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MGY vs MUR

MGY
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
NEUTRAL
Price
$30.24
Market Cap
$5.78B
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
85%
MUR
Murphy Oil Corporation
NEUTRAL
Price
$41.83
Market Cap
$6.0B
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
MGY
17.48
MUR
58.1
Forward P/E
MGY
11.56
MUR
11.1
P/B Ratio
MGY
2.83
MUR
1.17
P/S Ratio
MGY
4.41
MUR
2.23
EV/EBITDA
MGY
6.43
MUR
5.5

Profitability

Gross Margin
MGY
80.66%
MUR
75.71%
Operating Margin
MGY
29.62%
MUR
-10.4%
Profit Margin
MGY
24.79%
MUR
3.88%
ROE
MGY
17.01%
MUR
2.61%
ROA
MGY
9.59%
MUR
1.78%

Growth

Revenue Growth
MGY
-2.8%
MUR
-8.4%
Earnings Growth
MGY
-17.0%
MUR
-76.2%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
MGY
0.21
MUR
0.42
Current Ratio
MGY
1.54
MUR
0.77
Quick Ratio
MGY
1.53
MUR
0.68

Dividends

Dividend Yield
MGY
2.03%
MUR
3.23%
Payout Ratio
MGY
34.68%
MUR
180.56%

AI Verdict

MGY NEUTRAL

MGY exhibits a stable financial foundation with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and an exceptionally clean balance sheet (Debt/Equity 0.21). However, the stock is trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($20.41) and Intrinsic Value ($12.11), suggesting overvaluation. While profitability margins and ROE far exceed sector averages, the company is currently facing negative revenue and earnings growth. The divergence between bullish analyst targets and bearish insider selling creates a conflicted outlook.

Strengths
Superior profitability with a 24.79% profit margin and 17.01% ROE
Very low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.21) compared to sector average (1.34)
Strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 1.54
Risks
Significant overvaluation relative to deterministic fair value models
Negative YoY earnings growth (-17.00%) and revenue growth (-2.80%)
Strongly bearish insider sentiment with CEO and CFO selling shares
MUR NEUTRAL

MUR exhibits strong operational health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, yet faces significant valuation and sustainability challenges. The current price of $41.83 trades at a substantial premium to its Graham Number ($24.1) and Intrinsic Value ($5.04). While the forward P/E of 11.10 and low PEG ratio suggest a recovery is priced in, the current payout ratio of 180.56% is fundamentally unsustainable. Combined with bearish insider sentiment and severe earnings contraction, the stock appears overextended despite its strong balance sheet.

Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating robust financial health
Low Debt/Equity ratio (0.42) compared to the energy sector average (1.33)
Attractive Forward P/E (11.10) suggesting expected earnings recovery
Risks
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (180.56%)
Severe YoY earnings contraction (-76.20%)
Current price significantly exceeds Graham Number and Intrinsic Value

Compare Another Pair

MGY vs MUR: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) and Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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