MTDR
NEUTRAL
$62.9
Live
Matador Resources Company · NYSE
Target $72.32
(+15.0%)
$37.14
52W Range
$66.84
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$7.82B
P/E
10.33
ROE
15.0%
Profit margin
20.8%
Debt/Equity
0.59
Dividend yield
2.38%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
80%
MTDR presents a complex profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a defensive valuation indicated by a Graham Number of $78.99, which sits above the current price. While the company maintains superior profitability margins and ROE compared to sector averages, it is currently battling significant negative growth trends in both revenue and earnings. The stock trades at a significant premium to its growth-based intrinsic value ($42.63), suggesting the market is pricing in a recovery or acquisition-led expansion. Despite strong analyst 'Buy' ratings, the technical trend is severely bearish (10/100), indicating a potential short-term peak or trend reversal.
Key Strengths
Strong profitability with a 20.76% profit margin and 15.03% ROE, significantly outperforming sector averages
Attractive valuation metrics with a P/E of 10.33 and Forward P/E of 7.63
Conservative leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.59, well below the sector average of 1.33
Sustainable dividend profile with a low payout ratio of 21.55%
Strong analyst consensus with a target price of $72.32
Key Risks
Negative growth trajectory with YoY revenue down 12.50% and EPS growth down 52.5%
Liquidity concerns indicated by a Current Ratio of 0.79 and Quick Ratio of 0.53
High sensitivity to commodity price volatility for oil and natural gas
Severe bearish technical trend (10/100) suggesting negative short-term momentum
Operational risks associated with reserve replacement and integration of recent acquisitions
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$61.5
-2.2% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
61
Strong
85
30
80
50
60
AI Verdict
Value Trap Risk / Recovery Play
Key drivers: Low P/E relative to sector, Negative growth rates, Strong margins, Poor liquidity ratios
Confidence
85%
Value
85/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E (10.33) is far below sector average (31.02)
- Current price is below Graham Number ($78.99)
Watchpoints
- Trades above growth-based intrinsic value ($42.63)
Future
30/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Strategic acquisitions (Ameredev, Advance Energy)
Watchpoints
- Negative YoY Revenue (-12.5%) and Earnings (-9.6%) growth
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth decline of -36%
Past
80/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Strong 1Y return of +58.2%
- Consistent history of earnings beats over 25 quarters
Watchpoints
- Recent deceleration in earnings growth
Health
50/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Low Debt/Equity (0.59)
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
- Current Ratio < 1.0 (0.79)
- Quick Ratio < 1.0 (0.53)
Dividend
60/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Very low payout ratio (21.55%) ensures safety
Watchpoints
- Low dividend strength score (35/100)
- Modest yield (2.38%)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$62.9
Analyst Target
$72.32
Upside/Downside
+15.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MTDR and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-29
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MTDR
Matador Resources Company
Primary
|
+156.8% | +37.8% | +58.2% | +61.2% | -3.0% | +4.1% |
|
FRO
Frontline plc
Peer
|
+572.9% | +190.6% | +127.7% | +56.0% | +5.5% | -4.2% |
|
CHRD
Chord Energy Corporation
Peer
|
+254.8% | +22.5% | +77.9% | +49.9% | +19.2% | +2.2% |
|
AM
Antero Midstream Corporation
Peer
|
+228.5% | +103.9% | +19.4% | +11.2% | +4.9% | +2.5% |
|
MUR
Murphy Oil Corporation
Peer
|
+190.0% | +29.1% | +107.2% | +52.9% | +0.1% | +7.9% |
MTD
Matador Resources Company
Primary
5Y
+156.8%
3Y
+37.8%
1Y
+58.2%
6M
+61.2%
1M
-3.0%
1W
+4.1%
FRO
Frontline plc
Peer
5Y
+572.9%
3Y
+190.6%
1Y
+127.7%
6M
+56.0%
1M
+5.5%
1W
-4.2%
CHR
Chord Energy Corporation
Peer
5Y
+254.8%
3Y
+22.5%
1Y
+77.9%
6M
+49.9%
1M
+19.2%
1W
+2.2%
AM
Antero Midstream Corporation
Peer
5Y
+228.5%
3Y
+103.9%
1Y
+19.4%
6M
+11.2%
1M
+4.9%
1W
+2.5%
MUR
Murphy Oil Corporation
Peer
5Y
+190.0%
3Y
+29.1%
1Y
+107.2%
6M
+52.9%
1M
+0.1%
1W
+7.9%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
10.33
Forward P/E
7.63
PEG Ratio
1.07
P/B Ratio
1.38
P/S Ratio
2.14
EV/Revenue
3.2
EV/EBITDA
4.81
Market Cap
$7.82B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
20.76%
Operating Margin
24.06%
Gross Margin
79.73%
ROE
15.03%
ROA
6.8%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-12.5%
Earnings Growth
-9.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-17.25%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-10.2%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.59
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.79
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.53
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.12
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.8B
Gross Margin
72.1%
Op. Margin
25.2%
Net Margin
23.8%
Total Assets
$11.7B
Liabilities
$5.7B
Equity
$5.7B
Debt/Equity
1.01x
Operating CF
$0.5B
CapEx
$-0.6B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.1B
FCF Yield
-24%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-24
$0.87
+15.1% surprise
2025-10-21
$1.36
+11.0% surprise
2025-07-22
$1.21
-11.6% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing MTDR against 126 companies in the Energy sector
(12 bullish, 43 neutral, 71 bearish)
P/E Ratio
10.33
This Stock
vs
31.15
Sector Avg
-66.8%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
15.03%
This Stock
vs
6.19%
Sector Avg
+142.8%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
20.76%
This Stock
vs
7.4%
Sector Avg
+180.8%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.59
This Stock
vs
1.3
Sector Avg
-54.6%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-12.5%
This Stock
vs
17.79%
Sector Avg
-170.3%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.79
This Stock
vs
2.31
Sector Avg
-65.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MTDR
Matador Resources Company
|
NEUTRAL | $7.82B | 10.33 | 15.0% | 20.8% | $62.9 | |
|
FRO
Frontline plc
|
NEUTRAL | $7.92B | 20.94 | 15.6% | 19.3% | $35.59 | Compare |
|
CHRD
Chord Energy Corporation
|
BEARISH | $8.26B | 196.46 | 0.5% | 1.0% | $145.38 | Compare |
|
AM
Antero Midstream Corporation
|
BEARISH | $8.97B | 19.13 | 22.5% | 37.8% | $18.75 | Compare |
|
MUR
Murphy Oil Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $6.0B | 58.1 | 2.6% | 3.9% | $41.83 | Compare |
MTDR
Matador Resources Company
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$7.8B
P/E
10.3
ROE
15.0%
Price
$62.9
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | EHRMAN MONIKA U. | Director | Purchase | 267 | $15,029 |
| 2026-02-27 | FORAN JOSEPH WM | Chief Executive Officer | Purchase | 468 | $23,297 |
| 2026-02-13 | ERMAN BRYAN A. | President | Option Exercise | 6,000 | $286,800 |
| 2026-02-13 | CALVERT CHRISTOPHER P. | Chief Operating Officer | Option Exercise | 6,000 | $286,800 |
| 2026-02-13 | STETSON GLENN W. | Officer | Option Exercise | 6,000 | $286,800 |
| 2026-02-13 | FORAN JOSEPH WM | Chief Executive Officer | Option Exercise | 13,333 | $637,317 |
| 2026-02-13 | KRUG GEORGE G | Officer | Option Exercise | 6,666 | $318,635 |
| 2026-02-13 | ELSENER WILLIAM THOMAS | Officer | Option Exercise | 5,000 | $239,000 |
| 2026-02-13 | SINGLETON VAN H II | Officer | Option Exercise | 6,666 | $318,635 |
| 2026-02-13 | MACALIK ROBERT T. | Chief Financial Officer | Option Exercise | 6,000 | $286,800 |
| 2026-01-06 | ERMAN BRYAN A. | Officer | Stock Award | 3,480 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | CALVERT CHRISTOPHER P. | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 3,480 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | STETSON GLENN W. | Officer | Stock Award | 3,480 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | FORAN JOSEPH WM | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 11,600 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | KRUG GEORGE G | Officer | Stock Award | 5,800 | - |
EHRMAN MONIKA U.
Director
2026-03-06
267 shares
·
$15,029
FORAN JOSEPH WM
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-27
468 shares
·
$23,297
ERMAN BRYAN A.
President
2026-02-13
6,000 shares
·
$286,800
CALVERT CHRISTOPHER P.
Chief Operating Officer
2026-02-13
6,000 shares
·
$286,800
STETSON GLENN W.
Officer
2026-02-13
6,000 shares
·
$286,800
FORAN JOSEPH WM
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-13
13,333 shares
·
$637,317
KRUG GEORGE G
Officer
2026-02-13
6,666 shares
·
$318,635
ELSENER WILLIAM THOMAS
Officer
2026-02-13
5,000 shares
·
$239,000
SINGLETON VAN H II
Officer
2026-02-13
6,666 shares
·
$318,635
MACALIK ROBERT T.
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-13
6,000 shares
·
$286,800
ERMAN BRYAN A.
Officer
2026-01-06
3,480 shares
CALVERT CHRISTOPHER P.
Chief Operating Officer
2026-01-06
3,480 shares
STETSON GLENN W.
Officer
2026-01-06
3,480 shares
FORAN JOSEPH WM
Chief Executive Officer
2026-01-06
11,600 shares
KRUG GEORGE G
Officer
2026-01-06
5,800 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
DEF 14A
8-K
8-K
8-K
8-K
10-K
Matador Resources Company is expanding its operational footprint through strategic acquisitions, including Ameredev Stateline II and Advance Energy Partners Holdings. The company faces significant risks related to commodity price volatility, the availability of capital and credit facilities, and operational challenges involving reserve replacement and midstream asset integration. Additional headwinds include environmental regulations, seismic events, and general macroeconomic pressures such as inflation and interest rates.
8-K
8-K
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
19 analysts
Wells Fargo
2026-04-16
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Roth Capital
2026-04-08
Buy
Neutral
BMO Capital
2026-04-06
Outperform
Outperform
Keybanc
2026-04-02
Overweight
Overweight
Citigroup
2026-03-31
Buy
Buy
Truist Securities
2026-03-24
Buy
Hold
TD Cowen
2026-03-17
Buy
Buy
Wells Fargo
2026-03-16
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
BMO Capital
2026-03-11
Outperform
Outperform
Citigroup
2026-03-05
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning MTDR from our newsroom.
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