APG
BEARISH
$41.83
Live
APi Group Corporation · NYSE
Target $44.9
(+7.3%)
$20.5
52W Range
$43.26
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$18.03B
P/E
116.19
ROE
8.7%
Profit margin
3.6%
Debt/Equity
0.93
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
78%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a missing Altman Z-Score prevents a full solvency assessment. Despite strong recent price performance and robust revenue and earnings growth, the stock trades at a steep valuation (P/E of 116.19 vs. sector average of 48.97) far above its Graham Number of $7.99 and intrinsic value of $10.62, suggesting significant overvaluation. Earnings quality is deteriorating, with 3 of the last 4 quarters missing estimates by an average of -32.33%, and YoY EPS has declined by 41.2% despite positive Q/Q growth. Heavy insider selling of $20.69M in the last 6 months and a bearish technical trend further reinforce caution.
Key Strengths
Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 14.20% outpaces sector average of 18.13% despite high base
Impressive Q/Q earnings growth of 34.80% indicates short-term operating leverage
Healthy balance sheet with Current Ratio of 1.48 and Quick Ratio of 1.33
Low Debt/Equity of 0.93 compared to sector average of 6.31, indicating conservative capital structure
Analyst consensus recommendation is strong_buy with a target price of $44.90, implying 7.3% upside
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, particularly concerning given deteriorating earnings quality
Extremely high P/E ratio of 116.19 vs. forward P/E of 25.06 suggests speculative valuation and earnings volatility
Missing Altman Z-Score raises red flag about undisclosed bankruptcy risk or data integrity issues
Severe earnings misses in recent quarters: -42.0% and -57.9% surprises in last two reported quarters
Significant insider selling of $20.69M in 6 months signals lack of confidence from corporate insiders
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$10.62
-74.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
38
Weak
25
68
40
45
10
AI Verdict
Overvalued with deteriorating fundamentals and weak earnings quality despite strong growth and clean balance sheet
Key drivers: High P/E and valuation multiples, Poor Piotroski F-Score, Negative earnings surprises, Insider selling, Strong revenue and earnings growth
Confidence
80%
Value
25/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 25.06 is more reasonable than current P/E of 116.19
Watchpoints
- Current P/E of 116.19 is extremely high
- Price/Sales of 2.36 above sector norms
- Price/Book of 5.31 indicates premium valuation
- Stock trades at 5.2x intrinsic value and 5.2x Graham Number
Future
68/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue Growth (YoY): 14.20%
- Earnings Growth (YoY): 33.30%
- Q/Q Earnings Growth: 34.80%
Watchpoints
- Year-over-Year EPS Growth: -41.2% despite positive Q/Q growth
- PEG Ratio unavailable due to earnings volatility
Past
40/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5Y price return of +236.6% shows strong long-term momentum
Watchpoints
- 3 of last 4 quarters missed earnings estimates
- Average earnings surprise of -32.33% in last 4 quarters
- EPS growth not consistent; sharp declines in multiple recent quarters
Health
45/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current Ratio: 1.48
- Quick Ratio: 1.33
- Debt/Equity: 0.93 (well below sector avg of 6.31)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score: 4/9 (borderline weak)
- Altman Z-Score: None (critical missing data)
- ROE of 8.71% below sector average of 6.07% but not alarming
Dividend
10/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength: 0/100
- No dividend yield or payout history
- Payout Ratio: 0.00%
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$41.83
Analyst Target
$44.9
Upside/Downside
+7.3%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for APG and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
APG
APi Group Corporation
Primary
|
+236.6% | +201.7% | +64.5% | +19.0% | +6.2% | -2.3% |
|
GPN
Global Payments Inc.
Peer
|
-67.2% | -37.5% | -6.9% | -20.8% | +3.7% | -6.2% |
|
ATI
ATI Inc.
Peer
|
+573.7% | +247.4% | +109.5% | +30.1% | +5.9% | -0.6% |
|
CLH
Clean Harbors, Inc.
Peer
|
+248.2% | +117.3% | +45.8% | +25.9% | +7.2% | +2.8% |
|
EXPD
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
Peer
|
+42.5% | +39.5% | +34.6% | +25.9% | +3.1% | +0.2% |
APG
APi Group Corporation
Primary
5Y
+236.6%
3Y
+201.7%
1Y
+64.5%
6M
+19.0%
1M
+6.2%
1W
-2.3%
GPN
Global Payments Inc.
Peer
5Y
-67.2%
3Y
-37.5%
1Y
-6.9%
6M
-20.8%
1M
+3.7%
1W
-6.2%
ATI
ATI Inc.
Peer
5Y
+573.7%
3Y
+247.4%
1Y
+109.5%
6M
+30.1%
1M
+5.9%
1W
-0.6%
CLH
Clean Harbors, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+248.2%
3Y
+117.3%
1Y
+45.8%
6M
+25.9%
1M
+7.2%
1W
+2.8%
EXP
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+42.5%
3Y
+39.5%
1Y
+34.6%
6M
+25.9%
1M
+3.1%
1W
+0.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
116.19
Forward P/E
25.06
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.31
P/S Ratio
2.36
EV/Revenue
2.6
EV/EBITDA
22.56
Market Cap
$18.03B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
3.55%
Operating Margin
8.97%
Gross Margin
31.14%
ROE
8.71%
ROA
4.12%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+14.2%
Earnings Growth
+33.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+34.8%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.93
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.48
Good
Quick Ratio
1.33
Good
Cash/Share
$1.33
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-26
$N/A
2025-10-30
$0.2
-42.0% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.16
-57.9% surprise
2025-05-01
$0.25
+2.9% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing APG against 469 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
116.19
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
+18.3%
(Premium)
Return on Equity (ROE)
8.71%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-145.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.55%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-46.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.93
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-64.6%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
14.2%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-80.1%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.48
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-52.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
APG
APi Group Corporation
|
BEARISH | $18.03B | 116.19 | 8.7% | 3.6% | $41.83 | |
|
GPN
Global Payments Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $18.81B | 15.42 | 4.8% | 18.2% | $68.33 | Compare |
|
ATI
ATI Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $17.03B | 39.85 | 24.6% | 9.7% | $123.55 | Compare |
|
CLH
Clean Harbors, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $16.47B | 42.39 | 14.7% | 6.5% | $308.99 | Compare |
|
EXPD
Expeditors International...
|
BEARISH | $19.62B | 24.8 | 35.4% | 7.3% | $147.56 | Compare |
APG
APi Group Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$18.0B
P/E
116.2
ROE
8.7%
Price
$41.83
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | ASHKEN IAN G H | Director | Stock Award | 2,913,565 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | LILLIE JAMES E | Director | Stock Award | 2,913,565 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | LILLIE JAMES E | Director | Gift | 433,868 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | ARSENIADIS JAMES | Officer | Stock Award | 1,390 | - |
| 2025-12-17 | LAMBERT LOUIS | General Counsel | Gift | 3,000 | - |
| 2025-12-10 | MALKIN ANTHONY EDWARD | Director | Purchase | 7,000 | $275,720 |
| 2025-12-01 | JACKOLA GLENN DAVID | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 6,618 | - |
| 2025-11-05 | ARSENIADIS JAMES | Officer | Gift | 946 | - |
| 2025-08-12 | ASHKEN IAN G H | Director | Sale | 225,000 | $7,924,526 |
| 2025-08-12 | LILLIE JAMES E | Director | Sale | 360,000 | $12,598,800 |
| 2025-08-11 | ASHKEN IAN G H | Director | Gift | 224,986 | - |
| 2025-08-04 | ARSENIADIS JAMES | Officer | Sale | 4,843 | $171,345 |
| 2025-08-01 | LAMBERT LOUIS | General Counsel | Stock Award | 16,769 | - |
ASHKEN IAN G H
Director
2025-12-31
2,913,565 shares
LILLIE JAMES E
Director
2025-12-31
2,913,565 shares
LILLIE JAMES E
Director
2025-12-31
433,868 shares
ARSENIADIS JAMES
Officer
2025-12-31
1,390 shares
LAMBERT LOUIS
General Counsel
2025-12-17
3,000 shares
MALKIN ANTHONY EDWARD
Director
2025-12-10
7,000 shares
·
$275,720
JACKOLA GLENN DAVID
Chief Financial Officer
2025-12-01
6,618 shares
ARSENIADIS JAMES
Officer
2025-11-05
946 shares
ASHKEN IAN G H
Director
2025-08-12
225,000 shares
·
$7,924,526
LILLIE JAMES E
Director
2025-08-12
360,000 shares
·
$12,598,800
ASHKEN IAN G H
Director
2025-08-11
224,986 shares
ARSENIADIS JAMES
Officer
2025-08-04
4,843 shares
·
$171,345
LAMBERT LOUIS
General Counsel
2025-08-01
16,769 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
10 analysts
Truist Securities
2026-01-21
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2026-01-12
Buy
Buy
Citigroup
2025-12-08
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2025-11-03
Overweight
Overweight
Citigroup
2025-10-31
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2025-08-04
Overweight
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning APG from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.