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HUM Humana Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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HUM Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Healthcare Healthcare Plans
Current Price Live
$273.28
Analyst Target
$288.42
+5.5% Upside
52W High
$315.35
52W Low
$206.87

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Humana's deterministic health score is weak, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating borderline financial stability. The company trades significantly above its Graham Number of $192.37 at a current price of $273.28, suggesting overvaluation on a defensive investing basis, though forward P/E of 22.37 reflects some growth optimism. Despite solid revenue growth of 11.10% and strong analyst target support at $288.42, earnings have sharply declined YoY by 59.30%, and profitability margins are thin, with ROE and ROA below sector averages. Technical trend is bearish and insider sentiment is neutral, balancing near-term risks against potential recovery.

Key Strengths

Revenue growth of 11.10% YoY outpaces sector average of 9.80%
Strong cash position implied by Current Ratio of 2.02 and Quick Ratio of 1.53
Debt/Equity of 0.70 is below sector average of 0.92, indicating conservative leverage
Analyst target price of $288.42 implies 5.5% upside from current levels
Consistent earnings beat streak: 3 out of last 4 quarters exceeded estimates

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 signals weak financial health and low resilience to stress
Earnings collapsing: YoY EPS growth down 59.30%, Q/Q down 59.40%
Profit margin of 1.02% is far below sector average of 9.99%, raising sustainability concerns
Stock trades at 42% premium to Graham Number ($192.37 vs $273.28), increasing downside risk
Technical Trend score of 0/100 indicates strong bearish momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$210.5
-23.0% below current price

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