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GGB

NEUTRAL
$4.32 Live
Gerdau S.A. · NYSE
Target $4.92 (+13.9%)
$2.49 52W Range $4.66

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$8.5B
P/E
30.86
ROE
2.5%
Profit margin
2.0%
Debt/Equity
0.29
Dividend yield
2.63%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
GGB presents a dichotomy between a strong balance sheet and poor operational performance. The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but mediocre financial health, while the current price of $4.32 sits slightly above the Graham Number ($4.14) and significantly above the growth-based intrinsic value ($0.98). While the company maintains low leverage and high liquidity, consistent earnings misses (0/4 in the last year) and thin profit margins suggest fundamental weakness despite recent price momentum.

Key Strengths

Very low Debt/Equity ratio (0.29) indicating conservative leverage
Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.89
Attractive Price-to-Book (0.79) and Price-to-Sales (0.12) ratios
Strong 1-year price appreciation (+62.7%)
Low Forward P/E (7.95) suggesting expected earnings recovery

Key Risks

Consistent earnings disappointments (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Extremely thin profit margins (1.98%)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (89.36%)
Stagnant revenue growth (0.90% YoY)
Extreme PEG ratio (90.95) indicating price is disconnected from growth
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.05
-6.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
45
Moderate
Value
55
Future
30
Past
40
Health
70
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Speculative Value Play
Key drivers: Strong balance sheet, Poor earnings quality, Cyclical valuation
Confidence
85%
Value
55/100

Trades near Graham Number ($4.14) but far above growth-based intrinsic value ($0.98).

Positives
  • P/B < 1.0
  • P/S is very low
Watchpoints
  • Current P/E is high (30.86)
  • Price exceeds Intrinsic Value formula
Future
30/100

Growth metrics are currently stagnant or declining.

Positives
  • Low Forward P/E suggests analyst optimism
Watchpoints
  • Flat revenue growth
  • Negative Q/Q EPS growth (-37%)
Past
40/100

Price action has decoupled from earnings performance.

Positives
  • Strong 1Y and 6M price returns
Watchpoints
  • Terrible earnings surprise track record (-22.31% avg)
Health
70/100

Balance sheet is the strongest aspect of the company.

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity
  • High Current Ratio
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9
Dividend
30/100

Dividend strength is rated 35/100 due to sustainability concerns.

Positives
  • Positive yield (2.63%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio (89.36%) is dangerously high

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$4.32
Analyst Target
$4.92
Upside/Downside
+13.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GGB and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
GGB
Gerdau S.A.
Primary
5Y
+22.4%
3Y
+17.5%
1Y
+62.7%
6M
+28.1%
1M
+26.3%
1W
+0.9%
EGO
Eldorado Gold Corporation
Peer
5Y
+188.6%
3Y
+201.1%
1Y
+65.5%
6M
+23.4%
1M
-7.0%
1W
-7.1%
EMN
Eastman Chemical Company
Peer
5Y
-25.4%
3Y
+1.6%
1Y
-6.5%
6M
+17.7%
1M
+0.8%
1W
-2.4%
BVN
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A.
Peer
5Y
+275.8%
3Y
+350.4%
1Y
+194.5%
6M
+113.6%
1M
+25.7%
1W
+7.0%
HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc.
Peer
5Y
+224.0%
3Y
+389.5%
1Y
+227.8%
6M
+57.5%
1M
+25.3%
1W
-4.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
30.86
Forward P/E
7.95
PEG Ratio
90.95
P/B Ratio
0.79
P/S Ratio
0.12
EV/Revenue
0.26
EV/EBITDA
2.04
Market Cap
$8.5B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 1.98%
Operating Margin 7.03%
Gross Margin 11.4%
ROE 2.53%
ROA 4.15%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +0.9%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +0.9%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.29
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.89
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.33
Good
Cash/Share
$3.23

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$17.0B
Gross Margin
10.9%
Op. Margin
7.1%
Net Margin
-7.6%
Total Assets
$81.7B
Liabilities
$27.9B
Equity
$53.6B
Debt/Equity
0.52x
Operating CF
$3.1B
CapEx
$-1.5B
Free Cash Flow
$1.6B
FCF Yield
52%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-23
$0.34
-24.2% surprise
2025-10-30
$0.54
-7.0% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.42
-17.4% surprise
2025-04-28
$0.37
-40.7% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing GGB against 137 companies in the Basic Materials sector (13 bullish, 54 neutral, 70 bearish)
P/E Ratio
30.86
This Stock
vs
39.32
Sector Avg
-21.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
2.53%
This Stock
vs
-6.56%
Sector Avg
-138.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.98%
This Stock
vs
-4.94%
Sector Avg
-140.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.29
This Stock
vs
0.92
Sector Avg
-68.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
0.9%
This Stock
vs
36.86%
Sector Avg
-97.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.89
This Stock
vs
5.23
Sector Avg
-44.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

WAHRHAFTIG MARCOS EDUARDO FARACO
Executive Vice President
Sell
2026-04-09
12,419 shares · $50,421
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F
20-F
2026-03-13

GGB filed its 20-F annual report on March 13, 2026. Specific financial highlights and risk factors were not provided in the available metadata.

20-F
20-F
2025-03-14

GGB filed its 20-F annual report on March 14, 2025, providing a comprehensive overview of its financial performance and operational results. The filing details the company's financial highlights and the specific risk factors impacting its business operations.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
6 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-04-13
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
UBS
2026-04-02
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2025-12-15
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GGB from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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