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OZK

NEUTRAL
$49.24 Live
Bank OZK · NASDAQ
Target $52.78 (+7.2%)
$40.46 52W Range $53.66

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 21, 2026
Market cap
$5.51B
P/E
7.89
ROE
12.1%
Profit margin
46.0%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
3.7%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
Bank OZK presents a classic value trap profile: fundamentally cheap but lacking growth momentum. The deterministic baseline shows a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a Graham Number of $85.82, suggesting significant defensive value, yet the intrinsic value of $43.68 and a bearish technical trend (0/100) indicate a lack of immediate catalyst. While the bank maintains a healthy ROA of 1.81% and trades below book value (P/B 0.94), negative earnings growth and recent earnings misses signal a transition period.

Key Strengths

Deep value valuation with P/E of 7.89 and P/B of 0.94
Strong profitability margins (Profit Margin 46%)
Healthy Return on Assets (ROA) of 1.81%
Highly sustainable dividend payout ratio of 28.16%
Strong long-term price performance (5Y Change +47.9%)

Key Risks

Negative earnings growth both YoY (-1.30%) and Q/Q (-3.40%)
High PEG ratio (2.76) indicating price is high relative to growth
Recent trend of missing earnings estimates (only 1 beat in last 4 quarters)
Bearish insider sentiment with CEO selling shares
Technical trend is currently rated as fully bearish (0/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$51.25
+4.1% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
60
Strong
Value
85
Future
30
Past
75
Health
50
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Undervalued but Stagnant
Key drivers: Low P/B ratio, Negative earnings growth, Strong ROA, Bearish insider activity
Confidence
85%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E 7.89, P/B 0.94, Graham Number $85.82

Positives
  • P/E significantly below sector average
  • Trading below book value
  • Current price well below Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • Intrinsic value formula suggests slight overvaluation at current price
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates and Earnings Track Record

Positives
  • Positive Q/Q revenue growth (6.87%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY earnings growth
  • High PEG ratio
  • Recent earnings misses
Past
75/100

Ref 5Y Change and 25-quarter earnings history

Positives
  • Consistent long-term price appreciation
  • Strong historical record of earnings beats prior to last year
Watchpoints
  • Recent deterioration in earnings surprise percentage
Health
50/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates stability
Watchpoints
  • F-Score is not in the 'Strong' range (7-9)
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield 3.70%, Payout 28.16%

Positives
  • Low payout ratio ensures safety
  • Consistent yield of 3.70%
Watchpoints
  • Low overall dividend strength score (35/100)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$49.24
Analyst Target
$52.78
Upside/Downside
+7.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for OZK and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-20
OZK
Bank OZK
Primary
5Y
+47.9%
3Y
+55.8%
1Y
+26.9%
6M
+8.7%
1M
+13.4%
1W
+2.6%
ABC
Ameris Bancorp
Peer
5Y
+96.5%
3Y
+75.1%
1Y
+26.8%
6M
+21.8%
1M
+5.3%
1W
+0.6%
AUB
Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation
Peer
5Y
+28.3%
3Y
+15.2%
1Y
+10.9%
6M
+20.1%
1M
+6.3%
1W
+1.4%
AVA
Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A.
Peer
5Y
-3.3%
3Y
+123.2%
1Y
+108.0%
6M
+59.6%
1M
+9.6%
1W
+8.1%
HWC
Hancock Whitney Corporation
Peer
5Y
+78.4%
3Y
+106.5%
1Y
+48.3%
6M
+24.4%
1M
+13.2%
1W
+2.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
7.89
Forward P/E
7.65
PEG Ratio
2.76
P/B Ratio
0.94
P/S Ratio
3.54
EV/Revenue
2.3
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$5.51B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 46.0%
Operating Margin 58.56%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE 12.09%
ROA 1.81%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +4.0%
Earnings Growth -1.3%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +6.87%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -3.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$25.67

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.4B
Net Margin
39.9%
Total Assets
$40.8B
Liabilities
$34.7B
Equity
$6.1B
Debt/Equity
5.65x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.2B
FCF Yield
85%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-21
$N/A
2026-01-20
$1.53
-1.3% surprise
2025-10-15
$1.59
-4.3% surprise
2025-07-17
$1.58
+3.4% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing OZK against 579 companies in the Financial Services sector (106 bullish, 239 neutral, 234 bearish)
P/E Ratio
7.89
This Stock
vs
41.68
Sector Avg
-81.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
12.09%
This Stock
vs
-0.24%
Sector Avg
-5075.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
46.0%
This Stock
vs
47.47%
Sector Avg
-3.1% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
4.0%
This Stock
vs
39.3%
Sector Avg
-89.8% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

ORNDORFF CHRISTOPHER N
Director
Buy
2026-03-11
3,000 shares · $131,640
JASON CATHEY
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-11
7,520 shares
CARTER JOHN C
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
11,816 shares
WOLFE CYNTHIA
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
4,316 shares · $192,062
HAMBLEN PASCHALL B
President
Stock Award
2026-03-10
52,232 shares
THOMAS STANLEY L
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
5,012 shares
BROWN HELEN W
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-10
12,891 shares
GOTHAM TAMARA
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
2,684 shares
HICKS TIMOTHY D
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-10
28,648 shares
JACOB MUNN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-17
7,473 shares
KERLEY OTTIE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-17
1,108 shares
GLEASON GEORGE G II
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-01-23
26,199 shares · $1,209,346
GLEASON GEORGE G II
Chief Executive Officer
Option Exercise
2026-01-23
31,993 shares · $1,012,898
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
9 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-03-30
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-02
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
TD Cowen
2026-01-22
Maintains
Buy Buy
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-22
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Stephens & Co.
2026-01-22
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2026-01-22
reit
Overweight Overweight
TD Cowen
2026-01-07
Maintains
Buy Buy
Morgan Stanley
2026-01-07
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
UBS
2025-10-28
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning OZK from our newsroom.

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