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NOAH

NEUTRAL
$10.41 Live
Noah Holdings Limited · NYSE
Target $13.42 (+29.0%)
$9.31 52W Range $12.84
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$853.16M
P/E
8.97
ROE
5.6%
Profit margin
21.4%
Debt/Equity
0.01
Dividend yield
5.56%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
NOAH presents a classic 'value trap' profile, characterized by a very weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicating deteriorating fundamental health despite deep valuation discounts. While the Graham Number ($23.42) suggests significant asset-based undervaluation and the balance sheet is pristine with near-zero debt, the catastrophic collapse in earnings growth (-88.20% YoY) offsets these gains. The stock is trading near its growth-based intrinsic value ($8.12) but far below its book value, suggesting the market is pricing in significant structural risks. A sustainable dividend provides a floor, but the bearish technical trend and poor insider sentiment limit immediate upside.

Key Strengths

Extremely low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 4.46
Deep value metrics including a Price/Book of 0.50 and P/S of 0.33
Sustainable dividend yield of 5.56% with a moderate 52.25% payout ratio
Consistent positive revenue growth (12.50% YoY)

Key Risks

Severe earnings deterioration with YoY growth at -88.20%
Weak fundamental health as evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Poor long-term price performance (-66.2% over 5 years)
Low capital efficiency with an ROE of only 5.57%
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$11.25
+8.1% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
48
Moderate
Value
90
Future
20
Past
30
Health
25
Dividend
75
AI Verdict
Speculative Value
Key drivers: Deep valuation discount, Earnings collapse, Pristine balance sheet, Poor fundamental health score
Confidence
90%
Value
90/100

Ref P/E 8.97, P/B 0.50, Graham Number $23.42

Positives
  • P/E of 8.97 is well below sector average
  • Trading at 50% of book value
  • Graham Number suggests significant upside
Watchpoints
  • Intrinsic value based on growth is lower than current price
Future
20/100

Ref Earnings Growth -88.20%

Positives
  • Revenue continues to grow at 12.5%
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth has crashed by over 88%
  • Negative Q/Q earnings progression
Past
30/100

Ref 5Y Change -66.2%

Positives
  • Recent 1Y recovery of +24.8%
Watchpoints
  • Devastating 5Y return of -66.2%
  • Inconsistent earnings surprise history
Health
25/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Positives
  • Near-zero debt
  • High current and quick ratios
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates critical weakness in operational trends
Dividend
75/100

Ref Yield 5.56%, Payout 52.25%

Positives
  • Attractive 5.56% yield
  • Payout ratio is sustainable
Watchpoints
  • Dividend strength is offset by declining earnings

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$10.41
Analyst Target
$13.42
Upside/Downside
+29.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NOAH and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
NOA
Noah Holdings Limited
Primary
5Y
-66.2%
3Y
-4.9%
1Y
+24.8%
6M
-7.8%
1M
+5.2%
1W
+3.4%
ROO
Root, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-70.2%
3Y
+1291.9%
1Y
-57.8%
6M
-27.6%
1M
+22.7%
1W
+24.3%
CAC
Camden National Corporation
Peer
5Y
+31.9%
3Y
+80.7%
1Y
+34.9%
6M
+38.2%
1M
+10.0%
1W
-0.1%
MPB
Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+57.3%
3Y
+57.7%
1Y
+36.8%
6M
+22.8%
1M
+5.6%
1W
-1.1%
HAF
Hanmi Financial Corporation
Peer
5Y
+78.1%
3Y
+82.2%
1Y
+36.6%
6M
+19.4%
1M
+11.3%
1W
+0.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
8.97
Forward P/E
6.73
PEG Ratio
0.75
P/B Ratio
0.5
P/S Ratio
0.33
EV/Revenue
-0.51
EV/EBITDA
-1.43
Market Cap
$853.16M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 21.41%
Operating Margin 35.15%
Gross Margin 53.39%
ROE 5.57%
ROA 4.13%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +12.5%
Earnings Growth -88.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +12.48%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -88.3%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.01
Low debt
Current Ratio
4.46
Strong
Quick Ratio
4.23
Excellent
Cash/Share
$14.4

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.7B
Gross Margin
33.6%
Op. Margin
35.2%
Net Margin
1.7%
Total Assets
$11.7B
Liabilities
$1.8B
Equity
$9.8B
Debt/Equity
0.18x

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-27
$N/A
2015-03-16
$1.69
+6.1% surprise
2014-11-11
$2.08
-4.4% surprise
2014-08-12
$2.71
+31.8% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing NOAH against 956 companies in the Financial Services sector (153 bullish, 417 neutral, 386 bearish)
P/E Ratio
8.97
This Stock
vs
35.14
Sector Avg
-74.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.57%
This Stock
vs
0.3%
Sector Avg
+1745.3% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
21.41%
This Stock
vs
89.71%
Sector Avg
-76.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.01
This Stock
vs
1.28
Sector Avg
-99.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
12.5%
This Stock
vs
33.39%
Sector Avg
-62.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
4.46
This Stock
vs
2.99
Sector Avg
+49.2% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

NOAH Noah Holdings Limited
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$853M
P/E
9.0
ROE
5.6%
Price
$10.41
ROOT Root, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$851M
P/E
23.2
ROE
11.3%
Price
$54.7
 Compare with NOAH
CAC Camden...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$856M
P/E
13.1
ROE
10.6%
Price
$50.4
 Compare with NOAH
MPB Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc.
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$845M
P/E
13.5
ROE
7.7%
Price
$33.43
 Compare with NOAH
HAFC Hanmi...
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$843M
P/E
11.2
ROE
10.0%
Price
$28.21
 Compare with NOAH

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F
20-F
2026-04-29

NOAH filed its Form 20-F annual report on April 29, 2026. Due to the absence of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable for summary.

20-F
20-F
2025-04-24

NOAH filed its 20-F annual report on April 24, 2025, providing a comprehensive overview of its financial performance and operational results for the fiscal year. The filing details the company's financial position and outlines the primary risk factors impacting its business operations.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
4 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-03-26
down
Overweight Neutral
UBS
2025-12-22
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NOAH from our newsroom.

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