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HUBS

NEUTRAL
$225.07 Live
HubSpot, Inc. · NYSE
Target $349.57 (+55.3%)
$187.45 52W Range $682.57

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$11.87B
P/E
261.71
ROE
2.3%
Profit margin
1.5%
Debt/Equity
0.13
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
HubSpot exhibits strong fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 and very low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.13), yet it faces a severe technical crisis with a 63.2% one-year price decline. There is a massive disconnect between defensive valuation metrics (Graham Number $27.58) and the current market price ($225.07), indicating the stock is priced entirely on growth expectations. While the Forward P/E (14.74) and PEG ratio (0.37) suggest significant undervaluation relative to future earnings, bearish insider sentiment and a 0/100 technical trend create a high-risk environment for entry.

Key Strengths

Strong financial health evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9
Exceptional gross margins of 83.76%
Very low debt-to-equity ratio (0.13) indicating minimal insolvency risk
Highly attractive PEG ratio (0.37) suggesting growth is undervalued
Consistent history of beating earnings estimates over 25 quarters

Key Risks

Severe negative price momentum (1Y Change: -63.2%)
Bearish insider activity with $15.53M in net sales over 6 months
Extreme premium over Graham Number and Intrinsic Value formulas
Low current profit margin (1.47%) despite high gross margins
Heavy reliance on high growth expectations to justify current valuation
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$315.0
+40.0% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
48
Moderate
Value
40
Future
85
Past
20
Health
95
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Fundamental Powerhouse in Technical Freefall
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score, Forward P/E, 1Y Price Performance, Insider Selling
Confidence
85%
Value
40/100

Trades at a massive premium to defensive value but appears cheap on a forward-earnings basis.

Positives
  • Low PEG ratio (0.37)
  • Low Forward P/E (14.74)
Watchpoints
  • Price is ~8x the Graham Number
  • High trailing P/E (261.71)
Future
85/100

Growth metrics are robust, though earnings growth may be skewed by a low base.

Positives
  • 20.4% Revenue growth
  • Explosive earnings growth (968%)
  • Strong analyst target price ($349.57)
Watchpoints
  • Market skepticism reflected in price action
Past
20/100

Catastrophic historical price performance over 1, 3, and 5-year horizons.

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beat track record
Watchpoints
  • 5Y Change: -59.6%
  • 1Y Change: -63.2%
Health
95/100

Balance sheet is exceptionally clean and operationally sound.

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.13)
  • Healthy Current Ratio (1.67)
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score not provided
Dividend
0/100

Pure growth play; no income component.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$225.07
Analyst Target
$349.57
Upside/Downside
+55.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HUBS and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
HUB
HubSpot, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-59.6%
3Y
-46.5%
1Y
-63.2%
6M
-52.3%
1M
-2.5%
1W
-2.1%
GWR
Guidewire Software, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+27.4%
3Y
+79.3%
1Y
-31.5%
6M
-46.0%
1M
-5.6%
1W
-4.5%
GDD
GoDaddy Inc.
Peer
5Y
-0.9%
3Y
+15.0%
1Y
-52.3%
6M
-34.3%
1M
+5.5%
1W
+0.4%
CAC
CACI International Inc
Peer
5Y
+103.7%
3Y
+69.9%
1Y
+13.1%
6M
-11.8%
1M
-10.8%
1W
-2.0%
GEN
Gen Digital Inc.
Peer
5Y
-8.2%
3Y
+13.0%
1Y
-26.4%
6M
-31.4%
1M
-15.7%
1W
-2.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
261.71
Forward P/E
14.74
PEG Ratio
0.37
P/B Ratio
5.72
P/S Ratio
3.79
EV/Revenue
3.33
EV/EBITDA
338.49
Market Cap
$11.87B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 1.47%
Operating Margin 5.69%
Gross Margin 83.76%
ROE 2.31%
ROA 0.2%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +20.4%
Earnings Growth +968.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +20.42%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +992.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.13
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.67
Good
Quick Ratio
1.45
Good
Cash/Share
$32.3

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.8B
Gross Margin
83.7%
Op. Margin
5.8%
Net Margin
6.4%
Total Assets
$3.9B
Liabilities
$1.8B
Equity
$2.1B
Debt/Equity
0.87x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.2B
FCF Yield
82%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-11
$3.09
+3.4% surprise
2025-11-05
$2.66
+2.9% surprise
2025-08-06
$2.19
+3.1% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing HUBS against 565 companies in the Technology sector (45 bullish, 197 neutral, 323 bearish)
P/E Ratio
261.71
This Stock
vs
82.88
Sector Avg
+215.8% (Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
2.31%
This Stock
vs
-33.47%
Sector Avg
-106.9% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.47%
This Stock
vs
-11.75%
Sector Avg
-112.5% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.13
This Stock
vs
0.74
Sector Avg
-82.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
20.4%
This Stock
vs
4383.21%
Sector Avg
-99.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.67
This Stock
vs
3.59
Sector Avg
-53.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

HALLIGAN BRIAN P
Director
Sell
2026-04-21
8,292 shares · $1,913,130
BERRY MICHAEL J
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
170 shares
HALLIGAN BRIAN P
Director
Sell
2026-03-17
8,500 shares · $2,233,375
HALLIGAN BRIAN P
Director
Gift
2026-03-10
102,000 shares
BUEKER KATHRYN
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
16,676 shares
RANGAN YAMINI
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
37,900 shares
FISHER ERIKA
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
7,580 shares
SHAH DHARMESH P
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
8,717 shares
HALLIGAN BRIAN P
Director
Sell
2026-02-17
8,261 shares · $2,090,033
BUEKER KATHRYN
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-12
5,943 shares
RANGAN YAMINI
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-12
13,209 shares
HALLIGAN BRIAN P
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-12
2,311 shares
SHAH DHARMESH P
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-12
3,302 shares
FISHER ERIKA
Officer
Sell
2026-02-04
1,430 shares · $348,524
HALLIGAN BRIAN P
Director
Sell
2026-01-20
8,500 shares · $2,578,730
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-27

HubSpot (HUBS) filed a definitive proxy statement on April 27, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the company's annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-04-01

HubSpot, Inc. filed an 8-K on April 1, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-11

HubSpot, Inc. likely reported its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-11

HubSpot (HUBS) filed its annual 10-K report on February 11, 2026, which includes detailed sections on its business operations, risk factors, and management's discussion of financial condition. Due to the limited content provided in the excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk details are not available.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-11

HubSpot, Inc. filed an 8-K to announce its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-05

HubSpot (HUBS) filed its 10-Q on November 5, 2025. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial highlights or detailed risk factors beyond the identification of the Risk Factors section.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-05

HubSpot, Inc. filed an 8-K on November 5, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-06

HubSpot, Inc. reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-06

HubSpot filed its 10-Q on August 6, 2025. The filing includes a section on Risk Factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-06-10

HubSpot, Inc. filed an 8-K on June 10, 2025, likely reporting the results of its annual meeting of stockholders.

8-K/A
8-K/A
2025-05-09
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-08
8-K
8-K
2025-05-08
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-04-24
8-K
8-K
2025-04-11
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
34 analysts
BTIG
2026-04-21
reit
Buy Buy
Macquarie
2026-04-20
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Canaccord Genuity
2026-04-16
Maintains
Buy Buy
RBC Capital
2026-04-16
reit
Outperform Outperform
UBS
2026-04-14
Maintains
Buy Buy
Piper Sandler
2026-04-14
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Stifel
2026-04-02
Maintains
Buy Buy
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-03-03
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Citigroup
2026-02-13
Maintains
Buy Buy
Barclays
2026-02-13
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HUBS from our newsroom.

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