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NOK

BEARISH
$12.91 Live
Nokia Oyj · NYSE
Target $11.74 (-9.0%)
$4.0 52W Range $12.92

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$72.07B
P/E
80.69
ROE
3.7%
Profit margin
4.0%
Debt/Equity
0.16
Dividend yield
1.27%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
While Nokia exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a very low Debt/Equity ratio (0.16), the stock is severely overvalued based on deterministic models. The current price of $12.91 represents a massive premium over the Graham Number ($3.96) and the Intrinsic Value ($1.12). Furthermore, the dividend payout ratio of 99.81% is unsustainable, and the stock is currently trading above the average analyst target price of $11.74 despite sluggish revenue growth.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating robust operational health
Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.16
Healthy liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.57
Strong Gross Margins at 45.36%
Exceptional short-term price momentum (1Y Change +164%)

Key Risks

Extreme valuation gap between market price and Graham/Intrinsic values
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (99.81%)
Stagnant revenue growth (2.40% YoY)
Negative average earnings surprise (-21.95% over last 4 quarters)
Current price exceeds the consensus analyst target price ($11.74)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.25
-67.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
49
Moderate
Value
15
Future
45
Past
85
Health
90
Dividend
10
AI Verdict
Overvalued Growth Trap
Key drivers: Extreme valuation premium, Strong balance sheet, Unsustainable dividend, Price-to-target misalignment
Confidence
90%
Value
15/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • PEG ratio under 1.0 (0.97)
Watchpoints
  • Price is 3.2x the Graham Number
  • Price is 11.5x the Intrinsic Value
  • Trailing P/E is excessively high (80.69)
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Forward P/E (26.61) is significantly lower than trailing
  • Positive PEG ratio
Watchpoints
  • Very low YoY revenue growth (2.40%)
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth is negative (-50%)
Past
85/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Massive 1-year return (+164%)
  • Strong 3-year and 5-year growth trends
Watchpoints
  • Recent earnings misses
Health
90/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7/9
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.16)
  • Strong Current and Quick ratios
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score not provided
Dividend
10/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Consistent payout
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 99.81% leaves no room for error or reinvestment
  • Low dividend yield (1.27%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$12.91
Analyst Target
$11.74
Upside/Downside
-9.0%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NOK and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
NOK
Nokia Oyj
Primary
5Y
+192.7%
3Y
+236.8%
1Y
+164.0%
6M
+81.1%
1M
+60.6%
1W
+25.0%
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+187.4%
3Y
+234.6%
1Y
+83.1%
6M
-3.8%
1M
+14.0%
1W
-3.2%
MSI
Motorola Solutions, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+141.9%
3Y
+50.6%
1Y
-0.4%
6M
-0.1%
1M
+0.6%
1W
-2.8%
SNP
Synopsys, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+75.3%
3Y
+16.6%
1Y
-28.9%
6M
-24.2%
1M
-10.6%
1W
-0.9%
GLW
Corning Incorporated
Peer
5Y
+154.6%
3Y
+161.6%
1Y
+78.8%
6M
+72.4%
1M
-4.9%
1W
-3.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
80.69
Forward P/E
26.61
PEG Ratio
0.97
P/B Ratio
2.97
P/S Ratio
3.6
EV/Revenue
3.49
EV/EBITDA
27.51
Market Cap
$72.07B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.98%
Operating Margin 5.29%
Gross Margin 45.36%
ROE 3.72%
ROA 2.76%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +2.4%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +2.44%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.16
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.57
Good
Quick Ratio
1.29
Good
Cash/Share
$1.04

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$4.5B
Gross Margin
44.2%
Op. Margin
1.4%
Net Margin
1.9%
Total Assets
$37.3B
Liabilities
$16.0B
Equity
$21.2B
Debt/Equity
0.76x
Operating CF
$0.8B
CapEx
$-0.2B
Free Cash Flow
$0.6B
FCF Yield
80%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-07-23
$N/A
2026-04-23
$0.06
+7.1% surprise
2026-01-29
$0.12
+2.4% surprise
2025-10-23
$0.01
-75.3% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing NOK against 600 companies in the Technology sector (46 bullish, 214 neutral, 340 bearish)
P/E Ratio
80.69
This Stock
vs
80.98
Sector Avg
-0.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
3.72%
This Stock
vs
-31.82%
Sector Avg
-111.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.98%
This Stock
vs
-11.88%
Sector Avg
-133.5% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.16
This Stock
vs
0.77
Sector Avg
-79.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
2.4%
This Stock
vs
4122.0%
Sector Avg
-99.9% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.57
This Stock
vs
3.69
Sector Avg
-57.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F
20-F
2026-03-05

Nokia filed its annual report on Form 20-F on March 5, 2026. Due to the absence of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors cannot be detailed at this time.

20-F
20-F
2025-03-13

Nokia filed its annual report on Form 20-F on March 13, 2025. This filing contains the company's comprehensive financial results and updated risk disclosures regarding its global telecommunications and network infrastructure operations.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
9 analysts
Argus Research
2026-04-27
up
Hold Buy
Morgan Stanley
2026-02-09
init
Overweight
JP Morgan
2025-12-01
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NOK from our newsroom.

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