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PACK

BEARISH
$5.09 Live
Ranpak Holdings Corp. · NYSE
Target $7.08 (+39.2%)
$2.91 52W Range $6.31

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$435.34M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-7.1%
Profit margin
-9.7%
Debt/Equity
0.8
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Ranpak Holdings Corp. exhibits severe fundamental weakness, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, indicating poor financial health and deteriorating operational efficiency. While the stock is trading at a discount to book value (P/B 0.80) and has seen a recent speculative price surge, the company remains consistently unprofitable with a negative profit margin of -9.70%. A chronic history of earnings misses over 25 quarters suggests a systemic inability to meet management and analyst expectations. Despite a positive operating margin, the bottom line is eroded, making the current valuation a likely value trap.

Key Strengths

Trading below book value (P/B 0.80)
Positive operating margin (7.06%)
Healthy short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 1.83)
Modest positive revenue growth (6.60% YoY)
Recent short-term price momentum

Key Risks

Critical financial health (Piotroski F-Score 2/9)
Chronic failure to meet earnings estimates (Average surprise -46.76%)
Negative Return on Equity (-7.07%)
Negative Forward P/E (-50.90) indicating continued losses
Severe long-term price depreciation (-73.2% over 5 years)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.5
-11.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
24
Weak
Value
45
Future
40
Past
20
Health
15
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High Risk / Value Trap
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score, Negative Net Income, Earnings Miss History
Confidence
90%
Value
45/100

P/B is the only attractive metric; Graham Number is unavailable due to lack of earnings.

Positives
  • P/B ratio of 0.80 suggests asset undervaluation
Watchpoints
  • Negative Forward P/E
  • Lack of earnings to support valuation
Future
40/100

Growth is too slow to offset the current burn rate.

Positives
  • Steady revenue growth of ~6.6%
Watchpoints
  • Inability to convert revenue growth into net profit
Past
20/100

Long-term trend is overwhelmingly bearish.

Positives
  • Recent 1-month recovery (+42.6%)
Watchpoints
  • 5-year return of -73.2%
  • Consistent quarterly earnings misses
Health
15/100

Deterministic health scores indicate a weak financial foundation.

Positives
  • Current ratio above 1.5
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 is a critical warning sign
Dividend
0/100

Non-dividend paying stock.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • No dividend history

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$5.09
Analyst Target
$7.08
Upside/Downside
+39.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for PACK and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-30
PAC
Ranpak Holdings Corp.
Primary
5Y
-73.2%
3Y
+25.1%
1Y
+23.8%
6M
+9.9%
1M
+42.6%
1W
+27.2%
CWH
Camping World Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-79.7%
3Y
-66.4%
1Y
-49.5%
6M
-44.5%
1M
+5.3%
1W
-2.1%
PTL
Portillo's Inc.
Peer
5Y
-79.7%
3Y
-70.9%
1Y
-48.7%
6M
+0.2%
1M
+6.5%
1W
+2.2%
ZUM
Zumiez Inc.
Peer
5Y
-42.7%
3Y
+40.0%
1Y
+108.1%
6M
+11.6%
1M
+12.7%
1W
+1.3%
NAT
Nathan's Famous, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+82.5%
3Y
+50.1%
1Y
+14.2%
6M
-3.8%
1M
+0.6%
1W
+0.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-50.9
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.8
P/S Ratio
1.1
EV/Revenue
1.77
EV/EBITDA
12.83
Market Cap
$435.34M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -9.7%
Operating Margin 7.06%
Gross Margin 33.09%
ROE -7.07%
ROA -0.69%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +6.6%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +6.57%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.8
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.83
Good
Quick Ratio
1.38
Good
Cash/Share
$0.78

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
32.6%
Op. Margin
-0.8%
Net Margin
-8.5%
Total Assets
$1.1B
Liabilities
$0.6B
Equity
$0.5B
Debt/Equity
1.10x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
73%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-30
$-0.07
+23.9% surprise
2026-03-05
$-0.11
-175.0% surprise
2025-10-30
$-0.12
-41.2% surprise
2025-08-05
$-0.09
+5.3% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing PACK against 443 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (26 bullish, 160 neutral, 257 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-7.07%
This Stock
vs
-48.71%
Sector Avg
-85.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-9.7%
This Stock
vs
-5.64%
Sector Avg
+72.0% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.8
This Stock
vs
1.62
Sector Avg
-50.2% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
6.6%
This Stock
vs
25.87%
Sector Avg
-74.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.83
This Stock
vs
2.48
Sector Avg
-26.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

SESHADRI SALIL
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
5,179 shares · $18,748
TRANEN ALICIA M.
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
5,179 shares · $18,748
JONES MICHAEL ANTHONY
Director
Stock Award
2026-04-01
5,179 shares · $18,748
GLIEDMAN MICHAEL S.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-05
3,750 shares
ARAM PAUL
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-05
750 shares
ASALI OMAR M
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-05
13,803 shares
DREW WILLIAM
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-05
4,602 shares
GLIEDMAN MICHAEL S.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-03
25,000 shares
ARAM PAUL
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
25,000 shares
ASALI OMAR M
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
92,026 shares
DREW WILLIAM
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-03
30,675 shares
SESHADRI SALIL
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
3,390 shares · $18,747
TRANEN ALICIA M.
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
3,390 shares · $18,747
JONES MICHAEL ANTHONY
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
3,390 shares · $18,747
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-30

Packaging Corporation of America likely filed this 8-K to report its first-quarter financial results for 2026.

10-Q
10-Q
2026-04-30

PACK filed its quarterly 10-Q report on April 30, 2026. While the filing includes a section dedicated to risk factors, no specific financial highlights or detailed risk descriptions were provided in the available excerpts.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-09

PACK filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on April 9, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information to vote on corporate matters at the upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-03-05

PACK has filed its 10-K annual report, which includes standard sections for financial statements, management's discussion and analysis, and risk factors. However, the provided excerpts consist only of the table of contents and do not contain specific financial metrics or detailed risk descriptions.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-05

Packaging Corporation of America filed an 8-K likely announcing its annual financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-10-30

PACK filed its quarterly 10-Q report on October 30, 2025. While specific financial highlights were not provided in the excerpt, the filing includes a dedicated section detailing the company's risk factors.

8-K
8-K
2025-10-30

PACK likely reported its third-quarter financial results in this 8-K filing dated October 30, 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-08-26
8-K
8-K
2025-08-05

Packaging Corporation of America likely reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-05

PACK filed its quarterly 10-Q report on August 5, 2025. The filing includes a section detailing the company's risk factors, although specific financial highlights were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-03
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-05-29
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-05-08
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-06
8-K
8-K
2025-05-06
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
3 analysts
Craig-Hallum
2026-03-06
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning PACK from our newsroom.

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