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LOB

NEUTRAL
$37.82 Live
Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. · NYSE
Target $42.75 (+13.0%)
$25.53 52W Range $42.89

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$1.75B
P/E
14.44
ROE
10.9%
Profit margin
24.6%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
0.32%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
LOB presents a stark contradiction between valuation and fundamental health. While the stock is priced attractively near its Graham Number ($38.44) and shows explosive YoY earnings growth (185.7%), the Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe weakness in financial health. This fundamental fragility is compounded by bearish insider activity, specifically significant sales by the CEO and CFO. Despite analyst 'buy' recommendations and a high growth-based intrinsic value, the poor health score and insider sentiment suggest significant underlying risk.

Key Strengths

Strong valuation with a low Forward P/E of 9.11
Explosive YoY earnings growth of 185.70%
Robust revenue growth of 29.10% YoY
Current price is aligned with the defensive Graham Number ($38.44)
Positive 1-year price performance (+41.9%)

Key Risks

Critical financial health weakness indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Bearish insider sentiment with heavy selling by the CEO and CFO
Poor earnings consistency, beating estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters
Technical trend is currently rated as 0/100 (Bearish)
Low dividend yield (0.32%) provides little downside protection
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$40.1
+6.0% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
49
Moderate
Value
85
Future
60
Past
55
Health
15
Dividend
30
AI Verdict
Speculative Value Trap Risk
Key drivers: Low P/E and Graham alignment, Critical Piotroski F-Score failure, Aggressive insider selling, High growth vs low consistency
Confidence
90%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E 14.44, Graham Number $38.44

Positives
  • P/E of 14.44 is low relative to sector
  • Price is almost exactly at Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • Trades significantly below growth-based intrinsic value, suggesting market skepticism
Future
60/100

Ref 185.7% Earnings Growth vs 1/4 beat rate

Positives
  • High YoY Revenue and Earnings growth
Watchpoints
  • Frequent earnings misses in recent quarters
  • Bearish technical trend
Past
55/100

Ref 5Y Change -39.9%

Positives
  • Strong 1Y and 6M price recovery
Watchpoints
  • Negative 5Y change (-39.9%)
Health
15/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is in the 'Weak' category
Dividend
30/100

Ref Yield 0.32%, Payout 4.58%

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (4.58%) suggests capacity to increase
Watchpoints
  • Negligible yield of 0.32%

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$37.82
Analyst Target
$42.75
Upside/Downside
+13.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for LOB and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
LOB
Live Oak Bancshares, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-39.9%
3Y
+68.9%
1Y
+41.9%
6M
+18.9%
1M
+17.2%
1W
+4.2%
GAB
The Gabelli Equity Trust Inc.
Peer
5Y
+36.2%
3Y
+37.8%
1Y
+17.0%
6M
-1.7%
1M
+0.7%
1W
-3.1%
FSU
FirstSun Capital Bancorp
Peer
5Y
+57.4%
3Y
+37.4%
1Y
+9.5%
6M
-6.8%
1M
+4.5%
1W
+3.0%
BLX
Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A.
Peer
5Y
+299.4%
3Y
+227.1%
1Y
+29.8%
6M
+12.0%
1M
+5.6%
1W
+3.8%
SRC
1st Source Corporation
Peer
5Y
+76.8%
3Y
+81.6%
1Y
+33.1%
6M
+27.1%
1M
+8.1%
1W
+1.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
14.44
Forward P/E
9.11
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.51
P/S Ratio
3.41
EV/Revenue
2.21
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$1.75B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 24.64%
Operating Margin 35.48%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE 10.89%
ROA 0.87%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +29.1%
Earnings Growth +185.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +6.55%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +209.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$17.66

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-07-22
$N/A
2026-04-22
$0.63
+9.8% surprise
2026-01-21
$0.47
-16.3% surprise
2025-10-22
$0.59
-2.2% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing LOB against 884 companies in the Financial Services sector (145 bullish, 379 neutral, 360 bearish)
P/E Ratio
14.44
This Stock
vs
34.45
Sector Avg
-58.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.89%
This Stock
vs
-0.15%
Sector Avg
-7194.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
24.64%
This Stock
vs
92.61%
Sector Avg
-73.4% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
29.1%
This Stock
vs
35.15%
Sector Avg
-17.2% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

MAHAN JAMES S III
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-12
20,000 shares · $653,321
MAHAN JAMES S III
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-05
20,000 shares · $721,195
SEWARD GREGORY W
General Counsel
Sell
2026-03-02
3,000 shares · $110,100
PHIFER WALTER J.
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-02
4,712 shares · $172,379
MAHAN JAMES S III
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-02-26
20,000 shares · $786,999
SUTHERLAND JOHN W
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-23
178 shares
SEWARD GREGORY W
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-23
1,000 shares
SPENCER COURTNEY
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-23
2,000 shares
PHIFER WALTER J.
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-23
69 shares
CAIRNS MICHAEL J.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-23
145 shares
MOROZ MARK MICHAEL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-23
4,000 shares
MAHAN JAMES S III
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-02-19
20,000 shares · $803,598
LOSCH WILLIAM C. III
President
Stock Award
2026-02-17
1,264 shares
SUTHERLAND JOHN W
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-17
316 shares
SEWARD GREGORY W
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-17
2,370 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-22

LOB reported its first-quarter financial results for the period ending March 31, 2026.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-02

LOB filed a definitive proxy statement on April 2, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for its upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-27

LOB filed its 10-K annual report on February 27, 2026, which includes sections on business operations, risk factors, and management's discussion and analysis of financial condition. Specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-19

LOB likely filed this 8-K to announce its annual financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-13

LOB likely reported its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-21

LOB filed an 8-K on January 21, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-01
8-K
8-K
2025-11-18

LOB filed a current report on November 18, 2025, likely announcing its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-17

Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. filed its Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended September 30, 2025, on November 17, 2025. While the filing includes sections for financial information and risk factors, specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-12

LOB filed an 8-K on November 12, 2025, likely to report its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-22
8-K
8-K
2025-08-29
8-K
8-K
2025-08-19
8-K
8-K
2025-08-19
8-K/A
8-K/A
2025-08-15
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
4 analysts
TD Cowen
2026-04-27
Maintains
Buy Buy
Piper Sandler
2026-04-27
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2026-04-24
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
TD Cowen
2026-02-03
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning LOB from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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