MUR

NEUTRAL

$41.83 Live

Murphy Oil Corporation · NYSE

Target $41.93 (+0.2%)

$20.2 52W Range $43.34

MUR Murphy Oil Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

Console Chart News

MUR Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Energy • Oil & Gas E&P

Current Price Live

$41.83

Analyst Target

$41.93

+0.2% Upside

52W High

$43.34

52W Low

$20.2

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026

Market cap

$6.0B

P/E

58.1

ROE

2.6%

Profit margin

3.9%

Debt/Equity

0.42

Dividend yield

3.23%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

85%

MUR exhibits strong operational health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, yet faces significant valuation and sustainability challenges. The current price of $41.83 trades at a substantial premium to its Graham Number ($24.1) and Intrinsic Value ($5.04). While the forward P/E of 11.10 and low PEG ratio suggest a recovery is priced in, the current payout ratio of 180.56% is fundamentally unsustainable. Combined with bearish insider sentiment and severe earnings contraction, the stock appears overextended despite its strong balance sheet.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating robust financial health

Low Debt/Equity ratio (0.42) compared to the energy sector average (1.33)

Attractive Forward P/E (11.10) suggesting expected earnings recovery

Very low PEG Ratio (0.33) indicating potential undervaluation relative to growth

Strong 1-year price performance (+107.2%)

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (180.56%)

Severe YoY earnings contraction (-76.20%)

Current price significantly exceeds Graham Number and Intrinsic Value

Low current ratio (0.77) indicating potential short-term liquidity constraints

Bearish insider activity with net selling by officers

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$26.5

-36.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Moderate

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Overvalued Health

Key drivers: Strong Piotroski score, Unsustainable dividend, Price-to-Fair-Value gap, Negative growth trends

Confidence

90%

Value

30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives

Low PEG ratio
Low Forward P/E

Watchpoints

Trailing P/E of 58.10
Price far above Graham Number ($24.1)

Future

40/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives

Forward P/E suggests recovery

Watchpoints

Revenue growth -8.40%
Earnings growth -76.20%

Past

65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives

Strong 1Y and 5Y price appreciation
Consistent history of earnings beats

Watchpoints

Recent sharp decline in EPS

Health

85/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives

Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Low Debt/Equity (0.42)

Watchpoints

Current ratio below 1.0 (0.77)

Dividend

15/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives

Yield of 3.23%

Watchpoints

Payout ratio of 180.56% is critical

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$41.83

Analyst Target

$41.93

Upside/Downside

+0.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MUR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
MUR Murphy Oil Corporation Primary	+190.0%	+29.1%	+107.2%	+52.9%	+0.1%	+7.9%
KGS Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. Peer	+388.1%	+388.1%	+98.3%	+91.2%	+16.1%	+5.9%
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation Peer	+196.5%	+54.7%	+45.7%	+33.2%	-5.8%	+3.2%
CRC California Resources Corporation Peer	+225.4%	+81.0%	+89.0%	+38.2%	-3.3%	+3.2%
CNX CNX Resources Corporation Peer	+193.0%	+155.5%	+33.1%	+23.8%	-1.6%	+2.0%

MUR

Murphy Oil Corporation

Primary

+190.0%

+29.1%

+107.2%

+52.9%

+0.1%

+7.9%

KGS

Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.

Peer

+388.1%

+98.3%

+91.2%

+16.1%

+5.9%

MGY

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation

Peer

+196.5%

+54.7%

+45.7%

+33.2%

-5.8%

+3.2%

CRC

California Resources Corporation

Peer

+225.4%

+81.0%

+89.0%

+38.2%

-3.3%

+3.2%

CNX

CNX Resources Corporation

Peer

+193.0%

+155.5%

+33.1%

+23.8%

-1.6%

+2.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

58.1

11.1

0.33

1.17

2.23

2.94

5.5

$6.0B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.88%

Operating Margin -10.4%

Gross Margin 75.71%

ROE 2.61%

ROA 1.78%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -8.4%

Earnings Growth -76.2%

Q/Q Revenue Growth -8.44%

Q/Q Earnings Growth -76.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

0.42

Low debt

Current Ratio

0.77

Weak

Quick Ratio

0.68

Poor

Cash/Share

$2.64

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$0.6B

Gross Margin

26.7%

Op. Margin

9.0%

Net Margin

1.9%

Total Assets

$9.8B

Liabilities

$4.6B

Equity

$5.1B

Debt/Equity

0.90x

Operating CF

$0.2B

CapEx

$-0.2B

Free Cash Flow

$0.1B

FCF Yield

21%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06

$N/A

2026-01-28

$0.14

+523.5% surprise

2025-11-05

$0.41

+131.9% surprise

2025-08-06

$0.16

-13.9% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing MUR against 126 companies in the Energy sector (12 bullish, 43 neutral, 71 bearish)

P/E Ratio

58.1

This Stock

31.15

Sector Avg

+86.5% (Expensive)

Return on Equity (ROE)

2.61%

This Stock

6.19%

Sector Avg

-57.8% (Below Avg)

Profit Margin

3.88%

This Stock

7.4%

Sector Avg

-47.6% (Weaker)

Debt to Equity

0.42

This Stock

1.3

Sector Avg

-67.8% (Less Debt)

Revenue Growth

-8.4%

This Stock

17.79%

Sector Avg

-147.2% (Slower)

Current Ratio

0.77

This Stock

2.31

Sector Avg

-66.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
MUR Murphy Oil Corporation	NEUTRAL	$6.0B	58.1	2.6%	3.9%	$41.83
KGS Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.	BEARISH	$5.89B	74.96	6.3%	6.2%	$66.71	Compare
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation	NEUTRAL	$5.78B	17.48	17.0%	24.8%	$30.24	Compare
CRC California Resources Corporation	NEUTRAL	$5.74B	15.6	10.1%	10.7%	$64.74	Compare
CNX CNX Resources Corporation	NEUTRAL	$5.58B	9.88	15.0%	30.7%	$39.32	Compare

MUR Murphy Oil Corporation

NEUTRAL

Mkt Cap

$6.0B

P/E

58.1

ROE

2.6%

Price

$41.83

Compare with MUR

MGY Magnolia Oil &...

Compare with MUR

Compare with MUR

Compare with MUR

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date	Insider	Position	Transaction	Shares	Value
2026-03-11	HANCHERA DANIEL R	Officer	Sale	47,320	$1,598,924
2026-03-03	MARTINEZ MARIA A	Officer	Sale	8,608	$300,650
2026-02-11	MURPHY ROBERT MADISON	Director	Gift	43,148	-
2026-02-09	MURPHY ROBERT MADISON	Director	Gift	4,345	-
2026-02-05	TUDOR ROBERT B III	Director	Stock Award	7,886	-
2026-02-05	MURPHY ROBERT MADISON	Director	Stock Award	7,886	-
2026-02-05	DICKERSON LAWRENCE R	Director	Stock Award	7,886	-
2026-02-05	KELLER ELISABETH W.	Director	Stock Award	7,886	-
2026-02-05	RYAN ROBERT N JR	Director	Stock Award	7,886	-
2026-02-03	MIRELES THOMAS J.	Chief Financial Officer	Stock Award	35,589	-
2026-02-03	BOTNER E TED	General Counsel	Stock Award	16,093	-
2026-02-03	VAUGHAN PAUL D.	Officer	Stock Award	4,955	-
2026-02-03	HANCHERA DANIEL R	Officer	Stock Award	9,899	-
2026-02-03	RIAZ ATIF	Officer and Treasurer	Stock Award	3,717	-
2026-02-03	MARTINEZ MARIA A	Officer	Stock Award	4,331	-

HANCHERA DANIEL R

Officer

Sell

2026-03-11

47,320 shares · $1,598,924

MARTINEZ MARIA A

Officer

Sell

2026-03-03

8,608 shares · $300,650

MURPHY ROBERT MADISON

Director

Gift

2026-02-11

43,148 shares

MURPHY ROBERT MADISON

Director

Gift

2026-02-09

4,345 shares

TUDOR ROBERT B III

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-05

7,886 shares

MURPHY ROBERT MADISON

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-05

7,886 shares

DICKERSON LAWRENCE R

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-05

7,886 shares

KELLER ELISABETH W.

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-05

7,886 shares

RYAN ROBERT N JR

Director

Stock Award

2026-02-05

7,886 shares

MIRELES THOMAS J.

Chief Financial Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-03

35,589 shares

BOTNER E TED

General Counsel

Stock Award

2026-02-03

16,093 shares

VAUGHAN PAUL D.

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-03

4,955 shares

HANCHERA DANIEL R

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-03

9,899 shares

RIAZ ATIF

Officer and Treasurer

Stock Award

2026-02-03

3,717 shares

MARTINEZ MARIA A

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-03

4,331 shares

Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A

2026-03-27

MUR filed a Definitive Proxy Statement on March 27, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the company's annual meeting.

10-K

2026-02-25

MUR submitted its annual 10-K filing on February 25, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial performance metrics or detailed risk disclosures for analysis.

8-K

2026-01-28

Murphy Oil Corporation likely reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K

FORM 8-K

2026-01-23

Murphy Oil Corporation filed an 8-K on January 23, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K

FORM 8-K

2026-01-08

8-K

FORM 8-K

2026-01-06

10-Q

2025-11-05

MUR submitted its 10-Q filing on November 5, 2025. Due to the limited content provided in the excerpt, specific financial highlights and detailed risk factors are unavailable for summary.

8-K

2025-11-05

Murphy Oil Corporation likely reported its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q

2025-08-06

MUR submitted its quarterly 10-Q filing on August 6, 2025. The filing includes a dedicated section for Risk Factors, although specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K

2025-08-06

Murphy Oil Corporation likely reported its second-quarter financial results.

8-K

FORM 8-K

2025-06-23

8-K

FORM 8-K

2025-05-19

8-K

2025-05-15

8-K

2025-05-07

10-Q

2025-05-07

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus

HOLD

14 analysts

UBS

2026-04-15

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Wells Fargo

2026-03-26

Maintains

Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Johnson Rice

2026-03-25

Hold Accumulate

Mizuho

2026-03-17

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Barclays

2026-03-13

Underweight Equal-Weight

Piper Sandler

2026-03-12

Neutral Overweight

Goldman Sachs

2026-03-11

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Piper Sandler

2026-03-05

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

UBS

2026-03-05

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Goldman Sachs

2026-02-11

Maintains

Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MUR from our newsroom.

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MUR

MUR Murphy Oil Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Energy Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Recent Insider Trading

SEC Filings

Wall Street Analysts

Past News Coverage

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