CMCL

BULLISH

$25.26 Live

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc · AMEX

Target $42.73 (+69.2%)

$12.35 52W Range $38.75

CMCL Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc - Fundamental Analysis

BULLISH

Console Chart News

CMCL Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

AMEX • Basic Materials • Gold

Current Price Live

$25.26

Analyst Target

$42.73

+69.2% Upside

52W High

$38.75

52W Low

$12.35

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 25, 2026

Market cap

$487.85M

P/E

8.93

ROE

26.1%

Profit margin

21.7%

Debt/Equity

0.11

Dividend yield

2.22%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

85%

CMCL presents a compelling value opportunity, anchored by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a current price ($25.26) that sits below both its Graham Number ($29.30) and its growth-based Intrinsic Value ($83.48). The company exhibits exceptional profitability with an ROE of 26.07% and a very conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11. While the technical trend is currently bearish (0/100) and recent earnings beats are sparse, the explosive year-over-year earnings growth of 122.7% and a low forward P/E of 4.87 suggest significant undervaluation.

Key Strengths

Extremely low valuation relative to sector (P/E 8.93 vs Sector Avg 39.26)

Explosive growth metrics with 122.7% YoY earnings growth

Strong balance sheet with very low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.11)

High profitability margins (Gross Margin 60.13%, Operating Margin 37.13%)

Significant upside potential relative to analyst target price of $42.73

Key Risks

Strongly bearish short-term technical trend (0/100)

Recent inconsistency in meeting earnings estimates (1/4 beats in last 4 quarters)

Low insider sentiment score (40/100)

Exposure to gold price volatility inherent in the Basic Materials sector

Moderate Piotroski score (4/9) indicating stable but not optimal financial health

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$46.5

+84.1% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Strong

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Strong Value Play

Key drivers: Deep valuation discount, High ROE, Low Debt, High Revenue Growth

Confidence

80%

Value

95/100

P/E 8.93, Graham Number $29.3

Positives

Price below Graham Number
Forward P/E of 4.87 is highly attractive
Trades at a massive discount to intrinsic value

Watchpoints

Price/Book of 1.87 is slightly elevated

Future

90/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives

Revenue growth of 57.4% YoY
Earnings growth of 122.7% YoY

Watchpoints

Recent Q/Q EPS growth decline of -27.3%

Past

70/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives

1Y return of +92.1%
Consistent long-term growth (3Y/5Y)

Watchpoints

6M return of -19.9%

Health

65/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score

Positives

Very low Debt/Equity (0.11)
Healthy Current Ratio (1.69)

Watchpoints

Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)

Dividend

50/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives

Low payout ratio (19.79%) suggests sustainability

Watchpoints

Low dividend strength score (35/100)
Modest yield of 2.22%

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$25.26

Analyst Target

$42.73

Upside/Downside

+69.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for CMCL and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
CMCL Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc Primary	+116.3%	+104.1%	+92.1%	-19.9%	+11.8%	-3.5%
ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc. Peer	-48.5%	-34.3%	-46.5%	-27.1%	+8.9%	+3.2%
ALOY REalloys Inc. Peer	-36.8%	+136.1%	+180.0%	+15.5%	-49.7%	-19.7%
GEVO Gevo, Inc. Peer	-73.9%	+52.8%	+75.2%	-15.9%	-17.0%	-17.0%
ASIX AdvanSix Inc. Peer	-19.6%	-57.0%	-44.5%	-20.6%	-0.2%	+0.4%

CMC

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc

Primary

+116.3%

+104.1%

+92.1%

-19.9%

+11.8%

-3.5%

AST

Algoma Steel Group Inc.

Peer

-48.5%

-34.3%

-46.5%

-27.1%

+8.9%

+3.2%

ALO

REalloys Inc.

Peer

-36.8%

+136.1%

+180.0%

+15.5%

-49.7%

-19.7%

GEV

Gevo, Inc.

Peer

-73.9%

+52.8%

+75.2%

-15.9%

-17.0%

ASI

AdvanSix Inc.

Peer

-19.6%

-57.0%

-44.5%

-20.6%

-0.2%

+0.4%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

8.93

4.87

N/A

1.87

1.92

1.97

4.18

$487.85M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 21.73%

Operating Margin 37.13%

Gross Margin 60.13%

ROE 26.07%

ROA 17.16%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +57.4%

Earnings Growth +122.7%

Q/Q Revenue Growth +57.29%

Q/Q Earnings Growth +110.9%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

0.11

Low debt

Current Ratio

1.69

Good

Quick Ratio

0.87

Poor

Cash/Share

$2.12

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$0.1B

Gross Margin

52.9%

Op. Margin

40.9%

Net Margin

14.3%

Total Assets

$0.4B

Liabilities

$0.1B

Equity

$0.3B

Debt/Equity

0.50x

Operating CF

$0.0B

CapEx

$-0.0B

Free Cash Flow

$0.0B

FCF Yield

65%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-11

$N/A

2026-03-23

$0.56

-5.1% surprise

2025-11-10

$0.77

-1.3% surprise

2025-08-11

$1.06

+1.6% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing CMCL against 111 companies in the Basic Materials sector (5 bullish, 42 neutral, 64 bearish)

P/E Ratio

8.93

This Stock

37.28

Sector Avg

-76.1% (Discount)

Return on Equity (ROE)

26.07%

This Stock

-9.77%

Sector Avg

-366.8% (Below Avg)

Profit Margin

21.73%

This Stock

-7.52%

Sector Avg

-388.8% (Weaker)

Debt to Equity

0.11

This Stock

1.03

Sector Avg

-88.8% (Less Debt)

Revenue Growth

57.4%

This Stock

37.79%

Sector Avg

+51.9% (Fast Growth)

Current Ratio

1.69

This Stock

5.84

Sector Avg

-71.0% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
CMCL Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc	BULLISH	$487.85M	8.93	26.1%	21.7%	$25.26
ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc.	BEARISH	$476.4M	-	-%	-34.8%	$4.54	Compare
ALOY REalloys Inc.	NEUTRAL	$469.07M	-	-%	-%	$7.84	Compare
GEVO Gevo, Inc.	BEARISH	$463.79M	-	-6.8%	-21.1%	$1.91	Compare
ASIX AdvanSix Inc.	BEARISH	$458.57M	8.89	6.6%	3.5%	$17.07	Compare

CMCL Caledonia Mining...

BULLISH

Mkt Cap

$488M

P/E

8.9

ROE

26.1%

Price

$25.26

ASTL Algoma Steel Group Inc.

Compare with CMCL

Compare with CMCL

Compare with CMCL

Compare with CMCL

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

20-F

FORM 20-F

2026-04-23

CMCL filed its annual report on Form 20-F on April 23, 2026. Due to the absence of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable for summary.

20-F

FORM 20-F

2025-05-16

CMCL filed its Form 20-F annual report on May 16, 2025. Due to the lack of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are not available for summary.

20-F

FORM 20-F

2024-05-15

CMCL filed its Form 20-F annual report on May 15, 2024, providing a comprehensive overview of its fiscal year operations and financial condition. Specific financial highlights and risk factors are detailed within the full filing.

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning CMCL from our newsroom.

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CMCL

CMCL Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

SEC Filings

Past News Coverage

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