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HOMB

NEUTRAL
$26.78 Live
Home BancShares, Inc. · NYSE
Target $31.29 (+16.8%)
$25.68 52W Range $30.83

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$5.41B
P/E
11.02
ROE
11.4%
Profit margin
44.5%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
3.14%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Home BancShares (HOMB) presents a conflicting profile: it is fundamentally undervalued based on the Graham Number ($34.59) and Intrinsic Value ($29.77), yet it exhibits severe operational deterioration as evidenced by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9. While the dividend is sustainable with a low payout ratio (33.74%), the combination of stagnant growth, bearish insider selling, and a 0/100 technical trend suggests a value trap scenario. The stock is trading at a discount, but the lack of internal health momentum offsets the valuation appeal.

Key Strengths

Trading significantly below Graham Number ($34.59)
Sustainable dividend payout ratio of 33.74%
Strong profit margins (44.52%) and healthy ROA (2.07%)
Consistent earnings track record over 25 quarters
Low P/E ratio (11.02) relative to broader financial sector averages

Key Risks

Critical financial health warning via Piotroski F-Score (2/9)
Bearish insider sentiment with $1.15M in net sales and zero buys
Sluggish year-over-year revenue growth (2.40%)
High PEG ratio (3.01) indicating growth does not justify the current multiple
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and flat 1-year price performance
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$30.68
+14.6% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
54
Moderate
Value
85
Future
30
Past
65
Health
15
Dividend
75
AI Verdict
Value Trap Risk
Key drivers: Low valuation metrics, Poor Piotroski F-Score, Insider selling, Stagnant growth
Confidence
90%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E 11.02, PEG 3.01, Graham Number $34.59

Positives
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Price below Intrinsic Value
  • Low P/B ratio (1.22)
Watchpoints
  • High PEG ratio
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Positive Q/Q revenue growth (9.30%)
Watchpoints
  • Very low YoY revenue growth (2.40%)
  • Low earnings growth (3.50%)
Past
65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Long-term earnings consistency
  • Positive 3Y price change (+34.4%)
Watchpoints
  • Flat 1Y performance (-1.2%)
Health
15/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Positive ROE/ROA
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates weak financial health
Dividend
75/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Low payout ratio (33.74%)
  • Consistent yield (3.14%)
Watchpoints
  • Moderate dividend strength score (50/100)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$26.78
Analyst Target
$31.29
Upside/Downside
+16.8%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HOMB and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
HOM
Home BancShares, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+9.6%
3Y
+34.4%
1Y
-1.2%
6M
-0.6%
1M
+1.3%
1W
-1.5%
BXS
Blackstone Secured Lending Fund
Peer
5Y
+36.8%
3Y
+26.2%
1Y
-10.6%
6M
-7.1%
1M
+0.2%
1W
-5.2%
HAS
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-3.9%
3Y
+75.4%
1Y
+72.5%
6M
+49.0%
1M
+16.3%
1W
+2.7%
AUB
Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation
Peer
5Y
+14.1%
3Y
+29.3%
1Y
+52.3%
6M
+11.7%
1M
+7.3%
1W
-2.1%
OZK
Bank OZK
Peer
5Y
+47.9%
3Y
+55.8%
1Y
+26.9%
6M
+8.7%
1M
+13.4%
1W
+2.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
11.02
Forward P/E
10.34
PEG Ratio
3.01
P/B Ratio
1.22
P/S Ratio
5.03
EV/Revenue
4.73
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$5.41B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 44.52%
Operating Margin 57.33%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE 11.4%
ROA 2.07%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +2.4%
Earnings Growth +3.5%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +9.3%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +2.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$5.69

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-07-15
$N/A
2026-04-15
$0.6
+1.0% surprise
2026-04-15
$N/A
2026-01-14
$0.6
+0.2% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing HOMB against 820 companies in the Financial Services sector (141 bullish, 351 neutral, 328 bearish)
P/E Ratio
11.02
This Stock
vs
36.01
Sector Avg
-69.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
11.4%
This Stock
vs
-0.73%
Sector Avg
-1656.0% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
44.52%
This Stock
vs
91.62%
Sector Avg
-51.4% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
2.4%
This Stock
vs
35.27%
Sector Avg
-93.2% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

FLOYD JENNIFER C.
Officer
Sell
2026-04-21
3,000 shares · $81,345
HESTER KEVIN D
President
Option Exercise
2026-04-20
20,000 shares · $425,000
HINKLE JAMES G
Director
Sell
2026-02-11
30,000 shares · $908,157
TOWNSELL DONNA
Officer and Director
Sell
2026-01-28
5,563 shares · $157,878
TOWNSELL DONNA
Officer and Director
Option Exercise
2026-01-21
20,000 shares · $425,000
ALLISON JOHN W
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-16
183,000 shares
DAVIS BRIAN S
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-16
3,000 shares
LIEBLONG ALEX R
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-16
3,000 shares
ADCOCK ROBERT H JR
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-16
3,000 shares
ADCOCK ROBERT H JR
Director
Gift
2026-01-16
3,461 shares
LONGE THOMAS J
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-16
3,000 shares
HINKLE JAMES G
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-16
3,000 shares
ENGELKES JACK E
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-16
3,000 shares
HESTER KEVIN D
President
Stock Award
2026-01-16
30,000 shares
ADAMS MILBURN
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-16
3,000 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
7 analysts
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2026-04-20
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Piper Sandler
2026-04-17
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Stephens & Co.
2026-04-17
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2026-03-26
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-03-03
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Piper Sandler
2026-01-16
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HOMB from our newsroom.

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