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KW

BEARISH
$10.9 Live
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Target $9.0 (-17.4%)
$5.98 52W Range $10.99
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 29, 2026
Market cap
$1.51B
P/E
N/A
ROE
1.5%
Profit margin
0.9%
Debt/Equity
2.87
Dividend yield
4.4%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings exhibits severe financial instability, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and critical liquidity shortages. With a current ratio of 0.45 and a quick ratio of 0.24, the company faces significant short-term solvency risks. While the stock has seen a strong 1-year price rally, this is decoupled from fundamental deterioration, including negative YoY revenue and earnings growth. Furthermore, the dividend is fundamentally unsustainable with a payout ratio of 355.56%.

Key Strengths

Strong 1-year price appreciation (+75.3%)
High gross margins (74.03%)
Recent history of beating earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters
Positive 6-month price momentum (+41.4%)
Moderate Price-to-Book ratio (2.02)

Key Risks

Severe liquidity risk (Current Ratio 0.45, Quick Ratio 0.24)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (355.56%)
Weak financial health (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
High leverage with Debt/Equity at 2.87
Negative YoY revenue (-5.70%) and earnings (-6.80%) growth
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$9.0
-17.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
27
Weak
Value
35
Future
30
Past
45
Health
15
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
High Risk / Speculative
Key drivers: Critical liquidity deficiency, Fundamental health decay (Piotroski 2/9), Dividend insolvency, Negative growth trajectory
Confidence
90%
Value
35/100

Forward P/E of -10.19 indicates expected losses, rendering traditional P/E valuation irrelevant.

Positives
  • P/B is not excessively high
Watchpoints
  • Negative Forward P/E
  • Current price ($10.90) exceeds analyst target ($9.00)
Future
30/100

Growth metrics are trending downward on an annual basis.

Positives
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth (+61.5%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY Revenue Growth
  • Negative YoY Earnings Growth
Past
45/100

Recent price gains contrast sharply with long-term value destruction.

Positives
  • Strong 1-year price recovery
Watchpoints
  • 5-year change is negative (-29.9%)
  • High earnings volatility
Health
15/100

Piotroski score of 2/9 indicates a company in financial distress.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
  • Current Ratio < 1.0
  • High Debt/Equity
Dividend
10/100

Dividend is being paid out of capital or debt rather than earnings.

Positives
  • Yield of 4.40% is attractive on surface
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 355.56% is unsustainable

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$10.9
Analyst Target
$9.0
Upside/Downside
-17.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for KW and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-28
KW
Kennedy-Wilson Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-29.9%
3Y
-21.8%
1Y
+75.3%
6M
+41.4%
1M
+0.4%
1W
0.0%
ALE
Alexander & Baldwin, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+58.2%
3Y
+26.3%
1Y
+25.3%
6M
+16.0%
1M
+0.5%
1W
-0.5%
HBN
Hotel101 Global Holdings Corp.
Peer
5Y
-40.2%
3Y
-40.2%
1Y
-40.2%
6M
+89.9%
1M
-20.4%
1W
-16.2%
FOR
Forestar Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
+10.5%
3Y
+54.9%
1Y
+41.9%
6M
+7.1%
1M
+11.1%
1W
+5.6%
IIP
Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-53.2%
3Y
+12.5%
1Y
+20.5%
6M
+15.1%
1M
+14.6%
1W
+6.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-10.19
PEG Ratio
1.1
P/B Ratio
2.02
P/S Ratio
2.78
EV/Revenue
12.29
EV/EBITDA
29.02
Market Cap
$1.51B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 0.87%
Operating Margin 9.29%
Gross Margin 74.03%
ROE 1.48%
ROA 0.89%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -5.7%
Earnings Growth -6.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -11.0%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -8.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.87
High debt
Current Ratio
0.45
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.24
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.36

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
72.9%
Op. Margin
-0.3%
Net Margin
33.6%
Total Assets
$6.6B
Liabilities
$5.0B
Equity
$1.5B
Debt/Equity
3.29x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-24%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-25
$0.21
+247.0% surprise
2025-11-05
$0.13
+226.2% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.25
+256.7% surprise

Real Estate Sector Comparison

Comparing KW against 185 companies in the Real Estate sector (8 bullish, 37 neutral, 140 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
1.48%
This Stock
vs
-30.96%
Sector Avg
-104.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
0.87%
This Stock
vs
11.38%
Sector Avg
-92.4% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
2.87
This Stock
vs
2.38
Sector Avg
+20.5% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
-5.7%
This Stock
vs
15203.81%
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.45
This Stock
vs
8.49
Sector Avg
-94.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

KW Kennedy-Wilson...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.5B
P/E
-
ROE
1.5%
Price
$10.9
ALEX Alexander &...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.5B
P/E
20.5
ROE
7.3%
Price
$20.75
 Compare with KW
HBNB Hotel101...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.5B
P/E
-
ROE
-%
Price
$6.51
 Compare with KW
FOR Forestar Group Inc.
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$1.4B
P/E
8.6
ROE
9.7%
Price
$28.12
 Compare with KW
IIPR Innovative...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.6B
P/E
14.3
ROE
6.2%
Price
$56.01
 Compare with KW

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

WINDISCH MATTHEW
President
Stock Award
2026-02-25
159,290 shares
LEE IN KU
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-25
63,903 shares
PEGLER MICHAEL JOHN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
39,934 shares
FINNEGAN REGINA WAMBOLD
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
34,465 shares
MCMORROW WILLIAM J
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
253,956 shares
ENBODY JUSTIN
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
81,962 shares
BURTON WADE SEBASTIAN
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-20
696 shares
BURTON WADE SEBASTIAN
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-29
382 shares
BURTON WADE SEBASTIAN
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-16
674 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-03-31

KW filed an 8-K on March 31, 2026, likely to report its first-quarter financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-16

KW filed an 8-K on March 16, 2026, likely to announce its annual financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-02

KW filed an 8-K on March 2, 2026, likely announcing its fiscal year-end financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-27

KW filed its 10-K annual report on February 27, 2026, covering its business operations, risk factors, and financial condition. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial metrics or detailed risk disclosures for analysis.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-25

KW reported its annual financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-17

KW filed an 8-K on February 17, 2026, likely to announce its annual or quarterly financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-08
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-07

KW submitted its quarterly 10-Q filing on November 7, 2025. The report includes a section on risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-05

KW filed an 8-K on November 5, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-04

KW filed an 8-K on November 4, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-03
8-K
8-K
2025-09-18
8-K
8-K
2025-08-20
8-K
8-K
2025-08-07
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-07
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
1 analysts
JP Morgan
2025-12-18
down
Neutral Underweight
JP Morgan
2025-11-06
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning KW from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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