term price pressure
Significant insider selling by the COO ($5.71M)
High valuation relative to book value (P/B of 5.11)
Moderate Piotroski F-Score (4/9) indicating room for improvement in financial efficiency
Low dividend yield (0.52%) provides little downside protection for income investors
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$122.5
+5.6% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
68
Strong
55
88
95
68
35
AI Verdict
Strong Growth Fundamental
Key drivers: Consistent EPS surprises, High revenue growth, Low debt levels, Fair valuation relative to growth
Confidence
85%
Value
55/100
Ref P/E 28.93, PEG 1.77, Graham Number $45.25
Positives
- Trading near intrinsic value
- Forward P/E (21.68) is lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
- Significant gap between current price and Graham Number ($45.25)
- PEG ratio of 1.77 suggests slight overvaluation relative to growth
Future
88/100
Ref Growth rates and Analyst Target
Positives
- Strong YoY revenue and earnings growth > 20%
- Analyst target price of $138.00 implies ~19% upside
Watchpoints
- Technical trend is currently bearish
Past
95/100
Ref Historical earnings track record and 5Y Change
Positives
- Consistent earnings beats over 25 quarters
- Impressive 5-year price appreciation of 190.9%
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
68/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Debt/Equity 0.43
Positives
- Very low Debt/Equity (0.43)
- High Current Ratio (3.02)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only 'Stable', not 'Strong'
Dividend
35/100
Ref Yield 0.52%, Payout 13.97%
Positives
- Very low payout ratio (13.97%) indicates high sustainability
Watchpoints
- Negligible yield (0.52%)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$116.01
Analyst Target
$138.0
Upside/Downside
+19.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FSS and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-24
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FSS
Federal Signal Corporation
Primary
|
+190.9% | +131.3% | +52.0% | -7.2% | +4.2% | +1.6% |
|
GATX
GATX Corporation
Peer
|
+123.6% | +78.6% | +39.5% | +23.8% | +16.5% | -0.2% |
|
ROAD
Construction Partners, Inc.
Peer
|
+316.0% | +386.2% | +62.2% | +9.2% | +7.0% | +5.7% |
|
ECG
Everus Construction Group, Inc.
Peer
|
+177.7% | +177.7% | +232.1% | +44.9% | +10.4% | +5.6% |
|
AL
Air Lease Corporation
Peer
|
+64.5% | +54.2% | +38.3% | +11.7% | +0.3% | +0.2% |
FSS
Federal Signal Corporation
Primary
5Y
+190.9%
3Y
+131.3%
1Y
+52.0%
6M
-7.2%
1M
+4.2%
1W
+1.6%
GAT
GATX Corporation
Peer
5Y
+123.6%
3Y
+78.6%
1Y
+39.5%
6M
+23.8%
1M
+16.5%
1W
-0.2%
ROA
Construction Partners, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+316.0%
3Y
+386.2%
1Y
+62.2%
6M
+9.2%
1M
+7.0%
1W
+5.7%
ECG
Everus Construction Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+177.7%
3Y
+177.7%
1Y
+232.1%
6M
+44.9%
1M
+10.4%
1W
+5.6%
AL
Air Lease Corporation
Peer
5Y
+64.5%
3Y
+54.2%
1Y
+38.3%
6M
+11.7%
1M
+0.3%
1W
+0.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
28.93
Forward P/E
21.68
PEG Ratio
1.77
P/B Ratio
5.11
P/S Ratio
3.24
EV/Revenue
3.48
EV/EBITDA
17.47
Market Cap
$7.06B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
11.31%
Operating Margin
16.08%
Gross Margin
28.95%
ROE
19.2%
ROA
10.65%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+26.5%
Earnings Growth
+24.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+26.5%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+21.6%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.43
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.02
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.26
Good
Cash/Share
$1.05
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.6B
Gross Margin
28.4%
Op. Margin
16.2%
Net Margin
10.2%
Total Assets
$2.4B
Liabilities
$1.0B
Equity
$1.4B
Debt/Equity
0.73x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
92%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-29
$N/A
2026-02-25
$1.16
+5.9% surprise
2025-10-30
$1.14
+5.6% surprise
2025-07-30
$1.17
+10.5% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing FSS against 442 companies in the Industrials sector
(38 bullish, 159 neutral, 245 bearish)
P/E Ratio
28.93
This Stock
vs
75.66
Sector Avg
-61.8%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
19.2%
This Stock
vs
-20.3%
Sector Avg
-194.6%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
11.31%
This Stock
vs
6.49%
Sector Avg
+74.1%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.43
This Stock
vs
2.71
Sector Avg
-84.1%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
26.5%
This Stock
vs
74.93%
Sector Avg
-64.6%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.02
This Stock
vs
3.16
Sector Avg
-4.4%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FSS
Federal Signal Corporation
|
BULLISH | $7.06B | 28.93 | 19.2% | 11.3% | $116.01 | |
|
GATX
GATX Corporation
|
BULLISH | $7.04B | 21.73 | 11.0% | 19.2% | $198.16 | Compare |
|
ROAD
Construction Partners, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $7.1B | 56.85 | 13.7% | 4.0% | $125.64 | Compare |
|
ECG
Everus Construction Group, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $6.94B | 34.45 | 38.3% | 5.4% | $136.06 | Compare |
|
AL
Air Lease Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $7.2B | 7.47 | 12.7% | 35.1% | $64.42 | Compare |
FSS
Federal Signal...
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$7.1B
P/E
28.9
ROE
19.2%
Price
$116.01
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | WORKMAN JOHN LEE | Director | Stock Award | 1,277 | - |
| 2026-04-21 | MAUE RICHARD A | Director | Stock Award | 1,277 | - |
| 2026-04-21 | REICHELDERFER BRENDA L | Director | Stock Award | 1,674 | - |
| 2026-04-21 | HELMKAMP KATRINA L. | Director | Stock Award | 1,277 | - |
| 2026-04-21 | VAILLANCOURT ERIC A. | Director | Stock Award | 1,277 | - |
| 2026-04-21 | LOWE EUGENE JOSEPH III | Director | Stock Award | 1,277 | - |
| 2026-04-21 | PATEL SHASHANK | Director | Stock Award | 1,277 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | MAUE RICHARD A | Director | Stock Award | 43 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | VAILLANCOURT ERIC A. | Director | Stock Award | 42 | - |
| 2026-03-10 | MAUE RICHARD A | Director | Purchase | 2,000 | $221,532 |
| 2026-03-04 | REICHELDERFER BRENDA L | Director | Gift | 215 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | SHERMAN JENNIFER L | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 78,318 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | WEBER MARK D. | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 24,747 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | HUDSON IAN A | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 16,734 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | BONINA DIANE | General Counsel | Stock Award | 9,712 | - |
WORKMAN JOHN LEE
Director
2026-04-21
1,277 shares
MAUE RICHARD A
Director
2026-04-21
1,277 shares
REICHELDERFER BRENDA L
Director
2026-04-21
1,674 shares
HELMKAMP KATRINA L.
Director
2026-04-21
1,277 shares
VAILLANCOURT ERIC A.
Director
2026-04-21
1,277 shares
LOWE EUGENE JOSEPH III
Director
2026-04-21
1,277 shares
PATEL SHASHANK
Director
2026-04-21
1,277 shares
MAUE RICHARD A
Director
2026-03-27
43 shares
VAILLANCOURT ERIC A.
Director
2026-03-27
42 shares
MAUE RICHARD A
Director
2026-03-10
2,000 shares
·
$221,532
REICHELDERFER BRENDA L
Director
2026-03-04
215 shares
SHERMAN JENNIFER L
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-27
78,318 shares
WEBER MARK D.
Chief Operating Officer
2026-02-27
24,747 shares
HUDSON IAN A
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-27
16,734 shares
BONINA DIANE
General Counsel
2026-02-27
9,712 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
8-K
DEF 14A
8-K
8-K
10-K
FSS filed its annual Form 10-K on February 25, 2026, which includes standard disclosures regarding its business operations, risk factors, and management's discussion and analysis of financial condition. Specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpts.
8-K
10-Q
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
7 analysts
Keybanc
2026-03-10
Sector Weight
Overweight
CJS Securities
2026-02-26
Market Perform
Market Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning FSS from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.