ASIX AdvanSix Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH

ASIX Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Basic Materials • Chemicals

Current Price Live

$17.07

Analyst Target

$21.0

+23.0% Upside

52W High

$32.58

52W Low

$14.1

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AI Analysis

Confidence Score

75%

Analysis Accuracy

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) shows strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, indicating solid operational fundamentals. However, the stock faces significant headwinds from deteriorating profitability, negative earnings and revenue growth, and poor analyst and insider sentiment. Despite trading below the Graham Number of $36.27 at $17.07, the market appears to be pricing in persistent operational challenges and weak future expectations. The combination of declining margins, negative operating cash flow trends, and insider selling raises concerns about sustainability and near-term recovery.

Key Strengths

High Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicates strong financial health and operational efficiency

Attractive valuation metrics: P/E of 8.89 and Price/Book of 0.56 well below sector averages

Dividend yield of 3.74% is above market average with a sustainable 33.33% payout ratio

Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50 is moderate and below sector average of 0.63

Current Price of $17.07 is significantly below Graham Number of $36.27, suggesting deep value

Key Risks

Operating Margin of -0.55% and declining profitability indicate structural cost or pricing issues

Revenue Growth (YoY) of -6.00% and EPS YoY decline of -90.9% signal severe top- and bottom-line deterioration

Negative earnings surprises in recent quarters, including -80% miss in Nov 2025, eroding investor confidence

Insider selling activity over the last 6 months reflects management's lack of confidence

Technical Trend score of 0/100 and 1Y price return of -44.5% reflect strong bearish momentum

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$25.0

+46.5% above current price

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