APG APi Group Corporation - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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APG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Industrials
Engineering & Construction
Current Price
Live
$41.83
Analyst Target
$44.9
+7.3%
Upside
52W High
$43.26
52W Low
$20.5
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a weak financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating borderline stability, and a missing Altman Z-Score prevents a full solvency assessment. Despite strong recent price performance and robust revenue and earnings growth, the stock trades at a steep valuation (P/E of 116.19 vs. sector average of 48.97) far above its Graham Number of $7.99 and intrinsic value of $10.62, suggesting significant overvaluation. Earnings quality is deteriorating, with 3 of the last 4 quarters missing estimates by an average of -32.33%, and YoY EPS has declined by 41.2% despite positive Q/Q growth. Heavy insider selling of $20.69M in the last 6 months and a bearish technical trend further reinforce caution.
Key Strengths
Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 14.20% outpaces sector average of 18.13% despite high base
Impressive Q/Q earnings growth of 34.80% indicates short-term operating leverage
Healthy balance sheet with Current Ratio of 1.48 and Quick Ratio of 1.33
Low Debt/Equity of 0.93 compared to sector average of 6.31, indicating conservative capital structure
Analyst consensus recommendation is strong_buy with a target price of $44.90, implying 7.3% upside
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates weak financial health, particularly concerning given deteriorating earnings quality
Extremely high P/E ratio of 116.19 vs. forward P/E of 25.06 suggests speculative valuation and earnings volatility
Missing Altman Z-Score raises red flag about undisclosed bankruptcy risk or data integrity issues
Severe earnings misses in recent quarters: -42.0% and -57.9% surprises in last two reported quarters
Significant insider selling of $20.69M in 6 months signals lack of confidence from corporate insiders
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$10.62
-74.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional AI analysis across 5 key categories
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
Compare APG against industry averages and similar companies
Insider Trading & Analyst Ratings
Track insider transactions and Wall Street analyst recommendations
Past News Coverage
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