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MLM

BEARISH
$612.85 Live
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. · NYSE
Target $690.96 (+12.7%)
$522.86 52W Range $710.97
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$36.96B
P/E
37.46
ROE
10.2%
Profit margin
18.5%
Debt/Equity
0.6
Dividend yield
0.54%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
MLM exhibits a stable but mediocre financial health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and no available Altman Z-Score. The stock is severely overvalued, trading at $612.85, which is more than double its Graham Number ($247.45) and over five times its growth-based intrinsic value ($114.52). While revenue shows modest growth, earnings are trending downward both YoY (-4.10%) and Q/Q (-5.10%), creating a dangerous disconnect between price and fundamental performance. The bearish technical trend (0/100) further suggests a lack of market momentum to support these premium valuations.

Key Strengths

Strong current ratio (3.57) indicating excellent short-term liquidity
Healthy operating margins (23.09%) and profit margins (18.49%)
Low dividend payout ratio (19.83%) providing significant room for future increases
Positive YoY revenue growth of 8.60%
Manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.60

Key Risks

Extreme valuation gap relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Negative earnings growth (YoY -4.10%, Q/Q -5.10%)
High PEG ratio (3.16) indicating the stock is overpriced relative to its growth rate
Bearish technical trend (0/100) suggesting a potential price correction
Low dividend yield (0.54%) provides little cushion for investors during volatility
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$285.5
-53.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
44
Moderate
Value
15
Future
40
Past
65
Health
55
Dividend
45
AI Verdict
Overvalued / Fundamental Decay
Key drivers: Massive valuation premium, Declining earnings, Bearish technicals
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Price $612.85 vs Graham $247.45
  • P/E of 37.46 is high for building materials
  • PEG ratio of 3.16
Future
40/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth remains positive (8.6%)
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth is negative
  • Q/Q earnings decline of 5.10%
Past
65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong 5Y change (+79%)
  • Consistent historical earnings beats in previous years
Watchpoints
  • Recent 4-quarter surprise average is negative (-1.14%)
Health
55/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio 3.57
  • Debt/Equity 0.60
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable but not strong)
  • Quick ratio below 1.0 (0.88)
Dividend
45/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (19.83%)
Watchpoints
  • Negligible yield (0.54%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$612.85
Analyst Target
$690.96
Upside/Downside
+12.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MLM and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
MLM
Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+79.0%
3Y
+69.7%
1Y
+22.0%
6M
-0.4%
1M
+6.8%
1W
+0.4%
KGC
Kinross Gold Corporation
Peer
5Y
+370.2%
3Y
+529.7%
1Y
+107.5%
6M
+32.5%
1M
+6.7%
1W
-4.8%
GFI
Gold Fields Limited
Peer
5Y
+449.5%
3Y
+215.5%
1Y
+107.2%
6M
+23.4%
1M
+6.3%
1W
-7.8%
MT
ArcelorMittal S.A.
Peer
5Y
+106.7%
3Y
+110.7%
1Y
+88.6%
6M
+44.6%
1M
+15.3%
1W
-8.4%
AMR
Amrize Ltd
Peer
5Y
+4.3%
3Y
+4.3%
1Y
+4.3%
6M
+5.7%
1M
-2.9%
1W
-0.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
37.46
Forward P/E
26.42
PEG Ratio
3.16
P/B Ratio
3.68
P/S Ratio
6.01
EV/Revenue
6.98
EV/EBITDA
20.34
Market Cap
$36.96B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 18.49%
Operating Margin 23.09%
Gross Margin 30.8%
ROE 10.16%
ROA 4.99%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +8.6%
Earnings Growth -4.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -6.01%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -5.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.6
Moderate
Current Ratio
3.57
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.88
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.11

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$1.5B
Gross Margin
30.5%
Op. Margin
22.8%
Net Margin
18.2%
Total Assets
$18.7B
Liabilities
$8.7B
Equity
$10.0B
Debt/Equity
0.86x
Operating CF
$0.6B
CapEx
$-0.2B
Free Cash Flow
$0.4B
FCF Yield
67%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-11
$4.62
-7.2% surprise
2025-11-04
$6.85
+0.6% surprise
2025-08-07
$5.43
+3.2% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing MLM against 169 companies in the Basic Materials sector (17 bullish, 66 neutral, 86 bearish)
P/E Ratio
37.46
This Stock
vs
38.64
Sector Avg
-3.1% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
10.16%
This Stock
vs
-5.54%
Sector Avg
-283.4% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
18.49%
This Stock
vs
-4.44%
Sector Avg
-516.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.6
This Stock
vs
0.84
Sector Avg
-28.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
8.6%
This Stock
vs
37.0%
Sector Avg
-76.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
3.57
This Stock
vs
4.77
Sector Avg
-25.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

MLM Martin Marietta...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$37.0B
P/E
37.5
ROE
10.2%
Price
$612.85
KGC Kinross Gold...
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$36.7B
P/E
15.7
ROE
31.5%
Price
$30.52
 Compare with MLM
GFI Gold Fields Limited
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$40.2B
P/E
11.4
ROE
51.9%
Price
$44.99
 Compare with MLM
MT ArcelorMittal S.A.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$42.6B
P/E
13.6
ROE
6.0%
Price
$55.92
 Compare with MLM
AMRZ Amrize Ltd
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$30.0B
P/E
23.0
ROE
10.3%
Price
$54.24
 Compare with MLM

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

NYE C HOWARD
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
5,919 shares
PIKE THOMAS
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-27
47 shares · $31,799
KORALESKI JOHN J
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-27
69 shares · $46,683
WAJSGRAS DAVID C
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-27
56 shares · $37,888
MCCUNNIFF DONALD A
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
2,960 shares
PETRO MICHAEL J
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-27
2,960 shares
SCHOEN GEORGE FREDERICK
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-27
23,673 shares
NYE C HOWARD
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
8,621 shares · $1,520,043
CARDIN ROBERT J
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
658 shares
MCCUNNIFF DONALD A
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
1,277 shares
PETRO MICHAEL J
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
931 shares
FLYNN JASON PAUL
Chief Technology Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-20
1,187 shares · $406,076
NYE C HOWARD
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-17
22,365 shares
CARDIN ROBERT J
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-17
1,869 shares
PETRO MICHAEL J
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-17
1,724 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
CURRENT REPORT
2026-04-27

MLM filed a current report on April 27, 2026, likely to announce its first-quarter financial results.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-15

MLM filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on April 15, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters at the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K
CURRENT REPORT
2026-02-23

MLM filed a current report on February 23, 2026, likely announcing its annual financial results.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-19

MLM filed its annual 10-K report on February 19, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial highlights or detailed risk factors.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-13

MLM filed an 8-K on February 13, 2026, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-11

MLM filed an 8-K on February 11, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
CURRENT REPORT
2026-01-02
8-K
CURRENT REPORT
2025-12-19
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-04

MLM filed its 10-Q on November 4, 2025. The provided excerpt does not contain specific financial highlights or detailed risk factors beyond the inclusion of a Risk Factors section.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-04
8-K
CURRENT REPORT
2025-09-17
8-K
CURRENT REPORT
2025-09-03
8-K
CURRENT REPORT
2025-08-07
8-K
8-K
2025-08-07
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-07
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
23 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-04-15
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Morgan Stanley
2026-04-06
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
B. Riley Securities
2026-04-02
up
Neutral Buy
Barclays
2026-03-31
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-09
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Citigroup
2026-03-02
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2026-02-13
Maintains
Buy Buy
RBC Capital
2026-02-13
Maintains
Sector Perform Sector Perform
Stephens & Co.
2026-02-13
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Jefferies
2026-02-12
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MLM from our newsroom.

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