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LUCK

BEARISH
$7.53 Live
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation · NYSE
Target $10.89 (+44.6%)
$5.71 52W Range $11.61

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$1.04B
P/E
N/A
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
-7.1%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
3.05%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
LUCK presents a high-risk profile characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score (5/9) that masks severe underlying balance sheet distress. The company exhibits a negative Price-to-Book ratio (-2.84), indicating negative shareholder equity, and a critical liquidity shortage with a current ratio of 0.69. While analysts maintain a 'buy' rating with a target of $10.89, the fundamental data shows collapsing EPS growth (-250% YoY) and a completely unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 981.44%. The combination of a 0/100 technical trend and consistent earnings misses suggests a significant downward trajectory.

Key Strengths

Positive operating margin (11.72%) suggesting core business viability
Healthy gross margin of 35.51%
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.84) relative to revenue
Positive Return on Assets (2.83%)
Analyst consensus remains optimistic with a target price of $10.89

Key Risks

Negative Book Value indicating liabilities exceed assets
Severe liquidity risk with a current ratio of 0.69 and quick ratio of 0.49
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (981.44%)
Extreme earnings volatility and massive negative surprises (-790.11% avg)
Stagnant revenue growth (2.30%) failing to keep pace with sector averages

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
26
Weak
Value
20
Future
25
Past
30
Health
45
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
High Risk / Speculative
Key drivers: Negative Equity, Liquidity Crisis, Dividend Trap, EPS Collapse
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Graham Number unavailable due to negative equity/earnings.

Positives
  • Low P/S ratio
Watchpoints
  • Negative P/B ratio
  • High Forward P/E (31.71) relative to negative profit margins
Future
25/100

Growth metrics are severely lagging behind the Consumer Cyclical sector average of 27.42%.

Positives
  • Slight positive revenue growth
Watchpoints
  • EPS growth of -250% YoY
  • Consistent failure to meet earnings estimates
Past
30/100

Long-term trend is consistently bearish.

Positives
  • Historical periods of EPS beats in 2022
Watchpoints
  • Negative 1Y, 3Y, and 5Y price performance
  • Recent sharp 1-week decline of 14%
Health
45/100

Altman Z-Score not provided, but liquidity ratios signal distress.

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates stability in some operational areas
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio < 1.0
  • Negative Book Value
Dividend
10/100

Dividend is likely to be cut or suspended given the lack of earnings to support it.

Positives
  • 3.05% yield
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 981.44% is mathematically unsustainable

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$7.53
Analyst Target
$10.89
Upside/Downside
+44.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for LUCK and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
LUC
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation
Primary
5Y
-18.8%
3Y
-46.3%
1Y
-18.1%
6M
-4.4%
1M
-5.8%
1W
-14.0%
LGI
LGI Homes, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-72.6%
3Y
-61.9%
1Y
-23.5%
6M
-0.5%
1M
+20.1%
1W
-1.8%
LQD
Liquidity Services, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+80.5%
3Y
+149.8%
1Y
+9.8%
6M
+34.2%
1M
+14.6%
1W
+3.9%
MLK
MillerKnoll, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-59.0%
3Y
-3.3%
1Y
-0.1%
6M
-3.3%
1M
-17.6%
1W
+8.9%
ARH
Arhaus, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-42.6%
3Y
-16.8%
1Y
-18.0%
6M
-34.1%
1M
-27.3%
1W
-7.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
31.71
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-2.84
P/S Ratio
0.84
EV/Revenue
3.49
EV/EBITDA
15.78
Market Cap
$1.04B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -7.09%
Operating Margin 11.72%
Gross Margin 35.51%
ROE N/A
ROA 2.83%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +2.3%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +2.26%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
0.69
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.49
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.7

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
34.3%
Op. Margin
11.6%
Net Margin
-4.1%
Total Assets
$3.3B
Liabilities
$3.5B
Equity
$-0.2B
Debt/Equity
-15.02x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
19%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-04
$-0.15
-719.2% surprise
2025-11-04
$-0.06
+63.9% surprise
2025-08-28
$-0.36
-1715.0% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing LUCK against 419 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (26 bullish, 149 neutral, 244 bearish)
Profit Margin
-7.09%
This Stock
vs
-5.9%
Sector Avg
+20.1% (Superior)
Revenue Growth
2.3%
This Stock
vs
26.97%
Sector Avg
-91.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.69
This Stock
vs
2.49
Sector Avg
-72.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

EKSTER LEV
Former
Sell
2026-04-15
3,000 shares · $25,399
LAVAN ROBERT M.
Chief Financial Officer
Buy
2026-03-06
246 shares · $2,087
HARINSTEIN JASON
Director
Buy
2026-02-12
13,000 shares · $98,020
YOUNG JOHN ALAN
Director
Buy
2026-02-06
6,000 shares · $39,000
A-B PARENT, L.L.C.
Unknown
Stock Award
2025-12-09
29,612 shares
EKSTER LEV
President
Buy
2025-12-08
37 shares · $332
BASS ROBERT J
Director
Buy
2025-12-08
520 shares · $4,402
LAVAN ROBERT M.
Chief Financial Officer
Buy
2025-12-08
243 shares · $2,073
BORN RICHARD MEYNARD
Director
Buy
2025-11-28
60,000 shares · $485,472
YOUNG JOHN ALAN
Director
Buy
2025-11-17
4,685 shares · $35,700
YOUNG JOHN ALAN
Director
Buy
2025-11-07
1,600 shares · $12,645
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-02-19

Luckin Coffee Inc. filed an 8-K on February 19, 2026, likely to announce its financial results for the preceding fiscal period.

10-Q
10-Q
2026-02-04

LUCK filed its 10-Q on February 4, 2026. The provided excerpt identifies the existence of Risk Factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk disclosures were not included in the available text.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-04

Luckin Coffee Inc. reported its fourth quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-11
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-04

LUCK filed its 10-Q on November 4, 2025. The provided excerpt identifies the presence of Risk Factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not included in the available text.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-04

Luckin Coffee Inc. filed an 8-K, likely reporting its third-quarter financial results for 2025.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-10-24

LUCK filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on October 24, 2025, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-23
8-K
8-K
2025-09-17

Luckin Coffee Inc. filed an 8-K on September 17, 2025, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-10
8-K
8-K
2025-08-28
10-K
10-K
2025-08-28
8-K
8-K
2025-08-19
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-16
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-10
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
9 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-04-23
down
Neutral Underweight
Canaccord Genuity
2026-02-03
Maintains
Buy Buy
Piper Sandler
2025-11-10
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning LUCK from our newsroom.

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