ASIX
BEARISH
$17.07
Live
AdvanSix Inc. · NYSE
Target $21.0
(+23.0%)
$14.1
52W Range
$32.58
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$458.57M
P/E
8.89
ROE
6.6%
Profit margin
3.5%
Debt/Equity
0.5
Dividend yield
3.74%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
75%
AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) shows strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, indicating solid operational fundamentals. However, the stock faces significant headwinds from deteriorating profitability, negative earnings and revenue growth, and poor analyst and insider sentiment. Despite trading below the Graham Number of $36.27 at $17.07, the market appears to be pricing in persistent operational challenges and weak future expectations. The combination of declining margins, negative operating cash flow trends, and insider selling raises concerns about sustainability and near-term recovery.
Key Strengths
High Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicates strong financial health and operational efficiency
Attractive valuation metrics: P/E of 8.89 and Price/Book of 0.56 well below sector averages
Dividend yield of 3.74% is above market average with a sustainable 33.33% payout ratio
Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50 is moderate and below sector average of 0.63
Current Price of $17.07 is significantly below Graham Number of $36.27, suggesting deep value
Key Risks
Operating Margin of -0.55% and declining profitability indicate structural cost or pricing issues
Revenue Growth (YoY) of -6.00% and EPS YoY decline of -90.9% signal severe top- and bottom-line deterioration
Negative earnings surprises in recent quarters, including -80% miss in Nov 2025, eroding investor confidence
Insider selling activity over the last 6 months reflects management's lack of confidence
Technical Trend score of 0/100 and 1Y price return of -44.5% reflect strong bearish momentum
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$25.0
+46.5% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
56
Moderate
72
20
45
85
60
AI Verdict
Overvalued relative to fundamentals and growth outlook despite low multiples
Key drivers: High Piotroski score supports balance sheet strength, Severe earnings collapse and negative operating margin drag down future outlook, Insider selling and weak technicals amplify downside risk, Valuation appears cheap but not justified by cash flow or growth trajectory
Confidence
78%
Value
72/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- P/E of 8.89 is well below sector average of 36.10
- Price/Book of 0.56 suggests significant asset coverage
- Current price is 53% below Graham Number of $36.27
Watchpoints
- Intrinsic Value (Growth-based) of $13.44 is below current price, questioning growth assumptions
- EV/EBITDA and other key value metrics unavailable, limiting full assessment
Future
20/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Forward P/E of 8.45 suggests some earnings recovery expected
Watchpoints
- Revenue Growth (YoY): -6.00%
- Year-over-Year EPS Growth: -90.9%
- Most Recent Q/Q EPS Growth: -93.0%
- PEG Ratio: N/A due to negative or unstable earnings
Past
45/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historically beat earnings estimates in 14 of last 25 quarters
- Past EPS surprises were often positive before 2023
Watchpoints
- Recent track record shows increasing volatility and negative surprises (e.g., -80% in Nov 2025)
- 5Y price change of -19.6%, 3Y of -57.0%, and 1Y of -44.5% reflect prolonged underperformance
Health
85/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicates strong financial health
- Current Ratio of 1.36 shows adequate short-term liquidity
- Debt/Equity of 0.50 is manageable
Watchpoints
- Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates potential liquidity stress if inventory cannot be liquidated
- Operating Margin of -0.55% and ROA of 1.99% reflect weak profitability
Dividend
60/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 3.74% is attractive in current rate environment
- Payout ratio of 33.33% is sustainable based on earnings
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength score of 50/100 suggests uncertainty in long-term commitment
- No 5-year average yield data available, limiting trend analysis
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$17.07
Analyst Target
$21.0
Upside/Downside
+23.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ASIX and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASIX
AdvanSix Inc.
Primary
|
-19.6% | -57.0% | -44.5% | -20.6% | -0.2% | +0.4% |
|
GEVO
Gevo, Inc.
Peer
|
-73.9% | +52.8% | +75.2% | -15.9% | -17.0% | -17.0% |
|
ALOY
REalloys Inc.
Peer
|
-36.8% | +136.1% | +180.0% | +15.5% | -49.7% | -19.7% |
|
ASTL
Algoma Steel Group Inc.
Peer
|
-48.5% | -34.3% | -46.5% | -27.1% | +8.9% | +3.2% |
|
CMCL
Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc
Peer
|
+116.3% | +104.1% | +92.1% | -19.9% | +11.8% | -3.5% |
ASI
AdvanSix Inc.
Primary
5Y
-19.6%
3Y
-57.0%
1Y
-44.5%
6M
-20.6%
1M
-0.2%
1W
+0.4%
GEV
Gevo, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-73.9%
3Y
+52.8%
1Y
+75.2%
6M
-15.9%
1M
-17.0%
1W
-17.0%
ALO
REalloys Inc.
Peer
5Y
-36.8%
3Y
+136.1%
1Y
+180.0%
6M
+15.5%
1M
-49.7%
1W
-19.7%
AST
Algoma Steel Group Inc.
Peer
5Y
-48.5%
3Y
-34.3%
1Y
-46.5%
6M
-27.1%
1M
+8.9%
1W
+3.2%
CMC
Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc
Peer
5Y
+116.3%
3Y
+104.1%
1Y
+92.1%
6M
-19.9%
1M
+11.8%
1W
-3.5%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
8.89
Forward P/E
8.45
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.56
P/S Ratio
0.31
EV/Revenue
0.56
EV/EBITDA
6.53
Market Cap
$458.57M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
3.52%
Operating Margin
-0.55%
Gross Margin
9.98%
ROE
6.62%
ROA
1.99%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-6.0%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.5
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.36
Good
Quick Ratio
0.69
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.88
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-20
$N/A
2025-11-07
$0.08
-80.0% surprise
2025-08-01
$1.15
+3.6% surprise
2025-05-02
$0.93
+12.7% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing ASIX against 143 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(14 bullish, 54 neutral, 75 bearish)
P/E Ratio
8.89
This Stock
vs
38.86
Sector Avg
-77.1%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.62%
This Stock
vs
-6.64%
Sector Avg
-199.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.52%
This Stock
vs
-5.75%
Sector Avg
-161.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.5
This Stock
vs
0.89
Sector Avg
-44.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-6.0%
This Stock
vs
36.56%
Sector Avg
-116.4%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.36
This Stock
vs
5.16
Sector Avg
-73.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASIX
AdvanSix Inc.
|
BEARISH | $458.57M | 8.89 | 6.6% | 3.5% | $17.07 | |
|
GEVO
Gevo, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $463.79M | - | -6.8% | -21.1% | $1.91 | Compare |
|
ALOY
REalloys Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $469.07M | - | -% | -% | $7.84 | Compare |
|
ASTL
Algoma Steel Group Inc.
|
BEARISH | $476.4M | - | -% | -34.8% | $4.54 | Compare |
|
CMCL
Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc
|
BULLISH | $487.85M | 8.93 | 26.1% | 21.7% | $25.26 | Compare |
ASIX
AdvanSix Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$459M
P/E
8.9
ROE
6.6%
Price
$17.07
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | NEWMAN DONALD P | Director | Stock Award | 1,721 | $27,484 |
| 2025-12-15 | WILLIAMS PATRICK S | Director | Stock Award | 821 | $13,111 |
| 2025-10-03 | KINTIROGLOU ACHILLES B. | General Counsel | Sale | 577 | $11,540 |
| 2025-09-30 | NEWMAN DONALD P | Director | Stock Award | 1,418 | $27,481 |
| 2025-09-30 | WILLIAMS PATRICK S | Director | Stock Award | 677 | $13,120 |
| 2025-09-02 | KINTIROGLOU ACHILLES B. | General Counsel | Sale | 571 | $12,105 |
| 2025-08-01 | KINTIROGLOU ACHILLES B. | General Counsel | Sale | 571 | $11,523 |
NEWMAN DONALD P
Director
2025-12-15
1,721 shares
·
$27,484
WILLIAMS PATRICK S
Director
2025-12-15
821 shares
·
$13,111
KINTIROGLOU ACHILLES B.
General Counsel
2025-10-03
577 shares
·
$11,540
NEWMAN DONALD P
Director
2025-09-30
1,418 shares
·
$27,481
WILLIAMS PATRICK S
Director
2025-09-30
677 shares
·
$13,120
KINTIROGLOU ACHILLES B.
General Counsel
2025-09-02
571 shares
·
$12,105
KINTIROGLOU ACHILLES B.
General Counsel
2025-08-01
571 shares
·
$11,523
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
2 analysts
Truist Securities
2026-01-15
Hold
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ASIX from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.