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OEC

BEARISH
$7.52 Live
Orion S.A. · NYSE
Target $6.31 (-16.1%)
$4.34 52W Range $12.48

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$424.04M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-16.3%
Profit margin
-3.9%
Debt/Equity
2.89
Dividend yield
1.1%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
OEC exhibits severe financial distress, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a negative ROE of -16.31%. While the stock appears cheap on a Price-to-Sales (0.23) and Price-to-Book (1.10) basis, these are value trap indicators given the crashing YoY EPS growth of -197.1% and negative profit margins. High leverage (Debt/Equity of 2.89) combined with a poor Quick Ratio (0.49) suggests significant liquidity risk. The current price of $7.52 trades at a premium to the analyst target price of $6.31, indicating further downside potential.

Key Strengths

Very low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.23) suggesting deep valuation discount
Positive Gross Margin (19.92%) indicating core product viability
Low Price-to-Book ratio (1.10) near book value
Recent 6-month price recovery (+44.4%) showing short-term speculative interest
Manageable dividend payout ratio (30.67%)

Key Risks

Critical financial health (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Excessive leverage with Debt/Equity at 2.89
Severe earnings collapse (YoY EPS growth -197.1%)
Poor liquidity position with a Quick Ratio of 0.49
Negative net profit margins (-3.88%) and declining revenue growth
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$6.31
-16.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
26
Weak
Value
45
Future
15
Past
20
Health
10
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
High Risk / Value Trap
Key drivers: Deteriorating earnings quality, High debt load, Negative profitability, Price trading above analyst targets
Confidence
90%
Value
45/100

P/S of 0.23 is attractive, but lacks earnings support.

Positives
  • Low P/S ratio
  • Low P/B ratio
Watchpoints
  • Negative earnings make P/E irrelevant
  • Trading above analyst mean target
Future
15/100

Growth metrics are trending sharply downward.

Positives
  • Forward P/E suggests potential return to profitability
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY Revenue Growth (-5.20%)
  • Catastrophic EPS decline (-197.1%)
Past
20/100

Long-term destruction of shareholder value.

Positives
  • Recent 6-month bounce
Watchpoints
  • 5-year price change of -62.8%
  • Consistent earnings misses in recent quarters
Health
10/100

Severe balance sheet weakness and liquidity constraints.

Positives
  • Current ratio slightly above 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
  • Debt/Equity 2.89
  • Quick Ratio 0.49
Dividend
40/100

Dividend is nominal and provides little support.

Positives
  • Low payout ratio
Watchpoints
  • Low yield (1.10%)
  • Dividend sustainability questioned by negative net income

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$7.52
Analyst Target
$6.31
Upside/Downside
-16.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for OEC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
OEC
Orion S.A.
Primary
5Y
-62.8%
3Y
-68.7%
1Y
-37.0%
6M
+44.4%
1M
+15.7%
1W
+2.5%
LZM
Lifezone Metals Limited
Peer
5Y
-50.9%
3Y
-54.9%
1Y
+40.3%
6M
-3.0%
1M
+51.2%
1W
+0.4%
ASI
AdvanSix Inc.
Peer
5Y
-19.6%
3Y
-57.0%
1Y
-44.5%
6M
-20.6%
1M
-0.2%
1W
+0.4%
GEV
Gevo, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-73.9%
3Y
+52.8%
1Y
+75.2%
6M
-15.9%
1M
-17.0%
1W
-17.0%
ALO
REalloys Inc.
Peer
5Y
-36.8%
3Y
+136.1%
1Y
+180.0%
6M
+15.5%
1M
-49.7%
1W
-19.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
17.2
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.1
P/S Ratio
0.23
EV/Revenue
0.81
EV/EBITDA
6.27
Market Cap
$424.04M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -3.88%
Operating Margin 4.76%
Gross Margin 19.91%
ROE -16.31%
ROA 3.37%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -5.2%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -5.18%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
2.89
High debt
Current Ratio
1.03
Good
Quick Ratio
0.49
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.27

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
18.9%
Op. Margin
4.3%
Net Margin
-5.1%
Total Assets
$1.9B
Liabilities
$1.5B
Equity
$0.4B
Debt/Equity
3.96x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
48%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-17
$-0.34
-300.8% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.29
+17.0% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.32
-5.6% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing OEC against 181 companies in the Basic Materials sector (21 bullish, 69 neutral, 91 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-16.31%
This Stock
vs
-5.13%
Sector Avg
+217.9% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-3.88%
This Stock
vs
-3.29%
Sector Avg
+18.0% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
2.89
This Stock
vs
1.08
Sector Avg
+167.1% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
-5.2%
This Stock
vs
37.64%
Sector Avg
-113.8% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.03
This Stock
vs
4.58
Sector Avg
-77.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

RIVEROS PEDRO
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
6,988 shares
PAINTER CORNING F
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
83,515 shares
NIEWIEM SANDRA
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
5,952 shares
QUINONES CARLOS
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-19
6,516 shares
PUCKETT JONATHAN A.
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-12-12
49,213 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEFINITIVE PROXY STATEMENT
2026-04-24

OEC filed a definitive proxy statement on April 24, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the company's annual meeting.

8-K
8-K
2026-04-23

OEC reported its first-quarter financial results for 2026.

8-K
8-K
2026-04-10

OEC filed an 8-K on April 10, 2026, likely to announce its financial results for the first quarter of 2026.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-03-06

OEC likely reported its annual financial results or a material corporate update in this 8-K filing.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2026-02-26

OEC Group Inc. filed an 8-K, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

10-K
10-K
2026-02-17

OEC filed its 10-K annual report on February 17, 2026, providing comprehensive disclosures on its business operations and financial condition. The filing includes detailed sections on management's discussion and analysis of results as well as the company's primary risk factors.

8-K
8-K
2026-02-17

OEC Group Inc. filed an 8-K on February 17, 2026, likely to report its fourth quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-11-07

OEC Group Inc. filed an 8-K on November 7, 2025, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-04

OEC filed its 10-Q on November 4, 2025. The provided documentation references a section on risk factors, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not included in the excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-04

OEC likely reported its third-quarter financial results in this 8-K filing dated November 4, 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-10-14
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-30
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-09-11
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-06
8-K
8-K
2025-08-06
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
4 analysts
UBS
2026-04-09
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
UBS
2026-02-18
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Mizuho
2026-02-18
Maintains
Underperform Underperform
UBS
2026-01-12
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
JP Morgan
2025-11-28
Maintains
Underweight Underweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning OEC from our newsroom.

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