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GHM

BEARISH
$94.66 Live
Graham Corporation · NYSE
Target $100.25 (+5.9%)
$29.58 52W Range $98.4

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$1.05B
P/E
70.12
ROE
12.1%
Profit margin
6.3%
Debt/Equity
0.05
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
GHM exhibits a severe disconnect between its market price ($94.66) and its deterministic value, with a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicating weak operational health and a Graham Number of $19.05 suggesting extreme overvaluation. While the company shows explosive earnings growth (78.6% YoY) and maintains a very low debt-to-equity ratio (0.05), the valuation metrics (P/E 70.12, PEG 2.77) are unsustainable. The bearish technical trend (10/100) combined with a low quick ratio (0.72) suggests the stock is priced for perfection and vulnerable to a significant correction.

Key Strengths

Exceptional earnings growth (78.6% YoY)
Strong revenue growth (20.5% YoY)
Negligible debt levels (Debt/Equity 0.05)
Consistent history of earnings beats over the last 4 quarters
Strong 1-year price momentum (+206.5%)

Key Risks

Extreme valuation premium over intrinsic and Graham values
Weak operational health as indicated by Piotroski F-Score (3/9)
Poor short-term liquidity (Quick Ratio 0.72)
Bearish technical trend (10/100) despite price being near 52-week highs
Low profit margins (6.28%) relative to the high P/E multiple
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$42.5
-55.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
44
Moderate
Value
15
Future
85
Past
90
Health
30
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Overvalued Growth Play
Key drivers: Extreme P/E expansion, Weak Piotroski F-Score, High EPS growth, Low liquidity
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Ref P/E 70.12, PEG 2.77, Graham Number $19.05

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 70.12 is excessive
  • Price is ~5x the Graham Number
  • PEG ratio of 2.77 indicates overpayment for growth
Future
85/100

Ref Revenue Growth 20.5%, Earnings Growth 78.6%

Positives
  • Strong YoY earnings growth
  • Consistent quarterly surprises
  • Positive revenue trajectory
Watchpoints
  • High expectations already baked into price
Past
90/100

Ref Historical Price Performance

Positives
  • Massive 5-year return (+581.1%)
  • Strong 1-year recovery (+206.5%)
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
30/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 3/9, Quick Ratio 0.72

Positives
  • Very low Debt/Equity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9 (Weak)
  • Quick Ratio 0.72 (Liquidity risk)
Dividend
0/100

Ref Dividend Yield N/A

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$94.66
Analyst Target
$100.25
Upside/Downside
+5.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GHM and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
GHM
Graham Corporation
Primary
5Y
+581.1%
3Y
+635.5%
1Y
+206.5%
6M
+59.8%
1M
+21.2%
1W
+3.0%
LZ
LegalZoom.com, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-84.4%
3Y
-35.6%
1Y
-16.6%
6M
-41.1%
1M
-4.2%
1W
-2.8%
GNK
Genco Shipping & Trading Limited
Peer
5Y
+136.1%
3Y
+85.8%
1Y
+96.3%
6M
+50.5%
1M
+6.3%
1W
-1.8%
EVL
Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-39.4%
3Y
+95.8%
1Y
+103.7%
6M
-23.9%
1M
+17.5%
1W
+1.5%
SNC
Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-56.4%
3Y
-1.8%
1Y
+106.4%
6M
+62.1%
1M
+14.6%
1W
+5.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
70.12
Forward P/E
47.57
PEG Ratio
2.77
P/B Ratio
7.92
P/S Ratio
4.41
EV/Revenue
4.34
EV/EBITDA
43.71
Market Cap
$1.05B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.28%
Operating Margin 7.02%
Gross Margin 24.63%
ROE 12.15%
ROA 3.79%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +20.5%
Earnings Growth +78.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +20.55%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +79.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.05
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.06
Good
Quick Ratio
0.72
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.01

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
23.8%
Op. Margin
5.5%
Net Margin
5.0%
Total Assets
$0.3B
Liabilities
$0.2B
Equity
$0.1B
Debt/Equity
1.23x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
51%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-06-08
$N/A
2026-02-06
$0.31
+69.1% surprise
2025-11-07
$0.31
-4.6% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.45
+92.9% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing GHM against 465 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 171 neutral, 255 bearish)
P/E Ratio
70.12
This Stock
vs
98.74
Sector Avg
-29.0% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
12.15%
This Stock
vs
-19.66%
Sector Avg
-161.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.28%
This Stock
vs
6.63%
Sector Avg
-5.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.05
This Stock
vs
2.65
Sector Avg
-98.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
20.5%
This Stock
vs
71.89%
Sector Avg
-71.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.06
This Stock
vs
3.1
Sector Avg
-65.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

DIXON MICHAEL E.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-04
355 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-15

GHM filed an 8-K on April 15, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-30

GHM filed an 8-K on March 30, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-17

GHM filed an 8-K on February 17, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly or annual financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2026-02-06

GHM filed its quarterly 10-Q report on February 6, 2026. The provided excerpt contains no specific financial highlights or detailed risk factors beyond the identification of Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-06

GHM filed a current report on February 6, 2026, likely announcing its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-26

GHM filed an 8-K on January 26, 2026, likely to announce its financial results or a material corporate update.

8-K/A
8-K/A
2025-11-10

GHM filed an amendment to a previously submitted Form 8-K.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-07

GHM submitted its 10-Q filing on November 7, 2025. While the provided excerpt references the existence of risk factors under Item 1A, no specific financial highlights or detailed risk disclosures were included in the available text.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-07

GHM filed an 8-K on November 7, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-21

GHM filed an 8-K on October 21, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-03
8-K
8-K
2025-08-29
8-K
8-K
2025-08-05
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-05
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-07-15
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
4 analysts
Oppenheimer
2026-03-18
init
Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GHM from our newsroom.

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