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HG

BULLISH
$32.5 Live
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. · NYSE
Target $33.0 (+1.5%)
$18.13 52W Range $33.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$3.23B
P/E
5.86
ROE
32.6%
Profit margin
19.8%
Debt/Equity
0.06
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
HG exhibits a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and is significantly undervalued relative to its Graham Number ($59.65) and Intrinsic Value ($163.72). The company is delivering explosive earnings growth (433% YoY) and maintains a superior ROE of 32.62%, far outpacing sector averages. While the technical trend is currently bearish (10/100), the fundamental disconnect between the low P/E (5.86) and high growth suggests a strong value opportunity. The balance sheet is exceptionally clean with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06.

Key Strengths

Explosive earnings growth (433.30% YoY) and consistent EPS beats
Extremely low valuation (P/E 5.86) relative to sector average (37.31)
High profitability with an ROE of 32.62%
Very low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.06) and healthy liquidity (Current Ratio 2.01)
Strong revenue growth (29.40% YoY) indicating successful scaling

Key Risks

Strongly bearish technical trend (10/100) suggesting short-term price pressure
Lack of dividend payments for income-focused investors
High volatility inherent in the reinsurance industry
Potential for growth normalization after an extreme 400%+ EPS spike
Limited visibility into Free Cash Flow data
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$82.5
+153.8% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
67
Strong
Value
95
Future
90
Past
85
Health
65
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Strong Value/Growth Hybrid
Key drivers: Extreme P/E compression, Hyper-growth in earnings, Superior ROE
Confidence
90%
Value
95/100

Ref P/E 5.86, Graham Number $59.65

Positives
  • Trades well below Graham Number
  • P/E is a fraction of sector average
  • P/B of 1.14 is conservative
Watchpoints
  • Market has not yet priced in intrinsic growth value
Future
90/100

Ref YoY Earnings Growth 433.30%

Positives
  • 400%+ EPS growth
  • Consistent quarterly beats
  • Strong revenue trajectory
Watchpoints
  • Sustainability of triple-digit growth
Past
85/100

Ref 1Y Change +89.2%

Positives
  • 89.2% 1-year price appreciation
  • Consistent earnings surprise history
Watchpoints
  • Recent short-term technical decline
Health
65/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Debt/Equity 0.06

Positives
  • Very low Debt/Equity
  • Strong Current Ratio
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)
Dividend
0/100

Ref Dividend Strength 0/100

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield
  • 0% payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$32.5
Analyst Target
$33.0
Upside/Downside
+1.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
HG
Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd.
Primary
5Y
+131.8%
3Y
+131.8%
1Y
+89.2%
6M
+41.1%
1M
+13.6%
1W
-0.3%
TOW
TowneBank
Peer
5Y
+34.9%
3Y
+65.0%
1Y
+10.1%
6M
+6.1%
1M
+6.6%
1W
-3.1%
CBU
Community Financial System, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-6.2%
3Y
+49.7%
1Y
+15.5%
6M
+10.3%
1M
+8.2%
1W
-1.6%
WSB
WesBanco, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+14.0%
3Y
+37.6%
1Y
+20.7%
6M
+13.6%
1M
+0.7%
1W
-4.2%
GBD
Golub Capital BDC, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+36.8%
3Y
+33.6%
1Y
-0.4%
6M
-1.4%
1M
+6.1%
1W
-0.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
5.86
Forward P/E
6.8
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.14
P/S Ratio
1.11
EV/Revenue
0.73
EV/EBITDA
2.44
Market Cap
$3.23B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 19.81%
Operating Margin 26.88%
Gross Margin 39.35%
ROE 32.62%
ROA 6.12%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +29.4%
Earnings Growth +433.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +27.44%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +407.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.06
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.01
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.15
Good
Cash/Share
$12.75

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.7B
Net Margin
23.2%
Total Assets
$9.6B
Liabilities
$6.7B
Equity
$2.8B
Debt/Equity
2.39x
Operating CF
$0.3B
Free Cash Flow
$0.3B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-19
$1.65
+56.4% surprise
2025-11-04
$1.2
+78.6% surprise
2025-08-06
$1.55
+45.0% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing HG against 820 companies in the Financial Services sector (141 bullish, 351 neutral, 328 bearish)
P/E Ratio
5.86
This Stock
vs
36.01
Sector Avg
-83.7% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
32.62%
This Stock
vs
-0.73%
Sector Avg
-4551.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
19.81%
This Stock
vs
91.62%
Sector Avg
-78.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.06
This Stock
vs
1.36
Sector Avg
-95.9% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
29.4%
This Stock
vs
35.27%
Sector Avg
-16.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.01
This Stock
vs
3.18
Sector Avg
-36.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

COOPER BRADLEY E
Director
Buy
2026-04-08
99 shares · $3,070
HOWIE CRAIG
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
32,472 shares
DEEGAN BRIAN JOHN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
11,260 shares
KUCHMA ANITA BRESLIN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
9,198 shares
CARREIRO GEMMA ELIZABETH
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
16,760 shares
DAWS ADRIAN JOSEPH
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
20,000 shares
FISHER DANIEL MARK
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
10,882 shares
ALBO GIUSEPPINA
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
81,015 shares
BAKER ALEXANDER JAMES
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
14,245 shares
LEVENSON JONATHAN B
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
7,070 shares
BUCKLEY RUSSELL JOHN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
6,874 shares
KARRENBAUER RAYMOND
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
8,428 shares
DUFFIN TIMOTHY JAMES
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-02
12,832 shares
HOWIE CRAIG
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
87,464 shares
KUCHMA ANITA BRESLIN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-24
20,408 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-02

HG filed an 8-K on April 2, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-24

HG filed its definitive proxy statement on March 24, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on matters at the upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-25

HG filed its 10-K annual report on February 25, 2026, covering its business operations, financial condition, and risk factors. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial metrics or detailed risk disclosures.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-25

HG likely filed this 8-K to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results, given the late February filing date.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-19

HG filed an 8-K on February 19, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-05

HG filed its quarterly 10-Q report on November 5, 2025. The filing includes a section dedicated to risk factors, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-04

HG filed an 8-K on November 4, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-04

HG filed an 8-K on November 4, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-24

HG filed an 8-K on October 24, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-07

HG filed its quarterly 10-Q report on August 7, 2025. The filing includes disclosures regarding risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-06
8-K
8-K
2025-08-06
8-K
8-K
2025-07-17
8-K
8-K
2025-06-17
8-K
8-K
2025-06-10
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
7 analysts
Citizens
2026-04-13
Maintains
Market Outperform Market Outperform
Barclays
2026-04-08
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Citigroup
2026-02-24
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2026-02-23
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Citizens
2026-02-20
Maintains
Market Outperform Market Outperform
Wells Fargo
2026-01-13
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Barclays
2026-01-08
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2025-11-20
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2025-11-10
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2025-11-06
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HG from our newsroom.

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