NFG
BULLISH
$84.38
Live
National Fuel Gas Company · NYSE
Target $103.0
(+22.1%)
$77.22
52W Range
$97.06
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$8.02B
P/E
11.4
ROE
20.7%
Profit margin
27.5%
Debt/Equity
0.77
Dividend yield
2.43%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
NFG exhibits a stable financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 and significant valuation upside, trading near its Graham Number ($79.29) but well below its growth-based intrinsic value ($218.3). The company demonstrates exceptional profitability with an operating margin of 43.45% and explosive year-over-year earnings growth of 304.10%. While short-term liquidity ratios are concerning (Current Ratio 0.65), the low P/E ratio relative to the energy sector average (11.40 vs 30.80) and a sustainable dividend payout ratio (29.57%) make it a compelling value play. The current bearish technical trend appears to be a disconnect from strong fundamental performance.
Key Strengths
Exceptional earnings growth (304.10% YoY)
Strong profitability margins (Operating Margin 43.45%, ROE 20.66%)
Significant valuation discount relative to sector average P/E
Low dividend payout ratio (29.57%) providing high safety and growth room
Strong revenue growth (18.60%) outperforming sector averages
Key Risks
Weak short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 0.65, Quick Ratio 0.52)
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
Neutral insider sentiment with no recent buy activity
Exposure to volatile energy sector pricing and regulatory shifts
Recent 1-month price decline of 10.2%
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$128.5
+52.3% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
82
Excellent
92
95
88
60
75
AI Verdict
Strong Value/Growth Hybrid
Key drivers: Massive EPS growth, Low P/E multiple, High ROE, Liquidity constraints
Confidence
90%
Value
92/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 11.40 is far below sector avg of 30.80
- Price is close to Graham Number ($79.29)
- Significant gap to Intrinsic Value ($218.3)
Watchpoints
- Trading slightly above defensive fair value
Future
95/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 304% YoY Earnings growth
- 18.6% Revenue growth
- Positive analyst target price of $103
Watchpoints
- Technical trend is currently bearish
Past
88/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Strong 5Y change (+95.1%)
- Consistent history of earnings beats over 25 quarters
Watchpoints
- One significant earnings miss in Nov 2024
Health
60/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9 (Stable)
- Debt/Equity (0.77) better than sector avg (1.29)
Watchpoints
- Current Ratio 0.65 indicates potential liquidity pressure
- Quick Ratio 0.52 is critically low
Dividend
75/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Very low payout ratio (29.57%)
- Consistent dividend rate
Watchpoints
- Yield (2.43%) is modest for the energy sector
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$84.38
Analyst Target
$103.0
Upside/Downside
+22.1%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NFG and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-30
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NFG
National Fuel Gas Company
Primary
|
+95.1% | +68.2% | +12.6% | +7.7% | -10.2% | -5.3% |
|
FRO
Frontline plc
Peer
|
+572.9% | +190.6% | +127.7% | +56.0% | +5.5% | -4.2% |
|
NE
Noble Corporation plc
Peer
|
+138.8% | +54.5% | +149.9% | +76.9% | +4.0% | +4.3% |
|
MTDR
Matador Resources Company
Peer
|
+156.8% | +37.8% | +58.2% | +61.2% | -3.0% | +4.1% |
|
CHRD
Chord Energy Corporation
Peer
|
+254.8% | +22.5% | +77.9% | +49.9% | +19.2% | +2.2% |
NFG
National Fuel Gas Company
Primary
5Y
+95.1%
3Y
+68.2%
1Y
+12.6%
6M
+7.7%
1M
-10.2%
1W
-5.3%
FRO
Frontline plc
Peer
5Y
+572.9%
3Y
+190.6%
1Y
+127.7%
6M
+56.0%
1M
+5.5%
1W
-4.2%
NE
Noble Corporation plc
Peer
5Y
+138.8%
3Y
+54.5%
1Y
+149.9%
6M
+76.9%
1M
+4.0%
1W
+4.3%
MTD
Matador Resources Company
Peer
5Y
+156.8%
3Y
+37.8%
1Y
+58.2%
6M
+61.2%
1M
-3.0%
1W
+4.1%
CHR
Chord Energy Corporation
Peer
5Y
+254.8%
3Y
+22.5%
1Y
+77.9%
6M
+49.9%
1M
+19.2%
1W
+2.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
11.4
Forward P/E
10.49
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.23
P/S Ratio
3.37
EV/Revenue
4.57
EV/EBITDA
7.23
Market Cap
$8.02B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
27.53%
Operating Margin
43.45%
Gross Margin
65.97%
ROE
20.66%
ROA
7.39%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+18.6%
Earnings Growth
+304.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+18.57%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+303.8%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.77
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.65
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.52
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.86
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.7B
Gross Margin
46.2%
Op. Margin
42.4%
Net Margin
27.9%
Total Assets
$9.2B
Liabilities
$5.6B
Equity
$3.6B
Debt/Equity
1.57x
Operating CF
$0.3B
CapEx
$-0.3B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-1%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-07-29
$N/A
2026-04-29
$2.71
-4.4% surprise
2026-01-28
$2.06
+7.3% surprise
2025-11-05
$1.18
+9.3% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing NFG against 137 companies in the Energy sector
(14 bullish, 51 neutral, 72 bearish)
P/E Ratio
11.4
This Stock
vs
30.64
Sector Avg
-62.8%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
20.66%
This Stock
vs
10.58%
Sector Avg
+95.3%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
27.53%
This Stock
vs
7.94%
Sector Avg
+246.6%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.77
This Stock
vs
1.27
Sector Avg
-39.1%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
18.6%
This Stock
vs
19.16%
Sector Avg
-2.9%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.65
This Stock
vs
2.26
Sector Avg
-71.4%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
NFG
National Fuel Gas Company
|
BULLISH | $8.02B | 11.4 | 20.7% | 27.5% | $84.38 | |
|
FRO
Frontline plc
|
NEUTRAL | $7.92B | 20.94 | 15.6% | 19.3% | $35.59 | Compare |
|
NE
Noble Corporation plc
|
NEUTRAL | $8.14B | 35.69 | 5.0% | 7.6% | $51.03 | Compare |
|
MTDR
Matador Resources Company
|
NEUTRAL | $7.82B | 10.33 | 15.0% | 20.8% | $62.9 | Compare |
|
CHRD
Chord Energy Corporation
|
BEARISH | $8.26B | 196.46 | 0.5% | 1.0% | $145.38 | Compare |
NFG
National Fuel Gas Company
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$8.0B
P/E
11.4
ROE
20.7%
Price
$84.38
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | SHAW JEFFREY W | Director | Stock Award | 469 | $43,753 |
| 2026-04-01 | BAUMANN BARBARA M | Director | Stock Award | 469 | $43,753 |
| 2026-04-01 | JAGGERS JOSEPH NEWTON III | Director | Stock Award | 469 | $43,753 |
| 2026-04-01 | TANSKI RONALD J | Director | Stock Award | 469 | $43,753 |
| 2026-01-02 | BAUMANN BARBARA M | Director | Stock Award | 541 | $43,791 |
| 2026-01-02 | JAGGERS JOSEPH NEWTON III | Director | Stock Award | 541 | $43,791 |
| 2026-01-02 | SHAW JEFFREY W | Director | Stock Award | 541 | $43,791 |
| 2026-01-02 | TANSKI RONALD J | Director | Stock Award | 541 | $43,791 |
| 2025-12-05 | HARTZ LEE E | General Counsel | Stock Award | 750 | - |
| 2025-12-05 | COLPOYS MICHAEL D | Officer | Stock Award | 1,322 | - |
| 2025-12-05 | BAUER DAVID P | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 17,712 | - |
| 2025-12-05 | KREBS MARTIN A. | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 1,563 | - |
| 2025-12-05 | MENDEL ELENA G. | Officer | Stock Award | 780 | - |
| 2025-12-05 | LOWETH JUSTIN I. | Officer | Stock Award | 9,042 | - |
| 2025-12-05 | SILVERSTEIN TIMOTHY J | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 2,780 | - |
SHAW JEFFREY W
Director
2026-04-01
469 shares
·
$43,753
BAUMANN BARBARA M
Director
2026-04-01
469 shares
·
$43,753
JAGGERS JOSEPH NEWTON III
Director
2026-04-01
469 shares
·
$43,753
TANSKI RONALD J
Director
2026-04-01
469 shares
·
$43,753
BAUMANN BARBARA M
Director
2026-01-02
541 shares
·
$43,791
JAGGERS JOSEPH NEWTON III
Director
2026-01-02
541 shares
·
$43,791
SHAW JEFFREY W
Director
2026-01-02
541 shares
·
$43,791
TANSKI RONALD J
Director
2026-01-02
541 shares
·
$43,791
HARTZ LEE E
General Counsel
2025-12-05
750 shares
COLPOYS MICHAEL D
Officer
2025-12-05
1,322 shares
BAUER DAVID P
Chief Executive Officer
2025-12-05
17,712 shares
KREBS MARTIN A.
Chief Technology Officer
2025-12-05
1,563 shares
MENDEL ELENA G.
Officer
2025-12-05
780 shares
LOWETH JUSTIN I.
Officer
2025-12-05
9,042 shares
SILVERSTEIN TIMOTHY J
Chief Financial Officer
2025-12-05
2,780 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
8-K
10-Q
8-K
8-K
10-Q
8-K
8-K
DEF 14A
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
3 analysts
Keybanc
2026-04-07
Overweight
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning NFG from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.