MLI
NEUTRAL
$132.87
Live
Mueller Industries, Inc. · NYSE
Target $149.5
(+12.5%)
$72.16
52W Range
$139.68
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$14.69B
P/E
17.41
ROE
28.3%
Profit margin
19.4%
Debt/Equity
0.01
Dividend yield
1.05%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
MLI presents a stark contrast between absolute financial strength and deteriorating trend health, evidenced by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9. While the company maintains a pristine balance sheet with near-zero debt (Debt/Equity 0.01) and exceptional ROE (28.30%), the low F-Score and bearish technical trend (10/100) suggest a loss of momentum. The stock trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($70.4) but remains below its growth-based intrinsic value ($225.09), with a high PEG ratio of 3.41 indicating potential overvaluation relative to growth. Recent insider selling and a poor earnings beat record (1/4 in the last year) further temper the bullish analyst consensus.
Key Strengths
Exceptional balance sheet with negligible debt (Debt/Equity 0.01)
High profitability metrics including 28.30% ROE and 23.04% operating margin
Strong growth trajectory with 55.40% YoY earnings growth
Superior liquidity position with a current ratio of 5.35
Massive long-term price appreciation (+533.8% over 5 years)
Key Risks
Weak Piotroski F-Score (3/9) indicating deteriorating financial health trends
High PEG ratio (3.41) suggesting the stock is expensive relative to its growth rate
Bearish insider sentiment with consistent selling and zero buying activity
Strongly bearish technical trend (10/100) suggesting a potential price correction
Recent decline in earnings reliability, beating estimates in only 1 of the last 4 quarters
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$125.5
-5.5% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
57
Moderate
45
80
92
30
40
AI Verdict
Fundamental Powerhouse with Trend Decay
Key drivers: Pristine Balance Sheet, Low Piotroski F-Score, High PEG Ratio, Strong ROE
Confidence
90%
Value
45/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 17.41 is reasonable for the sector
Watchpoints
- Trades at 88% premium to Graham Number
- PEG ratio of 3.41 is excessive
Future
80/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Strong YoY revenue growth (19.30%)
- High earnings growth (55.40%)
Watchpoints
- Recent earnings surprises have turned negative
Past
92/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Exceptional 5-year return of 533.8%
- Consistent historical earnings beats prior to 2025
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
30/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Extremely low Debt/Equity
- High Current Ratio
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak health trends
Dividend
40/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Very low payout ratio (14.42%) ensures sustainability
Watchpoints
- Low dividend yield (1.05%) provides little income support
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$132.87
Analyst Target
$149.5
Upside/Downside
+12.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MLI and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-29
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MLI
Mueller Industries, Inc.
Primary
|
+533.8% | +279.5% | +84.5% | +27.5% | +23.1% | -1.5% |
|
CSL
Carlisle Companies Incorporated
Peer
|
+98.8% | +74.3% | -4.5% | +6.9% | +5.9% | -0.5% |
|
J
Jacobs Solutions Inc.
Peer
|
+17.6% | +36.0% | +5.4% | -19.7% | +1.3% | -2.4% |
|
MAS
Masco Corporation
Peer
|
+22.3% | +40.9% | +20.1% | +10.3% | +21.6% | -3.6% |
|
ALLE
Allegion plc
Peer
|
+58.8% | +52.9% | +26.2% | +0.8% | +3.7% | +1.1% |
MLI
Mueller Industries, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+533.8%
3Y
+279.5%
1Y
+84.5%
6M
+27.5%
1M
+23.1%
1W
-1.5%
CSL
Carlisle Companies Incorporated
Peer
5Y
+98.8%
3Y
+74.3%
1Y
-4.5%
6M
+6.9%
1M
+5.9%
1W
-0.5%
J
Jacobs Solutions Inc.
Peer
5Y
+17.6%
3Y
+36.0%
1Y
+5.4%
6M
-19.7%
1M
+1.3%
1W
-2.4%
MAS
Masco Corporation
Peer
5Y
+22.3%
3Y
+40.9%
1Y
+20.1%
6M
+10.3%
1M
+21.6%
1W
-3.6%
ALL
Allegion plc
Peer
5Y
+58.8%
3Y
+52.9%
1Y
+26.2%
6M
+0.8%
1M
+3.7%
1W
+1.1%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
17.41
Forward P/E
15.19
PEG Ratio
3.41
P/B Ratio
4.6
P/S Ratio
3.36
EV/Revenue
3.05
EV/EBITDA
12.75
Market Cap
$14.69B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
19.37%
Operating Margin
23.04%
Gross Margin
29.71%
ROE
28.3%
ROA
17.04%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+19.3%
Earnings Growth
+55.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+19.28%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+51.8%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.01
Low debt
Current Ratio
5.35
Strong
Quick Ratio
4.15
Excellent
Cash/Share
$12.69
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026
Revenue
$1.2B
Gross Margin
30.0%
Op. Margin
23.1%
Net Margin
20.0%
Total Assets
$3.9B
Liabilities
$0.6B
Equity
$3.3B
Debt/Equity
0.17x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
78%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-07-21
$N/A
2026-04-21
$1.89
+28.5% surprise
2026-02-03
$1.31
-21.4% surprise
2025-10-21
$1.83
-8.2% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing MLI against 514 companies in the Industrials sector
(42 bullish, 195 neutral, 277 bearish)
P/E Ratio
17.41
This Stock
vs
93.12
Sector Avg
-81.3%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
28.3%
This Stock
vs
0.92%
Sector Avg
+2986.8%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
19.37%
This Stock
vs
6.42%
Sector Avg
+201.8%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.01
This Stock
vs
2.75
Sector Avg
-99.8%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
19.3%
This Stock
vs
66.24%
Sector Avg
-70.9%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
5.35
This Stock
vs
3.02
Sector Avg
+77.3%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MLI
Mueller Industries, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $14.69B | 17.41 | 28.3% | 19.4% | $132.87 | |
|
CSL
Carlisle Companies Incorporated
|
BEARISH | $14.72B | 20.96 | 34.9% | 14.8% | $360.07 | Compare |
|
J
Jacobs Solutions Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $14.85B | 33.37 | 9.7% | 3.5% | $126.46 | Compare |
|
MAS
Masco Corporation
|
BULLISH | $14.38B | 17.64 | 8457.1% | 10.9% | $71.26 | Compare |
|
ALLE
Allegion plc
|
NEUTRAL | $14.35B | 22.57 | 36.4% | 16.1% | $166.8 | Compare |
MLI
Mueller Industries, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$14.7B
P/E
17.4
ROE
28.3%
Price
$132.87
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | HERMANSON TERRY | Director | Gift | 13,500 | - |
| 2026-02-25 | CHRISTOPHER GREGORY L | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 26,672 | - |
| 2026-02-13 | GOLDMAN SCOTT JAY | Director | Sale | 4,430 | $527,037 |
| 2026-02-09 | HANSEN JOHN B | Director | Sale | 1,000 | $116,710 |
| 2026-02-05 | GOLDMAN SCOTT JAY | Director | Option Exercise | 4,978 | $62,847 |
| 2025-12-24 | HERMANSON TERRY | Director | Gift | 1,964 | - |
| 2025-11-25 | GOLDMAN SCOTT JAY | Director | Sale | 4,234 | $459,964 |
| 2025-11-19 | GOLDMAN SCOTT JAY | Director | Option Exercise | 4,800 | $60,600 |
HERMANSON TERRY
Director
2026-02-26
13,500 shares
CHRISTOPHER GREGORY L
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-25
26,672 shares
GOLDMAN SCOTT JAY
Director
2026-02-13
4,430 shares
·
$527,037
HANSEN JOHN B
Director
2026-02-09
1,000 shares
·
$116,710
GOLDMAN SCOTT JAY
Director
2026-02-05
4,978 shares
·
$62,847
HERMANSON TERRY
Director
2025-12-24
1,964 shares
GOLDMAN SCOTT JAY
Director
2025-11-25
4,234 shares
·
$459,964
GOLDMAN SCOTT JAY
Director
2025-11-19
4,800 shares
·
$60,600
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
10-Q
8-K
8-K
DEF 14A
10-K
8-K
8-K
8-K
10-Q
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
2 analysts
Freedom Broker
2026-02-06
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning MLI from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.