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SNCY

NEUTRAL
$18.33 Live
Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $20.29 (+10.7%)
$8.1 52W Range $22.29
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 20, 2026
Market cap
$993.33M
P/E
19.09
ROE
8.8%
Profit margin
4.7%
Debt/Equity
0.95
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
SNCY presents a conflicted profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, yet it trades at a significant premium to its Intrinsic Value ($6.72) and Graham Number ($15.93). While the stock has shown explosive 1-year price momentum (+106.4%) and a consistent track record of earnings beats, these are offset by a sharp decline in YoY earnings growth (-37.90%) and poor liquidity (Current Ratio 0.82). The combination of bearish insider selling and a technical trend score of 0 suggests the recent rally may be overextended relative to fundamental health.

Key Strengths

Strong earnings surprise track record (3/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.88) indicating efficient revenue valuation
Stable financial health baseline (Piotroski F-Score 6/9)
Significant 1-year price appreciation (+106.4%)
Positive analyst consensus with a target price of $20.29

Key Risks

Severe YoY earnings contraction (-37.90%)
Liquidity risk indicated by a Current Ratio of 0.82 and Quick Ratio of 0.64
Strong bearish insider sentiment with 13 sell transactions and 0 buys
Current price ($18.33) exceeds both Graham and Intrinsic value estimates
Negative 5-year price performance (-56.4%) indicating long-term instability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$14.5
-20.9% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
38
Weak
Value
40
Future
35
Past
55
Health
60
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Hold
Key drivers: Price momentum vs Fundamental decay, Liquidity constraints, Insider divestment
Confidence
80%
Value
40/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/S ratio under 1.0
  • Forward P/E (9.97) is attractive
Watchpoints
  • Price is 15% above Graham Number
  • Price is 172% above Intrinsic Value
Future
35/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Steady revenue growth (7.9%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative earnings growth (-37.9%)
  • Bearish technical trend score
Past
55/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Exceptional 1Y return
  • Consistent EPS beats
Watchpoints
  • Poor 5Y performance (-56.4%)
Health
60/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio < 1.0
  • Quick Ratio < 1.0
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$18.33
Analyst Target
$20.29
Upside/Downside
+10.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for SNCY and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-17
SNC
Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-56.4%
3Y
-1.8%
1Y
+106.4%
6M
+62.1%
1M
+14.6%
1W
+5.8%
AEB
Aebi Schmidt Holding AG
Peer
5Y
+15.5%
3Y
+15.5%
1Y
+15.5%
6M
+5.8%
1M
-16.5%
1W
-5.5%
SAT
Satellogic Inc.
Peer
5Y
-29.8%
3Y
+224.4%
1Y
+78.2%
6M
+154.8%
1M
+134.1%
1W
-5.5%
RJE
Republic Airways Holdings Inc.
Peer
5Y
-88.0%
3Y
-33.8%
1Y
+31.1%
6M
+1.7%
1M
+27.4%
1W
+6.4%
BKS
BlackSky Technology Inc.
Peer
5Y
-68.5%
3Y
+95.7%
1Y
+126.8%
6M
+36.9%
1M
+27.6%
1W
-1.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
19.09
Forward P/E
9.97
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.56
P/S Ratio
0.88
EV/Revenue
1.18
EV/EBITDA
6.62
Market Cap
$993.33M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 4.69%
Operating Margin 6.47%
Gross Margin 31.14%
ROE 8.83%
ROA 3.87%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +7.9%
Earnings Growth -37.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +7.89%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -39.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.95
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.82
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.64
Poor
Cash/Share
$4.4

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
20.6%
Op. Margin
6.5%
Net Margin
2.9%
Total Assets
$1.7B
Liabilities
$1.1B
Equity
$0.6B
Debt/Equity
1.69x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
44%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-05
$0.17
+29.5% surprise
2025-10-29
$0.07
+8.4% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.14
+22.7% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing SNCY against 334 companies in the Industrials sector (22 bullish, 111 neutral, 201 bearish)
P/E Ratio
19.09
This Stock
vs
77.28
Sector Avg
-75.3% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.83%
This Stock
vs
-26.82%
Sector Avg
-132.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.69%
This Stock
vs
7.97%
Sector Avg
-41.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.95
This Stock
vs
3.15
Sector Avg
-70.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
7.9%
This Stock
vs
95.45%
Sector Avg
-91.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.82
This Stock
vs
3.34
Sector Avg
-75.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SNCY Sun Country...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$993M
P/E
19.1
ROE
8.8%
Price
$18.33
AEBI Aebi Schmidt Holding AG
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$993M
P/E
91.7
ROE
-%
Price
$12.84
 Compare with SNCY
SATL Satellogic Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$991M
P/E
-
ROE
-127.6%
Price
$6.93
 Compare with SNCY
RJET Republic...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$986M
P/E
11.3
ROE
6.2%
Price
$21.05
 Compare with SNCY
BKSY BlackSky...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$975M
P/E
-
ROE
-88.2%
Price
$27.08
 Compare with SNCY

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

SNOW COLTON MATTHEW
Officer
Sell
2026-02-02
752 shares · $13,482
NEALE ERIN ROSE
Officer
Sell
2026-01-12
2,257 shares · $39,556
SNOW COLTON MATTHEW
Officer
Sell
2026-01-12
759 shares · $13,363
MANGIONE CHRISTOPHER MICHAEL
Officer
Sell
2026-01-12
256 shares · $4,489
BRICKER JUDE I
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-01-12
5,062 shares · $88,823
NEALE ERIN ROSE
Officer
Sell
2026-01-06
1,802 shares · $26,980
SNOW COLTON MATTHEW
Officer
Sell
2026-01-06
1,565 shares · $23,608
COLEY STEPHEN ANDREW
Officer
Sell
2026-01-06
2,052 shares · $30,956
MANGIONE CHRISTOPHER MICHAEL
Officer
Sell
2026-01-06
311 shares · $4,647
BRICKER JUDE I
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-01-06
5,514 shares · $82,556
ZUBECK DANIEL TORQUE
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-02
12,078 shares
NEALE ERIN ROSE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-02
13,803 shares
NEALE ERIN ROSE
Officer
Sell
2026-01-02
280 shares · $3,985
SNOW COLTON MATTHEW
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-02
13,803 shares
SNOW COLTON MATTHEW
Officer
Sell
2026-01-02
145 shares · $2,083
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-15

SNCY filed an 8-K on April 15, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-16

SNCY filed an 8-K on March 16, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-12

SNCY filed its annual 10-K report on February 12, 2026. While specific financial metrics and risk details were not provided in the excerpts, the filing includes comprehensive disclosures within the Business, Risk Factors, and MD&A sections.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-05

SNCY filed an 8-K on February 5, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-12
8-K
8-K
2026-01-09
8-K
8-K
2025-11-18
8-K
8-K
2025-11-05
10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-30

SNCY filed its quarterly 10-Q report on October 30, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section for Risk Factors under Item 1A.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-29

SNCY likely reported its third-quarter financial results in this 8-K filing dated October 29, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-24
8-K
8-K
2025-10-01
8-K
8-K
2025-09-22
8-K
8-K
2025-08-13
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-01
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
7 analysts
Citigroup
2026-03-20
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
TD Cowen
2026-02-03
down
Buy Hold
Wolfe Research
2026-01-20
down
Outperform Peer Perform
JP Morgan
2026-01-13
down
Overweight Neutral
Susquehanna
2026-01-09
up
Neutral Positive
Citigroup
2026-01-07
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Citigroup
2025-12-04
init
Neutral
TD Cowen
2025-11-03
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning SNCY from our newsroom.

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