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GPN

NEUTRAL
$68.33 Live
Global Payments Inc. · NYSE
Target $95.96 (+40.4%)
$62.45 52W Range $90.64

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$18.81B
P/E
15.42
ROE
4.8%
Profit margin
18.2%
Debt/Equity
0.93
Dividend yield
1.46%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
GPN presents a stark contrast between strong deterministic health and deteriorating growth. While the Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates robust financial health and the stock trades significantly below its Graham Number ($98.18) and book value (P/B 0.71), these value metrics are countered by a severe collapse in earnings growth (-59.20% YoY) and a bearish technical trend (0/100). The massive discrepancy between the current P/E (15.42) and Forward P/E (4.22) suggests the market is pricing in a recovery that is not yet evident in the quarterly data. Consequently, the stock appears to be a deep-value play with significant execution risk.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating high financial health
Deep value valuation trading below book value (P/B 0.71)
Excellent gross margins (72.64%) and operating margins (27.88%)
Conservative dividend payout ratio (22.57%) ensuring sustainability
Strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 1.69

Key Risks

Severe earnings contraction (-59.20% YoY and -61.60% Q/Q)
Stagnant to declining revenue growth (0% YoY, -23.16% Q/Q)
Long-term price destruction with a 5-year change of -67.2%
Bearish insider sentiment with consistent selling and zero buying
Technical trend is completely bearish (0/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$64.6
-5.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
54
Moderate
Value
85
Future
20
Past
30
Health
90
Dividend
45
AI Verdict
Value Trap Risk
Key drivers: Strong balance sheet health, Severe earnings decay, Deep discount to Graham Number, Negative momentum
Confidence
80%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/B 0.71
  • P/E 15.42 is low for the sector
  • Price is well below Graham Number ($98.18)
Watchpoints
  • Price is significantly above growth-based intrinsic value ($31.01)
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Very low Forward P/E (4.22) suggests expected recovery
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is flat (0%)
  • Earnings growth is crashing (-59.2%)
Past
30/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent history of beating earnings estimates (3/4 last 4 quarters)
Watchpoints
  • Catastrophic 5-year price performance (-67.2%)
Health
90/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
  • Current Ratio 1.69
  • Debt/Equity 0.93 is lower than sector average
Watchpoints
  • Low ROE (4.82%)
Dividend
45/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Low payout ratio (22.57%)
Watchpoints
  • Low dividend yield (1.46%)
  • Low overall dividend strength score (25/100)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$68.33
Analyst Target
$95.96
Upside/Downside
+40.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GPN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
GPN
Global Payments Inc.
Primary
5Y
-67.2%
3Y
-37.5%
1Y
-6.9%
6M
-20.8%
1M
+3.7%
1W
-6.2%
APG
APi Group Corporation
Peer
5Y
+236.6%
3Y
+201.7%
1Y
+64.5%
6M
+19.0%
1M
+6.2%
1W
-2.3%
EXP
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+42.5%
3Y
+39.5%
1Y
+34.6%
6M
+25.9%
1M
+3.1%
1W
+0.2%
CHR
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+93.4%
3Y
+87.8%
1Y
+89.8%
6M
+25.1%
1M
-8.7%
1W
+0.0%
LUV
Southwest Airlines Co.
Peer
5Y
-27.7%
3Y
+36.0%
1Y
+73.7%
6M
+19.0%
1M
+1.4%
1W
-0.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
15.42
Forward P/E
4.22
PEG Ratio
0.2
P/B Ratio
0.71
P/S Ratio
2.44
EV/Revenue
4.39
EV/EBITDA
9.85
Market Cap
$18.81B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 18.17%
Operating Margin 27.88%
Gross Margin 72.64%
ROE 4.82%
ROA 2.76%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth N/A
Earnings Growth -59.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -23.16%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -61.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.93
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.69
Good
Quick Ratio
1.22
Good
Cash/Share
$29.78

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.9B
Gross Margin
70.6%
Op. Margin
12.1%
Net Margin
11.3%
Total Assets
$53.3B
Liabilities
$29.6B
Equity
$22.9B
Debt/Equity
1.29x
Operating CF
$0.5B
CapEx
$-0.2B
Free Cash Flow
$0.3B
FCF Yield
67%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-18
$3.18
+0.6% surprise
2025-11-04
$3.26
+0.8% surprise
2025-08-06
$3.1
+1.5% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing GPN against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
15.42
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-84.3% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
4.82%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-124.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
18.17%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
+173.1% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.93
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-64.6% (Less Debt)
Current Ratio
1.69
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-45.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

WHIPPLE JOSHUA J
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
39,557 shares · $3,024,528
CORTOPASSI ROBERT M
President
Stock Award
2026-02-27
41,970 shares · $3,209,026
STEELE-BELKIN DARA L.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
20,682 shares · $1,581,346
VIVIANI STELLA NICHOLE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
19,619 shares · $1,500,069
SHEFFIELD DAVID M
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
1,188 shares · $90,834
BREADY CAMERON M.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
122,815 shares · $9,390,435
WHIPPLE JOSHUA J
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
24,014 shares · $1,980,435
CORTOPASSI ROBERT M
President
Stock Award
2026-02-20
8,288 shares · $683,511
SHEFFIELD DAVID M
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
1,914 shares · $157,848
BREADY CAMERON M.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
72,476 shares · $5,977,096
JOHNSON JOIA M
Director
Buy
2026-02-20
1,213 shares · $99,345
SANKARAN VIVEKANAN
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-19
239 shares · $19,180
SHEFFIELD DAVID M
Officer
Sell
2025-12-11
2,016 shares · $164,123
BALDWIN ROBERT H B JR
Director
Buy
2025-12-11
13,392 shares · $1,086,867
BALDWIN ROBERT H B JR
Director
Gift
2025-12-11
13,392 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
27 analysts
Truist Securities
2026-04-24
Maintains
Hold Hold
BMO Capital
2026-04-22
init
Market Perform Market Perform
RBC Capital
2026-04-08
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
Citigroup
2026-04-02
Maintains
Buy Buy
Raymond James
2026-03-26
down
Outperform Market Perform
Mizuho
2026-03-26
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-02-23
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
UBS
2026-02-19
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
RBC Capital
2026-02-19
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
Wells Fargo
2026-02-19
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GPN from our newsroom.

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