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GWRE

NEUTRAL
$136.62 Live
Guidewire Software, Inc. · NYSE
Target $227.86 (+66.8%)
$115.57 52W Range $272.6

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$11.62B
P/E
61.82
ROE
13.6%
Profit margin
14.1%
Debt/Equity
0.47
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
GWRE demonstrates strong fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and robust liquidity (Current Ratio 2.93). While the stock trades at a massive premium to its Graham Number ($29.79) and Intrinsic Value ($15.47), its PEG ratio of 0.85 suggests that its aggressive growth trajectory may justify a higher valuation. However, the combination of a severe short-term price collapse (-46% in 6 months) and consistent bearish insider selling by the CEO creates significant near-term risk. The stock is currently a battle between strong operational execution and poor market sentiment/valuation disconnect.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating high financial health
Exceptional YoY EPS growth of 129.4%
Attractive PEG ratio (0.85) indicating growth is undervalued relative to price
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.93 and Quick Ratio of 2.74
Consistent track record of earnings beats (3/4 last quarters with high surprises)

Key Risks

Extreme valuation premium over defensive fair value (Graham Number $29.79)
Bearish insider activity with 20 sell transactions, primarily by the CEO
Severe negative technical trend (0/100) and 6-month price decline of 46%
High P/E ratio (61.82) increases vulnerability to market volatility
Significant disconnect between intrinsic value formulas and current market price
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$162.5
+18.9% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
51
Moderate
Value
30
Future
90
Past
50
Health
85
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Growth-Heavy Speculative
Key drivers: High Revenue/EPS Growth, Strong Piotroski Score, Bearish Technicals/Insiders, Valuation Premium
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • PEG ratio < 1.0
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 61.82
  • Price far exceeds Graham Number ($29.79)
Future
90/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 24% YoY Revenue Growth
  • 129.4% EPS Growth
  • Strong analyst target price ($227.86)
Watchpoints
  • High expectations priced in
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Positive 3Y and 5Y returns
Watchpoints
  • Severe 1Y (-31.5%) and 6M (-46%) decline
Health
85/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.47)
  • High Current Ratio (2.93)
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score not provided
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$136.62
Analyst Target
$227.86
Upside/Downside
+66.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GWRE and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
GWR
Guidewire Software, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+27.4%
3Y
+79.3%
1Y
-31.5%
6M
-46.0%
1M
-5.6%
1W
-4.5%
GDD
GoDaddy Inc.
Peer
5Y
-0.9%
3Y
+15.0%
1Y
-52.3%
6M
-34.3%
1M
+5.5%
1W
+0.4%
CAC
CACI International Inc
Peer
5Y
+103.7%
3Y
+69.9%
1Y
+13.1%
6M
-11.8%
1M
-10.8%
1W
-2.0%
HUB
HubSpot, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-59.6%
3Y
-46.5%
1Y
-63.2%
6M
-52.3%
1M
-2.5%
1W
-2.1%
GEN
Gen Digital Inc.
Peer
5Y
-8.2%
3Y
+13.0%
1Y
-26.4%
6M
-31.4%
1M
-15.7%
1W
-2.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
61.82
Forward P/E
32.26
PEG Ratio
0.85
P/B Ratio
7.66
P/S Ratio
8.66
EV/Revenue
8.46
EV/EBITDA
109.6
Market Cap
$11.62B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 14.11%
Operating Margin 10.71%
Gross Margin 63.76%
ROE 13.63%
ROA 2.17%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +24.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +24.05%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.47
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.93
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.74
Excellent
Cash/Share
$10.86

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
64.5%
Op. Margin
10.7%
Net Margin
16.7%
Total Assets
$2.7B
Liabilities
$1.2B
Equity
$1.5B
Debt/Equity
0.78x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
94%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-06-02
$N/A
2026-03-05
$1.17
+52.5% surprise
2025-12-03
$0.66
+7.5% surprise
2025-09-04
$0.84
+33.3% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing GWRE against 565 companies in the Technology sector (45 bullish, 197 neutral, 323 bearish)
P/E Ratio
61.82
This Stock
vs
82.88
Sector Avg
-25.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
13.63%
This Stock
vs
-33.47%
Sector Avg
-140.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
14.11%
This Stock
vs
-11.75%
Sector Avg
-220.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.47
This Stock
vs
0.74
Sector Avg
-37.3% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
24.0%
This Stock
vs
4383.21%
Sector Avg
-99.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.93
This Stock
vs
3.59
Sector Avg
-18.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-04-20
1,200 shares · $167,700
ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-04-13
1,200 shares · $142,524
ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-04-06
1,200 shares · $181,368
ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-30
1,200 shares · $174,888
ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-23
1,200 shares · $186,672
PETERSON DAVID FRANKLIN
Officer
Sell
2026-03-17
273 shares · $44,733
COOPER JEFFREY ELLIOTT
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-17
1,935 shares · $317,065
MULLEN JOHN P
President
Sell
2026-03-17
6,576 shares · $1,077,530
KING JAMES WINSTON
General Counsel
Sell
2026-03-17
1,001 shares · $164,022
ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-17
4,737 shares · $776,195
ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-16
1,200 shares · $192,000
COOPER JEFFREY ELLIOTT
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-13
4,757 shares · $755,031
ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-09
1,200 shares · $199,608
ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-02
1,200 shares · $172,644
ROSENBAUM MICHAEL GEORGE
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-02-23
1,200 shares · $150,600
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

10-Q
10-Q
2026-03-06

GWRE filed its quarterly 10-Q report on March 6, 2026. The filing includes a section on risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-05

GWRE filed an 8-K on March 5, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results or report a material corporate event.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-08
8-K
8-K
2025-12-18

Great Wolf Resorts (GWRE) filed an 8-K on December 18, 2025, likely to announce the declaration of a quarterly cash dividend.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-12-04

GWRE filed its 10-Q on December 4, 2025. The filing includes a dedicated section for risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-03

GWRE filed an 8-K on December 3, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-10-30

GWRE filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on October 30, 2025, to provide shareholders with information necessary for voting at an upcoming meeting.

10-K
10-K
2025-09-11

GWRE filed its annual 10-K report on September 11, 2025. Because the provided excerpts contain only section references without detailed text, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable for summary.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-04
8-K
8-K
2025-07-29

GWRE filed an 8-K on July 29, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-06-04
8-K
8-K
2025-06-03
10-Q
10-Q
2025-03-07
8-K
8-K
2025-03-06
8-K
8-K
2025-01-27
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
14 analysts
DA Davidson
2026-03-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
RBC Capital
2026-03-06
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Stifel
2026-03-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
BTIG
2026-03-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Oppenheimer
2026-02-24
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
BTIG
2026-02-18
Maintains
Buy Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-02-04
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Wells Fargo
2026-01-08
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
DA Davidson
2025-12-17
up
Neutral Buy
Citizens
2025-12-12
Maintains
Market Outperform Market Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GWRE from our newsroom.

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